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Atkore Inc (ATKR) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $2.4B

AI Atkore Inc logo Atkore Inc ATKR · US
Price$93.71
Fair Value$84.04
Upside-10.3%
Quality54/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -4.2% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
1.87% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Narrow moat 25/100
Evidence: High Range $64.99 – $120.24 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from $84.34 to $84.04 (−0.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +36.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 10% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range ($64.99 to $120.24) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Our model range runs from $64.99 (bear) to $120.24 (bull), base $84.04. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 54/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$186.29 $50.74 Fair Value $84.04 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $50.74 – $186.29 · fair‑value band $64.99 – $120.24 · the $93.71 price screens above the $84.04 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Atkore Inc (ATKR) currently trades at $93.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $84.04, implying the stock looks roughly 10.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Atkore Inc generated revenue of $2.9B at a net margin of -4.2%. Revenue grew 4.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.0%. Net debt stands at $425M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $64.99 (bear case) to $120.24 (bull case); at $93.71, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 79% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -10%, ATKR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $79.22 $105.68 $153.01 80
Rev-Margin DCF $61.28 $90.20 $127.25 74
ROIC Compounder $50.55 $61.11 $72.69 72
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $76.15 $103.33 $156.56 38
Owner Earnings $3.21 $6.66 $13.42 31
5Y Revenue Exit $61.28 $88.23 $128.86 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $85.48 $129.32 $189.39 41
10Y Revenue Exit $64.89 $88.53 $114.78 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $81.06 $114.85 $152.67 37
Earnings-Based
EPV $50.15 $59.24 $67.08 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $11.50 $13.67 $16.02 70
DDM Multi-Stage $11.50 $15.01 $19.28 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT $82.29 $112.19 $142.09 53
EV/EBITDA $107.34 $145.59 $183.84 54
EV/Revenue $56.61 $84.05 $111.49 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $20.71 $27.75 $41.41 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $79.22 $105.68 $153.01 80
Rev-Margin DCF $61.28 $90.20 $127.25 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $50.55 $61.11 $72.69 72

Widest divergence: Multiples ($112.19) versus Dividend Discount ($13.67). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.2%
Net margin -4.2%
Return on equity -9.0%
Free cash flow $296M FY2025
Operating margin 5.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-3.59
Dividend yield 1.9%
EPS growth (YoY) -66.4%
Net debt $425M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 4
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 57
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 19
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 81
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Atkore Inc. engages in the manufacture and sale of electrical, mechanical, safety, and infrastructure products and solutions in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments, Electrical, and Safety & Infrastructure.

Full company description

Atkore Inc. engages in the manufacture and sale of electrical, mechanical, safety, and infrastructure products and solutions in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments, Electrical, and Safety & Infrastructure. The company offers metal electrical conduit and fittings; plastic pipe conduit and fittings; electrical cable and flexible conduit; and international cable management systems; and mechanical tubes and pipes, metal framing and fittings, construction services, perimeter security, and cable management for the protection and reliability of critical infrastructure. It offers its products under the Allied Tube & Conduit, AFC Cable Systems, Kaf-Tech, Heritage Plastics, Unistrut, Power-Strut, Cope, US Tray, FRE Composites, Calbond, and Calpipe. The company serves various end markets, including new construction; maintenance, repair, and remodel; infrastructure; diversified industrials; alternative power generation; healthcare; data centers; and governments. The company was formerly known as Atkore International Group Inc. and changed its name to Atkore Inc. in February 2021. Atkore Inc. was founded in 1959 and is headquartered in Harvey, Illinois.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Atkore Inc reported revenue of $2.9B in FY2025 versus $2.9B in FY2021, a compound −0.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$15.2M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 52/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$2.9B
Latest YoY
−11.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−10.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+10.1%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y)
+4.8%
Revenue −0.7%/yr
FY21 $2.9B
FY22 $3.9B
FY23 $3.5B
FY24 $3.2B
FY25 $2.9B
Net income
FY21 $588M
FY22 $913M
FY23 $690M
FY24 $473M
FY25 −$15.2M

ATKR screens 10% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Atkore Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ATKR

Peer Group

Electrical Equipment & Parts · 528 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside −10% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth 4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.9% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.54× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.74× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.85× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 8.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 1.39× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 20 · sector 0
FUTURE 21 · sector 57
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 73 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 37 · sector 18

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 HK$675.50 HK$391.44 -42%
ABB Ltd ABBN CHF 83.82 CHF 35.46 -58%
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED 10.16 SGD 1.47 SGD -86%
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 334,000 KRW 201,455 KRW -40%
WEG S.A WEGE3 13,210 ARS 7,948 ARS -40%
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥114.79 ¥123.83 +8%
Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 ¥63.43 ¥33.04 -48%
HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 823,000 KRW 371,133 KRW -55%
LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 190,000 KRW 31,517 KRW -83%
Sieyuan Electric Co 002028 ¥151.73 ¥71.69 -53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Atkore Inc (ATKR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $84.04 versus a price of $93.71, about −10% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ATKR?
Our model-based fair value for Atkore Inc is $84.04 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $93.71.
What is the quality score of ATKR?
Atkore Inc has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Atkore Inc (ATKR)?
Atkore Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.9B (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ATKR?
The net profit margin of Atkore Inc is about -4.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Atkore Inc pay a dividend?
Atkore Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.55% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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