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AutoZone, Inc (AZO) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $50.4B

AI AutoZone, Inc logo AutoZone, Inc AZO · US
Price$3,046
Fair Value$2,326
Upside-23.7%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $1,509 – $3,136

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Share price +7.4% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$4,207 $2,835 Fair Value $2,326 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range $2,835 – $4,207 · fair‑value band $1,509 – $3,136 · the $3,046 price screens above the $2,326 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

AutoZone, Inc (AZO) currently trades at $3,046, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2,326 — implying the stock looks roughly 23.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, AutoZone, Inc generated revenue of $20.0B at a net margin of 12.4%. Revenue grew 8.4% year over year. Net debt stands at $12.0B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 21.2. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $20.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.4%
Net margin 12.4%
Free cash flow $1.8B FY2025
P/E ratio 21.2
Operating margin 19.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $145.47
EPS growth (YoY) +7.7%
Net debt $12.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

AutoZone, Inc. operates as a retailer and distributor of automotive replacement parts and accessories in the United States, Mexico, and Brazil. The company offers a product line for cars, sport utility vehicles, vans, and light duty trucks, including new and remanufactured automotive hard parts, maintenance items, accessories, and non-automotive products. It also provides A/C compressors, batteries and accessories, bearings, belts and hoses, calipers, chassis, clutches, CV axles, engines, fuel pumps, fuses, ignition and lighting products, mufflers, radiators, starters and alternators, thermostats, and water pumps, as well as tire repairs. In addition, the company provides maintenance products, such as antifreeze and windshield washer fluids; brake drums, rotors, shoes, and pads; brake and power steering fluids, and oil and fuel additives; oil and transmission fluids; oil, cabin, air, fuel, and transmission filters; oxygen sensors; paints and accessories; refrigerants and accessories…

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

AutoZone, Inc reported revenue of $18.9B in FY2025 versus $14.6B in FY2021, a compound +6.7%/yr. Reported net income was $2.5B in FY2025, compounding +3.6%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +6.7%/yr
FY21 $14.6B
FY22 $16.3B
FY23 $17.5B
FY24 $18.5B
FY25 $18.9B
Net income +3.6%/yr
FY21 $2.2B
FY22 $2.4B
FY23 $2.5B
FY24 $2.7B
FY25 $2.5B

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Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

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Frequently asked questions

Is AutoZone, Inc (AZO) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2,326 versus a price of $3,046 — about −24% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of AZO?
Our 21-model fair value for AutoZone, Inc is $2,326 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $3,046.
What is the quality score of AZO?
AutoZone, Inc has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of AutoZone, Inc (AZO)?
AutoZone, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $20.0B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AZO?
The net profit margin of AutoZone, Inc is about 12.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.