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Accuray Incorporated (ARAY) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $40.8M

AI Accuray Incorporated logo Accuray Incorporated ARAY · US
Price$0.2850
Fair Value$0.6500
Upside+128.1%
Quality34/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -10.8% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 14/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.2300 – $0.6500 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price +12.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 128% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (34/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($0.2300 to $0.6500). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$5.88 $0.2250 Fair Value $0.6500 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.2250 – $5.88 · fair‑value band $0.2300 – $0.6500 · the $0.2850 price screens below the $0.6500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Accuray Incorporated (ARAY) currently trades at $0.2850, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6500, implying the stock looks roughly 128.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Accuray Incorporated generated revenue of $429M at a net margin of -10.8%. Revenue declined 7.4% year over year. Net debt stands at $119M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.2300 (bear case) to $0.6500 (bull case); at $0.2850, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 128%, ARAY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $0.0100 $0.0200 $0.0300 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0100 $0.0200 $0.0200 61
EV/EBITDA $0.6800 $1.09 $1.50 54
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.0100 $0.0200 $0.0300 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0100 $0.0200 $0.0200 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT $0.2800 $0.5600 $0.8400 53
EV/EBITDA $0.6800 $1.09 $1.50 54
EV/Revenue $0.0400 $0.3000 $0.5600 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.3400 $0.4600 $0.6800 50

Widest divergence: Multiples ($0.5600) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0200). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $429M
Revenue growth (YoY) -7.4%
Net margin -10.8%
Return on equity -101%
Free cash flow −$5.7M FY2025
Operating margin -2.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.3800
EPS growth (YoY) -96.2%
Net debt $119M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 6

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 15
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 17
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Accuray Incorporated engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of radiosurgery and radiation therapy systems for the treatment of tumors in the United States, Canada, Latin America, Asia, Australia, New Zealand, Europe, the Middle East, India, Africa, Japan, and China.

Full company description

Accuray Incorporated engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of radiosurgery and radiation therapy systems for the treatment of tumors in the United States, Canada, Latin America, Asia, Australia, New Zealand, Europe, the Middle East, India, Africa, Japan, and China. The company offers the CyberKnife platform, a robotic stereotactic radiosurgery and stereotactic body radiation therapy system used for the treatment of primary and metastatic tumors outside the brain, including tumors on or near the spine and in the breast, kidney, liver, lung, pancreas, and prostate. It also provides the TomoTherapy platform, including the Radixact System, which allows for integrated radiation treatment planning, delivery, and data management, enabling clinicians to deliver ultra-precise treatments to approximately 50 patients per day; iDMS data management system, a fully integrated treatment planning and data management systems; and Accuray precision treatment planning system, a treatment planning and data management systems. In addition, the company offers post-contract customer support, installation, training, and other professional services. It primarily markets its products directly to customers, including hospitals and stand-alone treatment facilities through its sales organization, as well as to customers through sales agents and group purchasing organizations in the United States; and to customers directly and through distributors and sales agents internationally. Accuray Incorporated was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Madison, Wisconsin.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Accuray Incorporated reported revenue of $459M in FY2025 versus $396M in FY2021, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.6M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 12/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$459M
Latest YoY
+2.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.7%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.8%
Revenue +3.7%/yr
FY21 $396M
FY22 $430M
FY23 $448M
FY24 $447M
FY25 $459M
Net income
FY21 −$6.3M
FY22 −$5.3M
FY23 −$9.3M
FY24 −$15.5M
FY25 −$1.6M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Accuray Incorporated Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ARAY

Peer Group

Medical Devices · 352 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +128% · Top 25%
Return on assets -2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -11% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -2% · Below median
Revenue growth -7% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 1.53× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Devices median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.50× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.10× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 29.49× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 29
PAST 0 · sector 8
HEALTH 24 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Devices stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Abbott Laboratories, ABT $100.68 $74.79 -26%
Stryker Corporation SYK $316.44 $186.28 -41%
Medtronic plc MDT $83.56 $65.57 -22%
Boston Scientific Corporation BSX $43.04 $38.44 -11%
Edwards Lifesciences Corporation EW $85.73 $41.02 -52%
Siemens Healthineers AG SHL €34.59 €33.87 -2%
Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co 300760 ¥149.43 ¥147.63 -1%
Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare Co 688271 ¥109.00 ¥43.60 -60%
Demant A/S DEMANT kr 276.60 kr 161.17 -42%
Getinge AB GETIB kr 206.80 kr 192.14 -7%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Accuray Incorporated (ARAY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.6500 versus a price of $0.2850, about +128% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ARAY?
Our model-based fair value for Accuray Incorporated is $0.6500 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.2850.
What is the quality score of ARAY?
Accuray Incorporated has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Accuray Incorporated (ARAY)?
Accuray Incorporated reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $429M (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ARAY?
The net profit margin of Accuray Incorporated is about -10.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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