Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC (AT) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC £3.32, price £5.45, upside -39.2%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
58‑month range £1.57 – £8.75 · fair‑value band £1.64 – £6.66 · the £5.45 price screens above the £3.32 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Ashtead Technology Holdings Plc provides subsea equipment rental solutions for the offshore energy sector in Europe, the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, and the Middle East.
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Ashtead Technology Holdings Plc provides subsea equipment rental solutions for the offshore energy sector in Europe, the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, and the Middle East. The company offers survey and robotics equipment comprising geophysical, hydrographic, metocean, land surveying, positioning, ROV sensors, ROV and diver tooling, non-destructive testing, subsea inspection, remote visual inspection, and environmental products. It also provides mechanical solutions, such as subsea cutting and recovery, coating removal and cleaning, subsea dredging, ROV tooling, intervention skids, offshore support, and ACE lifting, pulling, and deployment. In addition, the company offers asset integrity solutions, including imaging and inspection, oceanographic, marine growth removal, monitoring, mooring and riser inspection, environmental monitoring, offshore construction and life of asset monitoring, offshore wind foundation inspection, ROV inspection services, mooring inspection and analysis, 3D imaging and metrology, riser cleaning, and remote operations. It serves the renewables, oil and gas, decommissioning solutions, and infrastructure and industrial markets. The company was formerly known as Redhill PLC and changed its name to Ashtead Technology Holdings Plc in November 2021. The company was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Westhill, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC (AT) currently trades at £5.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £3.32, implying the stock looks roughly 64.4% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of £15.31 per share, and 14 of the 26 models we run sit above the £5.45 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at £1.31, and 12 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: £1.64 (bear) to £6.66 (bull), the price of £5.45 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC reported revenue of £203M in FY2025 versus £55.8M in FY2021, a compound +38.1%/yr. Reported net income was £32.2M in FY2025, compounding +88.9%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap 443M GBX · P/E ratio 13.6 · P/S ratio 2.16 · EPS (TTM) £0.4000 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 15.9% · Return on equity 22.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 81% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −39%, AT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear £1.64Fair Value £3.32Bull £6.66
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (£0.2831 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+20.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+40.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+36.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+51.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+51.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 26%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+16.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+6.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +13.8% a year for the price and +3.9% for the forecasts.
Compare Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 190 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Above median
Fair Value upside−39% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)23% · Top 25%
Return on assets10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)16% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)27% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth19% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.75× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)13.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B3.74× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)2.89× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF28.5× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA9.0× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 20
FUTURE (revenue growth)94· sector 4
PAST (return on equity)91· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)62· sector 91
DIVIDEND (yield)5· sector 34
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC (AT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £3.32 versus a price of £5.45, about −39% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AT?
Our model-based fair value for Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC is £3.32 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £5.45.
What is the quality score of AT?
Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC (AT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £3.32 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario £1.64, optimistic scenario £6.66. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £3.32, about −39% upside versus a price of £5.45 (overvalued). Cautious scenario £1.64, optimistic scenario £6.66. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC (AT)?
Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £203M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC pay a dividend?
Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.24% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC (AT)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC would have to grow free cash flow by +16.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +36.8 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AT use?
Our models discount Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.41, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC that is +16.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC (AT) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC grew +36.8 % a year. The price currently implies +16.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC (AT) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC (+16.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC (AT)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.64 %: that much free cash flow Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC (AT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC it is £3.32 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of £5.45. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, AT trades above its calculated fair value: price £5.45, fair value £3.32, a gap of about −39% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£5.45); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£3.32). For Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC the two are £2.13 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC worth?
The market values Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC at about 443M GBX (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is £5.45; our models calculate a fair value of £3.32 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AT?
Our models span a range for Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC: cautious scenario £1.64, base £3.32, optimistic £6.66 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price £5.45). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AT?
Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.6 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of £3.32 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.7, P/S 2.9, EV/EBITDA 9.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC (AT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 22.7%, debt of 0.75 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AT from its 52-week high?
Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC trades at £5.45, at its 52-week high of £5.45 and 81% above the low of £3.01 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £3.32 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC?
From the same area (Energy) we also value SLB N.V, Baker Hughes Company, TechnipFMC plc, Halliburton Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price £5.45, calculated fair value £3.32 (−39%), Quality Score 55/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AT calculated?
We run Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £3.32, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC (AT)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was £5.45. Our model-based fair value is £3.32, about −39% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC right now?
The model range is unusually wide (£1.64 to £6.66). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC
How large is the market capitalisation of Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC (AT)?
The market capitalisation of Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC is 443M GBX. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC (AT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC is 2.16 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC (AT)?
Earnings per share at Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC are £0.4000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC (AT)?
The dividend yield of Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC is 0.2% (payout 3.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC (AT)?
The net margin of Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC is 15.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC (AT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC is 22.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC (AT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC is 13.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC (AT)?
The operating margin of Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC is 26.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC (AT)?
Revenue at Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC is growing +18.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +40.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC (AT)?
Earnings per share at Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC are growing +19.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC (AT) carry?
The net debt of Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC is 109M GBX (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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