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Avalon Holdings (AWX) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $9.7M

AH Avalon Holdings logo Avalon Holdings AWX · US
Price$2.51
Fair Value$2.05
Upside-18.2%
Quality48/100
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Evidence: High Range $1.54 – $2.56

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 9 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from $1.83 to $2.05 (+12.0%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price −1.2% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$5.02 $2.39 Fair Value $2.05 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $2.39 – $5.02 · fair‑value band $1.54 – $2.56 · the $2.51 price screens above the $2.05 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Avalon Holdings (AWX) currently trades at $2.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.05 — implying the stock looks roughly 18.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Avalon Holdings generated revenue of $85.1M at a net margin of 0.7%. Revenue grew 9.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.9%. Net debt stands at $30.7M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $85.1M
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.9%
Net margin 0.7%
Return on equity 0.9%
Free cash flow $2.1M FY2025
P/E ratio 17.9
More key figures
Operating margin -4.2%
EPS (TTM) $0.1400
EPS growth (YoY) +3.4%
Net debt $30.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Avalon Holdings Corporation provides waste management services to industrial, commercial, municipal, and governmental customers in the United States. It operates through Waste Management Services, and Golf and Related Operations segments. The Waste Management Services segment offers hazardous and nonhazardous waste disposal brokerage and management services; captive landfill management services; and turnkey services, including daily operations, facilities management, and management reporting. This segment also engages in the saltwater injection well operations. The Golf and Related Operations segment is involved in the operation and management of golf courses and related clubhouses and facilities; and a hotel and its associated resort amenities, as well as an athletic centers. The company's golf and country club facilities offer swimming pools, fitness centers, tennis courts, dining and banquet, conference facilities, salon, and spa services. It also owns and operates hotel under …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Avalon Holdings reported revenue of $83.5M in FY2025 versus $70.4M in FY2021, a compound +4.4%/yr. Reported net income was $321K in FY2025, compounding −36.5%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +4.4%/yr
FY21 $70.4M
FY22 $81.2M
FY23 $80.5M
FY24 $83.8M
FY25 $83.5M
Net income −36.5%/yr
FY21 $2.0M
FY22 −$583K
FY23 −$1.8M
FY24 $1.3M
FY25 $321K

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Similar stocks

6 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Waste Management, Inc WM $220.40 $109.80 -50%
UWS UWS €187.85 €103.91 -45%
Republic Services, Inc RSG $204.36 $122.01 -40%
Waste Connections, Inc WCN $159.03 $63.83 -60%
Veolia Environnement SA VEOEF $41.05 $35.75 -13%
Clean Harbors, Inc CLH $288.64 $87.21 -70%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Avalon Holdings (AWX) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.05 versus a price of $2.51 — about −18% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of AWX?
Our model-based fair value for Avalon Holdings is $2.05 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $2.51.
What is the quality score of AWX?
Avalon Holdings has a Quality Score of 48/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Avalon Holdings (AWX)?
Avalon Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $85.1M (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AWX?
The net profit margin of Avalon Holdings is about 0.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.