Autosports Group (ASG) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · AU · Market cap A$340M

Below-average quality, screening 107% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

• The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (39/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
• The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$2.54). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$1.10 – A$4.50 · fair‑value band A$2.54 – A$4.24 · the A$1.64 price screens below the A$3.39 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Autosports Group (ASG) currently trades at A$1.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$3.39, implying the stock looks roughly 106.7% undervalued today. We read business quality at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Autosports Group generated revenue of A$3.0B at a net margin of 1.5%. Revenue grew 10.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.7%. Net debt stands at A$1.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$2.54 (bear case) to A$4.24 (bull case); at A$1.64, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 107%, ASG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: DCF Models (A$6.53) versus Dividend Discount (A$1.40). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Autosports Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the motor vehicle retailing business in Australia and New Zealand. The company sells new and used motor vehicles, aftermarket products, and spare parts; distributes finance and insurance products; and provides motor vehicle servicing and collision repair services.

Full company description

Autosports Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the motor vehicle retailing business in Australia and New Zealand. The company sells new and used motor vehicles, aftermarket products, and spare parts; distributes finance and insurance products; and provides motor vehicle servicing and collision repair services. It also operates used motor vehicle outlets; and motorcycle and motor vehicle dealerships, as well as provides motor vehicle collision repair facilities. Autosports Group Limited was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Leichhardt, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Autosports Group reported revenue of A$2.9B in FY2025 versus A$2.0B in FY2021, a compound +9.7%/yr. Reported net income was A$32.9M in FY2025, compounding −5.9%/yr from FY2021.

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Peer Group

Auto & Truck Dealerships · 103 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Auto & Truck Dealerships median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto & Truck Dealerships stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.