AutoZone Inc (AZO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what AutoZone Inc is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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AutoZone Inc
AZO · USOvervalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.
What runs behind every stock
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1,386 – $4,355 · fair‑value band $1,168 – $3,144 · the $2,803 price screens above the $2,287 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 17, 2026.
Company profile
AutoZone, Inc. operates as a retailer and distributor of automotive replacement parts and accessories in the United States, Mexico, and Brazil. The company offers a product line for cars, sport utility vehicles, vans, and light duty trucks, including new and remanufactured automotive hard parts, maintenance items, accessories, and non-automotive products.
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AutoZone, Inc. operates as a retailer and distributor of automotive replacement parts and accessories in the United States, Mexico, and Brazil. The company offers a product line for cars, sport utility vehicles, vans, and light duty trucks, including new and remanufactured automotive hard parts, maintenance items, accessories, and non-automotive products. It also provides A/C compressors, batteries and accessories, bearings, belts and hoses, calipers, chassis, clutches, CV axles, engines, fuel pumps, fuses, ignition and lighting products, mufflers, radiators, starters and alternators, thermostats, and water pumps, as well as tire repairs. In addition, the company provides maintenance products, such as antifreeze and windshield washer fluids; brake drums, rotors, shoes, and pads; brake and power steering fluids, and oil and fuel additives; oil and transmission fluids; oil, cabin, air, fuel, and transmission filters; oxygen sensors; paints and accessories; refrigerants and accessories; shock absorbers and struts; spark plugs and wires; and windshield wipers. Further, it offers air fresheners, cell phone accessories, drinks and snacks, floor mats and seat covers, interior and exterior accessories, mirrors, performance products, protectants and cleaners, sealants and adhesives, steering wheel covers, tools, vehicle entertainment systems, and wash and wax products, as well as towing services. Additionally, the company provides a sales program that offers commercial credit and delivery of parts and other products; sells automotive diagnostic, repair, collision, and shop management information software under the ALLDATA brand through alldata.com; Duralast branded products through duralastparts.com; and automotive hard parts, maintenance items, accessories, and non-automotive products through autozone.com. AutoZone, Inc. was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.
Stock analysis
AutoZone Inc (AZO) currently trades at $2,803, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2,287, implying the stock looks roughly 22.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $2,995 per share, and 4 of the 23 models we run sit above the $2,803 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $570.49, and 19 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $1,168 (bear) to $3,144 (bull), the price of $2,803 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
AutoZone Inc reported revenue of $18.9B in FY2025 versus $14.6B in FY2021, a compound +6.7%/yr. Reported net income was $2.5B in FY2025, compounding +3.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $48.3B · P/E ratio 19.3 · P/S ratio 2.54 · EPS (TTM) $145.34 · Dividend yield 1.2% · Net margin 13.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 20.8% · Operating margin 19.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 59 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −18%, AZO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 23 models by family
Notify me when AZO reaches fair value
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
AZO screens 23% overvalued. Compare with O'Reilly Automotive, Inc →
Recent news
- Trump-Xi Summit, Costco, Autozone, General Mills, and More to Watch This Week
- AutoZone (AZO) Could Be 26% Undervalued Following Its 8,000th Store Opening
- AutoZone (AZO) Stock May Be 21% Undervalued After Earnings Inflection Talk
- AutoZone (AZO) Stock Fair Value Edges Lower After Analysts Trim Price Targets
Compare AutoZone Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 654 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| O'Reilly Automotive, Inc ORLY | $83.68 | $47.50 | −43% |
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 383,000 KRW | 643,909 KRW | +68% |
| Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660 | ¥54.08 | ¥72.66 | +34% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹164.30 | ₹85.89 | −48% |
| Magna International Inc MGA | $63.74 | $68.17 | +7% |
| Genuine Parts Company GPC | $130.52 | $58.07 | −56% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹47,800 | ₹11,534 | −76% |
| Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 | ¥43.76 | ¥28.28 | −35% |
| Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG | ₹1,919 | ₹393.20 | −80% |
| Autoliv, Inc ALIVSDB | kr 1,144 | kr 1,950 | +70% |
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Frequently asked questions
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Key figures of AutoZone Inc
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