BCP Investment Corp. (BCIC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of BCP Investment Corp. $6.13, price $7.10, upside -13.7%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $6.94 – $14.69 · fair‑value band $3.92 – $8.70 · the $7.10 price screens above the $6.13 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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BCP Investment Corp. is a business development company specializing in investments in unitranche loans (including last out), first lien loans, second lien loans, subordinated debt, equity co-investment, mezzanine, buyout in middle market companies. It also makes acquisitions in businesses complementary to the firm's business.
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BCP Investment Corp. is a business development company specializing in investments in unitranche loans (including last out), first lien loans, second lien loans, subordinated debt, equity co-investment, mezzanine, buyout in middle market companies. It also makes acquisitions in businesses complementary to the firm's business. The fund primarily invests in healthcare, cargo transport, manufacturing, industrial & environmental services, logistics & distribution, media & telecommunications, real estate, education, automotive, agriculture, aerospace/defense, packaging, electronics, finance, non-durable consumer, consumer products, business services, utilities, insurance, and food and beverage sectors. The fund typically invests $1 million to $20 million in its portfolio companies. The fund provides senior secured term loans from $2 million to $20 million maturing in five to seven years; second lien term loans from $5 million to $15 million maturing in six to eight years; senior unsecured loans $5 million to $23 million maturing in six to eight years; mezzanine loans from $5 million to $15 million maturing in seven to ten years; and equity investments from $1 to $5 million. The fund targets the companies with EBITDA between $5 million and $25 million. While investing in debt securities, it invests in those middle market firms with EBITDA between $10 million and $50 million and/or total debt between $25 million and $150 million. The fund invests in minority, and majority or control equity positions alongside its private equity sponsor partners.
Stock analysis
BCP Investment Corp. (BCIC) currently trades at $7.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.13, implying the stock looks roughly 15.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $54.28 per share, and 9 of the 9 models we run sit above the $7.10 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $11.32, and 0 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $3.92 (bear) to $8.70 (bull), the price of $7.10 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
BCP Investment Corp. reported revenue of $39.7M in FY2025 versus $52.4M in FY2021, a compound −6.7%/yr. Reported net income was $11.5M in FY2025, compounding −18.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $91.0M · P/E ratio 30.9 · P/S ratio 8.93 · EPS (TTM) $0.2300 · Net margin 28.9% · Return on equity 0.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.5% · Operating margin 72.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −4% fair-value upside, at −14%, BCIC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $3.92Fair Value $6.13Bull $8.70
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+92.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−36.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−36.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−26% vs −13%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.66% → 82%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 8.1%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 657 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score56 · Below median
Fair Value upside−14% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1% · Below median
Return on assets6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)72% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth45% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)24.4% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
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Is BCP Investment Corp. (BCIC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.13 versus a price of $7.10, about −14% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BCIC?
Our model-based fair value for BCP Investment Corp. is $6.13 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $7.10.
What is the quality score of BCIC?
BCP Investment Corp. has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for BCP Investment Corp. (BCIC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $6.13 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.92, optimistic scenario $8.70. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the BCP Investment Corp. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $6.13, about −14% upside versus a price of $7.10 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $3.92, optimistic scenario $8.70. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of BCP Investment Corp. (BCIC)?
BCP Investment Corp. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $66.6M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of BCP Investment Corp. (BCIC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For BCP Investment Corp. it is $6.13 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $7.10. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is BCP Investment Corp. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, BCIC trades above its calculated fair value: price $7.10, fair value $6.13, a gap of about −14% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BCIC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($7.10); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($6.13). For BCP Investment Corp. the two are $0.9710 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is BCP Investment Corp. worth?
The market values BCP Investment Corp. at about $91.0M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $7.10; our models calculate a fair value of $6.13 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BCIC?
Our models span a range for BCP Investment Corp.: cautious scenario $3.92, base $6.13, optimistic $8.70 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $7.10). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BCIC?
BCP Investment Corp. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 30.9 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $6.13 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 15.8 (reported 6.8). Other multiples: PEG 0.6, P/B 0.4, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 2.7.
What is the PEG ratio of BCIC?
The PEG ratio of BCP Investment Corp. is 0.60 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of BCP Investment Corp. (BCIC)?
Balance-sheet figures for BCP Investment Corp. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 0.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BCIC from its 52-week high?
BCP Investment Corp. trades at $7.10, about 42% below its 52-week high of $12.30 and 2% above the low of $6.94 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $6.13 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to BCP Investment Corp.?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, Brookfield Corporation, KKR & Co, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is BCP Investment Corp. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $7.10, calculated fair value $6.13 (−14%), Quality Score 55/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BCIC calculated?
We run BCP Investment Corp. through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $6.13, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. BCP Investment Corp. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of BCP Investment Corp. (BCIC)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $7.10. Our model-based fair value is $6.13, about −14% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with BCP Investment Corp. right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($3.92 to $8.70) leaves room in how you read the outcome. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of BCP Investment Corp.
How large is the market capitalisation of BCP Investment Corp. (BCIC)?
The market capitalisation of BCP Investment Corp. is $91.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of BCP Investment Corp. (BCIC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of BCP Investment Corp. is 8.93 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of BCP Investment Corp. (BCIC)?
Earnings per share at BCP Investment Corp. are $0.2300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 30.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of BCP Investment Corp. (BCIC)?
The net margin of BCP Investment Corp. is 28.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of BCP Investment Corp. (BCIC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of BCP Investment Corp. is 0.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of BCP Investment Corp. (BCIC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of BCP Investment Corp. is 1.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of BCP Investment Corp. (BCIC)?
The operating margin of BCP Investment Corp. is 72.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at BCP Investment Corp. (BCIC)?
Revenue at BCP Investment Corp. is growing +45.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +87.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does BCP Investment Corp. (BCIC) generate?
The free cash flow of BCP Investment Corp. is $66.7M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does BCP Investment Corp. (BCIC) carry?
The net debt of BCP Investment Corp. is $303M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Sep 23, 2026