AMG Critical Materials N.V (AMG) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · NL · Market cap €1.1B
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from €19.01 to €38.02 (+100.0%) since Jul 14, 2026. Share price +2.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 18% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (€19.60 to €56.44). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Our model range runs from €19.60 (bear) to €56.44 (bull), base €38.02. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 46/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €12.10 – €47.02 · fair‑value band €19.60 – €56.44 · the €32.24 price screens below the €38.02 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
AMG Critical Materials N.V (AMG) currently trades at €32.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €38.02, implying the stock looks roughly 17.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, AMG Critical Materials N.V generated revenue of €1.8B at a net margin of -0.6%. Revenue grew 15.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.3%. Net debt stands at €634M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €19.60 (bear case) to €56.44 (bull case); at €32.24, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 85% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at 18%, AMG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€23.64) versus Dividend Discount (€4.56). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
AMG Critical Materials N.V., together with its subsidiaries, develops, produces, and sells energy storage materials in the United States, China, Germany, France, Japan, Brazil, Africa, and internationally. It operates through three segments: AMG Lithium, AMG Vanadium, and AMG Technologies.
Full company description
AMG Critical Materials N.V., together with its subsidiaries, develops, produces, and sells energy storage materials in the United States, China, Germany, France, Japan, Brazil, Africa, and internationally. It operates through three segments: AMG Lithium, AMG Vanadium, and AMG Technologies. The company extracts spodumene; and produces technical-grade lithium carbonate and battery-grade lithium hydroxide. It also engages in the recycling of vanadium from oil refining residues; and production of ferrovanadium, custom master alloys and coating materials, titanium aluminides, chromium metals, and specialty products. In addition, the company offers equipment engineering to the aerospace engine sector; designs, engineers, and produces advanced vacuum furnace systems; provides LIVA hybrid energy storage system for industrial applications; and produces high-purity natural graphite, as well as antimony trioxide from base forms of antimony metal. It serves transportation, energy, infrastructure, and specialty metals and chemicals industries. The company was formerly known as AMG Advanced Metallurgical Group N.V. and changed its name to AMG Critical Materials N.V. in May 2023. AMG Critical Materials N.V. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
AMG Critical Materials N.V reported revenue of €1.8B in FY2025 versus €1.2B in FY2021, a compound +10.2%/yr. Reported net income was −€19.4M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 476 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHPN | 1,425 MXN | 942.42 MXN | -34% |
| Rio Tinto Group RIO | A$164.89 | A$81.76 | -50% |
| Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB | 199.23 MXN | 187.72 MXN | -6% |
| Vale S.A VALE | $14.19 | $9.14 | -36% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 58.05 SAR | 33.87 SAR | -42% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥18.20 | ¥16.15 | -11% |
| Fortescue Ltd FMG | A$18.47 | A$18.62 | +1% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥74.71 | ¥9.55 | -87% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹521.95 | ₹576.80 | +11% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥39.56 | ¥10.59 | -73% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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