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Athanase Innovation AB (ATIN) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · SE · Market cap 485M SEK

AI Athanase Innovation AB ATIN · ST
Pricekr 20.60
Fair Valuekr 9.08
Upside-55.9%
Quality39/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -124.0% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Low Range kr 5.99 – kr 11.35 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from kr 11.41 to kr 9.08 (−20.4%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +15.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 56% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 11.35). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (kr 5.99 to kr 11.35) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 167.67 kr 10.80 Fair Value kr 9.08 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 10.80 – kr 167.67 · fair‑value band kr 5.99 – kr 11.35 · the kr 20.60 price screens above the kr 9.08 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Athanase Innovation AB (ATIN) currently trades at kr 20.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 9.08, implying the stock looks roughly 55.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 47.1M SEK. Revenue grew 7.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -13.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 245M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 5.99 (bear case) to kr 11.35 (bull case); at kr 20.60, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 106% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -56%, ATIN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) kr 8.80 kr 11.79 kr 17.60 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 8.80 kr 11.79 kr 17.60 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 47.1M SEK
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.5%
Net margin -124%
Return on equity -13.3%
Free cash flow −67.5M SEK FY2026
P/E ratio 0.0
More key figures
Operating margin -58.6%
EPS (TTM) kr 757.92
EPS growth (YoY) -9.9%
Net cash 245M SEK FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 14
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 88
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 81
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 73
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Athanase Innovation AB is public investment firm. The company invests in private and public technology and innovation companies. It also develops and sells machine inspection unit, used for automatic quality control, inspection and measurement of pallets. Athanase Innovation AB was founded in 2016 and is based in Stockholm, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Athanase Innovation AB reported revenue of kr 36.9M in FY2026 versus kr 7.1M in FY2022, a compound +51.2%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 57.6M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 24/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
36.9M SEK
Latest YoY
−79.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+79.4%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.4%
Revenue +51.2%/yr
FY22 kr 7.1M
FY23 kr 6.4M
FY24 kr 40.6M
FY25 kr 177M
FY26 kr 36.9M
Net income
FY22 −kr 26.6M
FY23 −kr 115M
FY24 −kr 56.3M
FY25 −kr 19.6M
FY26 −kr 57.6M

ATIN screens 56% overvalued. Compare with Fondul Proprietatea SA →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Athanase Innovation AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ATIN

Peer Group

Asset Management · 971 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −56% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -124% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -66% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.92× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.12× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.09× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 6
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 54 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 69

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Athanase Innovation AB (ATIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 9.08 versus a price of kr 20.60, about −56% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ATIN?
Our model-based fair value for Athanase Innovation AB is kr 9.08 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 20.60.
What is the quality score of ATIN?
Athanase Innovation AB has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Athanase Innovation AB (ATIN)?
Athanase Innovation AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 47.1M SEK (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ATIN?
The net profit margin of Athanase Innovation AB is about -123.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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