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Array Technologies, Inc (ARRY) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $1.2B

AT Array Technologies, Inc logo Array Technologies, Inc ARRY · US
Price$5.55
Fair Value$4.76
Upside-14.2%
Quality55/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -5.6% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/13)
Narrow moat 24/100
Evidence: Medium Range $2.72 – $6.79 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from $6.84 to $4.76 (−30.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −12.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 14% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($2.72 to $6.79) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$28.16 $3.98 Fair Value $4.76 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.98 – $28.16 · fair‑value band $2.72 – $6.79 · the $5.55 price screens above the $4.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Array Technologies, Inc (ARRY) currently trades at $5.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.76, implying the stock looks roughly 14.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Array Technologies, Inc generated revenue of $1.2B at a net margin of -5.6%. Revenue declined 26.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -22.7%. Net debt stands at $522M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $2.72 (bear case) to $6.79 (bull case); at $5.55, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at -14%, ARRY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $3.68 $8.29 $16.32 80
Rev-Margin DCF $2.54 $7.24 $14.30 74
ROIC Compounder $0.3000 $0.6000 72
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $4.05 $7.62 $17.32 38
5Y Revenue Exit $2.54 $6.49 $14.18 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $4.50 $10.67 $22.03 41
10Y Revenue Exit $2.83 $7.81 $13.02 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $4.25 $11.25 $24.04 37
Earnings-Based
EPV $0.3000 $0.6000 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT $3.42 $5.46 $7.49 53
EV/EBITDA $4.98 $7.54 $10.09 54
EV/Revenue $1.67 $3.54 $5.41 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.8500 $1.13 $1.69 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $3.68 $8.29 $16.32 80
Rev-Margin DCF $2.54 $7.24 $14.30 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $0.3000 $0.6000 72

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($7.81) versus Earnings-Based ($0.3000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) -26.1%
Net margin -5.6%
Return on equity -22.7%
Free cash flow $79.8M FY2025
Operating margin 2.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.8400
EPS growth (YoY) +137%
Net debt $522M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 11

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 49
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 23
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 1
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 76
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Array Technologies, Inc. engages in the manufacture and sale of solar tracking technology products in the United States, Spain, Brazil, Australia, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Array Legacy Operations and STI Operations.

Full company description

Array Technologies, Inc. engages in the manufacture and sale of solar tracking technology products in the United States, Spain, Brazil, Australia, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Array Legacy Operations and STI Operations. The company's products portfolio includes DuraTrack HZ V3, a single axis tracker; Array STI H250, a dual-row tracker system; Array OmniTrack; Array SkyLink, a photovoltaic-powered control tracker system; and SmarTrack, a software and control-based product. Array Technologies, Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Albuquerque, New Mexico.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Array Technologies, Inc reported revenue of $1.3B in FY2025 versus $853M in FY2021, a compound +10.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$52.2M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 48/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.3B
Latest YoY
+40.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−7.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.0%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y)
−13.4%
Revenue +10.8%/yr
FY21 $853M
FY22 $1.6B
FY23 $1.6B
FY24 $916M
FY25 $1.3B
Net income
FY21 −$50.4M
FY22 $4.4M
FY23 $137M
FY24 −$240M
FY25 −$52.2M

ARRY screens 14% overvalued. Compare with First Solar, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Array Technologies, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ARRY

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Solar · 119 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −14% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) -6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Above median
Revenue growth -26% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 2.53× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Solar median · lower = cheaper

P/B 4.53× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.98× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 14.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 12.8× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.89× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 14 · sector 22
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 0 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 14

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Solar stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
First Solar, Inc FSLR $221.03 $284.45 +29%
Nextpower Inc NXT $111.50 $69.61 -38%
Waaree Energies Limited WAAREEENER ₹2,923 ₹3,613 +24%
Tongwei Co 600438 ¥13.08 ¥12.13 -7%
Jinko Solar Co 688223 ¥4.39 ¥4.75 +8%
Hengdian Group 002056 ¥21.64 ¥22.76 +5%
CSI Solar Co 688472 ¥10.11 ¥7.01 -31%
Enphase Energy, Inc ENPH $44.83 $22.20 -50%
Premier Energies Limited PREMIERENE ₹1,086 ₹912.32 -16%
Trina Solar Co 688599 ¥12.98 ¥7.97 -39%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Array Technologies, Inc (ARRY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.76 versus a price of $5.55, about −14% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ARRY?
Our model-based fair value for Array Technologies, Inc is $4.76 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $5.55.
What is the quality score of ARRY?
Array Technologies, Inc has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Array Technologies, Inc (ARRY)?
Array Technologies, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.2B (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ARRY?
The net profit margin of Array Technologies, Inc is about -5.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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