A solid business, but trading 131% above our fair value of 2.19 PLN.
As of Aug 14, 2026, the fair value of Betacom S.A. is 2.19 PLN per share against a price of 5.06 PLN, so the fair value sits 57% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
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Risks
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +8.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.9% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
!Narrow moat 28/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 27 out of 100
For context
·7.31% dividend yield
Evidence: MediumRange 1.64 PLN – 2.74 PLN
Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 14, 2026, revised from 1.56 PLN to 2.19 PLN (+40.4%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price −2.3% over the past month.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (2.74 PLN). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 2.60 PLN – 6.25 PLN · fair‑value band 1.64 PLN – 2.74 PLN · the 5.06 PLN price screens above the 2.19 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
Betacom S.A. (BCM) currently trades at 5.06 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.19 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 131.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 14.24 PLN per share, and 9 of the 17 models we run sit above the 5.06 PLN price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 1.81 PLN, and 8 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Betacom S.A. generated revenue of 155M PLN at a net margin of 1.0%. Revenue declined 5.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 3.2M PLN. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1.64 PLN (bear case) to 2.74 PLN (bull case); at 5.06 PLN, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 69% fair-value upside, at −57%, BCM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
ModelBear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings best evidence11.01 PLN14.24 PLN18.13 PLN78
Residual Income3.67 PLN3.76 PLN3.59 PLN76
EPV3.65 PLN3.88 PLN4.07 PLN74
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings best evidence11.01 PLN14.24 PLN18.13 PLN78
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Key figures & financial health
P/E ratio14.9
P/S ratio0.14P/E × margin
EPS (TTM)0.3400 PLNprice ÷ EPS = P/E 14.9
Dividend yield7.3%payout 109%
Net margin0.9%FY2025
Return on equity6.7%TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT)0.7%avg 5y
Operating margin−1.9%TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM)147M PLNTTM
Revenue growth (YoY)−20.7%3y avg +0.2%
EPS growth (YoY)+99.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow−1.8M PLNFY2025
Net cash3.2M PLNFY2025
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality52/100
Of which business quality 51
· Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Profitability51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow12
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength64
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum37
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance82
Buybacks instead of dilution
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Betacom S.A. offers cloud services and IT solutions to enterprises in Poland. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Warsaw, Poland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Betacom S.A. reported revenue of 147M PLN in FY2025 versus 129M PLN in FY2021, a compound +3.4%/yr. Reported net income was 1.4M PLN in FY2025, compounding −4.8%/yr from FY2021.
Growth Quality 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
147M PLN
Latest YoY
−23.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (17Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+12.3% · in PLN
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+5.0%
Dividend yield7.3%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 5.0% vs 10Y −8.8%, picking up
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−2.5% (2020) → 0.9% (2025) · rising
Worst earnings drop353% (2020) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in PLN
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.7%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Revenue+3.4%/yr
FY21129M PLN
FY22146M PLN
FY23177M PLN
FY24191M PLN
FY25147M PLN
Net income−4.8%/yr
FY211.7M PLN
FY2264.0K PLN
FY231.5M PLN
FY242.0M PLN
FY251.4M PLN
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025)−5.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share−2.5 %
of which total revenue +5.3 % · buybacks/dilution −7.4 %
EBIT margin−3.6 %
Tax rate+0.1 %
Residual (interest, one-offs)+0.9 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Betacom S.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BCM.WAR
Peer Group
Information Technology Services · 488 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Quality Score52 · Below median
Fair Value upside−57% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM)7% · Below median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth−21% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)7.3% · Top 25%
Debt / equity0.01× · Lower than median
Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)14.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B0.27× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM)0.04× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE0· sector 33
FUTURE0· sector 30
PAST27· sector 32
HEALTH100· sector 97
DIVIDEND100· sector 35
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).
As of Aug 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.19 PLN versus a price of 5.06 PLN, about −57% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BCM?
Our model-based fair value for Betacom S.A. is 2.19 PLN (as of Aug 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 5.06 PLN.
What is the quality score of BCM?
Betacom S.A. has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Betacom S.A. (BCM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2.19 PLN (as of Aug 14, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.64 PLN, optimistic scenario 2.74 PLN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Betacom S.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2.19 PLN, about −57% upside versus a price of 5.06 PLN (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1.64 PLN, optimistic scenario 2.74 PLN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Betacom S.A. (BCM)?
Betacom S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 155M PLN (latest available figure, as of Aug 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BCM?
The net profit margin of Betacom S.A. is about 1.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Betacom S.A. pay a dividend?
Betacom S.A. currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.31% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 14, 2026).
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