Array Technologies, Inc (ARRY) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $1.2B
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from $6.84 to $4.76 (−30.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −12.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 14% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($2.72 to $6.79) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.98 – $28.16 · fair‑value band $2.72 – $6.79 · the $5.55 price screens above the $4.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Array Technologies, Inc (ARRY) currently trades at $5.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.76, implying the stock looks roughly 14.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Array Technologies, Inc generated revenue of $1.2B at a net margin of -5.6%. Revenue declined 26.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -22.7%. Net debt stands at $522M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $2.72 (bear case) to $6.79 (bull case); at $5.55, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at -14%, ARRY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($7.81) versus Earnings-Based ($0.3000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 11
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Array Technologies, Inc. engages in the manufacture and sale of solar tracking technology products in the United States, Spain, Brazil, Australia, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Array Legacy Operations and STI Operations.
Full company description
Array Technologies, Inc. engages in the manufacture and sale of solar tracking technology products in the United States, Spain, Brazil, Australia, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Array Legacy Operations and STI Operations. The company's products portfolio includes DuraTrack HZ V3, a single axis tracker; Array STI H250, a dual-row tracker system; Array OmniTrack; Array SkyLink, a photovoltaic-powered control tracker system; and SmarTrack, a software and control-based product. Array Technologies, Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Albuquerque, New Mexico.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Array Technologies, Inc reported revenue of $1.3B in FY2025 versus $853M in FY2021, a compound +10.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$52.2M in FY2025.
ARRY screens 14% overvalued. Compare with First Solar, Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Array reaffirms $1.4B-$1.5B 2026 revenue while raising adjusted EPS to $0.68-$0.75
- Array Technologies, Inc. (ARRY) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Surpass Estimates
- Array Technologies, Inc. (ARRY) Stock Declines While Market Improves: Some Information for Investors
Peer Group
Solar · 119 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Solar median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Solar stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| First Solar, Inc FSLR | $221.03 | $284.45 | +29% |
| Nextpower Inc NXT | $111.50 | $69.61 | -38% |
| Waaree Energies Limited WAAREEENER | ₹2,923 | ₹3,613 | +24% |
| Tongwei Co 600438 | ¥13.08 | ¥12.13 | -7% |
| Jinko Solar Co 688223 | ¥4.39 | ¥4.75 | +8% |
| Hengdian Group 002056 | ¥21.64 | ¥22.76 | +5% |
| CSI Solar Co 688472 | ¥10.11 | ¥7.01 | -31% |
| Enphase Energy, Inc ENPH | $44.83 | $22.20 | -50% |
| Premier Energies Limited PREMIERENE | ₹1,086 | ₹912.32 | -16% |
| Trina Solar Co 688599 | ¥12.98 | ¥7.97 | -39% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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