Blau Farmacêutica S.A (BLAU3) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · BR · Market cap R$2.4B
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Share price −18.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 115% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (33/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (R$13.84). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$6.25 – R$467,658 · fair‑value band R$13.84 – R$23.34 · the R$8.59 price screens below the R$18.45 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Blau Farmacêutica S.A (BLAU3) currently trades at R$8.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$18.45, implying the stock looks roughly 114.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Blau Farmacêutica S.A generated revenue of R$1.8B at a net margin of 13.8%. Revenue grew 16.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.9%. Net debt stands at R$554M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R$13.84 (bear case) to R$23.34 (bull case); at R$8.59, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at 115%, BLAU3 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (R$21.28) versus Dividend Discount (R$4.13). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Blau Farmacêutica S.A., a pharmaceutical company provides drug products in Brazil, Argentina, Chile, Colombia, Uruguay, Ecuador, Peru, and the United States. Its products cover various areas, such as immunology, hematology, oncology, nephrology, infectology, and anesthesiology.
Full company description
Blau Farmacêutica S.A., a pharmaceutical company provides drug products in Brazil, Argentina, Chile, Colombia, Uruguay, Ecuador, Peru, and the United States. Its products cover various areas, such as immunology, hematology, oncology, nephrology, infectology, and anesthesiology. The company offers uterine stimulator, antirheumatic, anaesthetics, antibiotics, feminine health care, biopharmaceuticals, oncologicals, hospital products, antivirals and antiretrovirals, biológicos, acid pump inhibitor, hemoderivatives, antithrombotic, and thrombolytics products. Blau Farmacêutica S.A. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Cotia, Brazil.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Blau Farmacêutica S.A reported revenue of R$1.7B in FY2025 versus R$1.4B in FY2021, a compound +5.6%/yr. Reported net income was R$295M in FY2025, compounding −2.4%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +17.7 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 621 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 | ¥53.19 | ¥25.94 | -51% |
| Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA | ₹1,933 | ₹989.50 | -49% |
| Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB | ₹7,316 | ₹1,943 | -73% |
| Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited TORNTPHARM | ₹4,763 | ₹1,329 | -72% |
| PharmaEssentia Corporation 6446 | 1,285 TWD | 221.01 TWD | -83% |
| Cipla Limited CIPLA | ₹1,439 | ₹1,001 | -30% |
| Zydus Lifesciences Limited ZYDUSLIFE | ₹1,151 | ₹703.32 | -39% |
| Lupin Limited LUPIN | ₹2,443 | ₹2,477 | +1% |
| Mankind Pharma Limited MANKIND | ₹2,484 | ₹983.11 | -60% |
| Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited DRREDDY | ₹1,211 | ₹874.79 | -28% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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