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BigBear.ai Holdings (BBAI) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $1.8B

Price$3.77
Fair Value$3.83
Upside+1.6%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range $2.87 – $4.79

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

Analysis

BigBear.ai Holdings (BBAI) currently trades at $3.77, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.83 — implying the stock looks roughly 1.6% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. provides artificial intelligence-powered decision intelligence solutions for national security, supply chain management, and digital identity markets. It offers supply chain and logistics solutions, such as Data Conflation at Scale, which offers a view of operations enabling real-time tracking of inventory and facilitating predictive analytics to optimize functions, including routes and delivery times; Discrete Event Simulation, a course of action analysis and digital twin solution; and Next-Gen Decision Support solution for macroeconomic and geopolitical forecasting. The company also provides cybersecurity solutions, such as artificial intelligence (AI)-powered/machine-accelerated binary analysis, cyber-physical systems vulnerability testing and evaluation, vulnerability assessment as a service, and specialized services for the department of defense and intelligence community; and autonomous systems solutions, AI/machine learning (ML) decision intelligence…

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Frequently asked questions

Is BigBear.ai Holdings (BBAI) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.83 versus a price of $3.77 — about +2% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of BBAI?
Our 21-model fair value for BigBear.ai Holdings is $3.83 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $3.77.
What is the quality score of BBAI?
BigBear.ai Holdings has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.