Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (ATAKP) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. TRY 7.44, price TRY 33.08, upside -77.5%, quality 31 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
38‑month range 32.68 TRY – 88.68 TRY · fair‑value band 5.15 TRY – 10.76 TRY · the 33.08 TRY price screens above the 7.44 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
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Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. produces and supplies French fries in Turkey. It provides potato wedges, spicy coated potato wedges, crinkle potato, spicy coated crinkle potato, coated cage fries, and spicy coated cage fries. The company also offers frozen cheese stick and onion rings. It supplies its products to quick service restaurants.
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Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. produces and supplies French fries in Turkey. It provides potato wedges, spicy coated potato wedges, crinkle potato, spicy coated crinkle potato, coated cage fries, and spicy coated cage fries. The company also offers frozen cheese stick and onion rings. It supplies its products to quick service restaurants. The company also exports its products to the United Arab Emirates, China, Iraq, the United Kingdom, and Uzbekistan. Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (ATAKP) currently trades at 33.08 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 7.44 TRY, 77.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 30.26 TRY per share, and 1 of the 13 models we run sit above the 33.08 TRY price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 4.31 TRY, and 12 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 5.15 TRY (bear) to 10.76 TRY (bull), the price of 33.08 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. reported revenue of 3.9B TRY in FY2025 versus 2.1B TRY in FY2022, a compound +22.2%/yr. Reported net income was −79.8M TRY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 4.6B TRY (≈ $93.4M) · P/S ratio 1.27 · EPS (TTM) −3.34 TRY · Net margin −2.0% · Return on equity −7.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.4% · Operating margin −7.9% · Revenue (TTM) 3.6B TRY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 44 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at −78%, ATAKP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 5.15 TRYFair Value 7.44 TRYBull 10.76 TRY
Price 33.08 TRY · Upside -77.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.56/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.2%
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
24.8% (2022) → 2.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+41.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Turkey: IMF forecast 19.3% a year to 2030, 28.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +18.8% a year for the price.
Compare Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 634 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−77.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets1.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−12.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−7.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−10.6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/S (TTM)0.03× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF0.8× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA0.5× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 23
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 57
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ATAKP
Frequently asked questions
Is Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (ATAKP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 7.44 TRY versus a price of 33.08 TRY, about −78% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ATAKP?
Our model-based fair value for Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 7.44 TRY (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 33.08 TRY.
What is the quality score of ATAKP?
Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (ATAKP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 7.44 TRY (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 5.15 TRY, optimistic scenario 10.76 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 7.44 TRY, about −78% upside versus a price of 33.08 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 5.15 TRY, optimistic scenario 10.76 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (ATAKP)?
Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.6B TRY (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What growth is priced into Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (ATAKP)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. would have to grow free cash flow by +41.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 17.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew +22.2 % per year. As of Oct 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ATAKP use?
Our models discount Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. at 17.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Turkey. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. that is +41.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (17.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (ATAKP) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. grew +22.2 % a year. The price currently implies +41.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (ATAKP) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +0.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (+41.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (ATAKP)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.50 %: that much free cash flow Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (17.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (ATAKP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. it is 7.44 TRY per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of 33.08 TRY. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, ATAKP trades above its calculated fair value: price 33.08 TRY, fair value 7.44 TRY, a gap of about −78% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ATAKP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (33.08 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (7.44 TRY). For Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. the two are 25.64 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. worth?
The market values Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. at about 4.6B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is 33.08 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 7.44 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ATAKP?
Our models span a range for Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.: cautious scenario 5.15 TRY, base 7.44 TRY, optimistic 10.76 TRY per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price 33.08 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (ATAKP)?
Balance-sheet figures for Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity −7.5%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ATAKP from its 52-week high?
Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. trades at 33.08 TRY, about 47% below its 52-week high of 62.62 TRY and 1% above the low of 32.68 TRY (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 7.44 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price 33.08 TRY, calculated fair value 7.44 TRY (−78%), Quality Score 31/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ATAKP calculated?
We run Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 7.44 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (ATAKP)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was 33.08 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 7.44 TRY, about −78% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (10.76 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (5.15 TRY to 10.76 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.
How large is the market capitalisation of Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (ATAKP)?
The market capitalisation of Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 4.6B TRY (≈ $93.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (ATAKP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 1.27 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (ATAKP)?
Earnings per share at Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. are −3.34 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (ATAKP)?
The net margin of Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is −2.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (ATAKP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is −7.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (ATAKP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 11.4% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (ATAKP)?
The operating margin of Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is −7.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (ATAKP)?
Revenue at Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is growing −10.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +22.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (ATAKP)?
Earnings per share at Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. are growing −81.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (ATAKP) carry?
The net debt of Atakey Patates Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 200M TRY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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