BMC (BMC) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · Market cap 233M PLN
Fair value as of: Jul 10, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −10.1% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 8.40 PLN – 39.05 PLN · fair‑value band 3.09 PLN – 6.72 PLN · the 15.52 PLN price screens above the 5.18 PLN fair value. As of Jul 10, 2026.
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BMC (BMC) currently trades at 15.52 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5.18 PLN — implying the stock looks roughly 66.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, BMC generated revenue of 329M PLN at a net margin of -46.7%. Revenue grew 68.6% year over year. Net debt stands at 495M PLN. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 0.5. Fundamentals as of Jul 10, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 3.09 PLN (bear case) to 6.72 PLN (bull case); at 15.52 PLN, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and 91% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -18% fair-value upside — at -67%, BMC screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 10, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
BMC reported revenue of 329M PLN in FY2025 versus 427M PLN in FY2021, a compound −6.3%/yr. Reported net income was −154M PLN in FY2025.
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Similar stocks
10 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 10, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Shenhua Energy Company 601088 | ¥41.51 | ¥34.07 | -18% |
| Adani Enterprises Limited ADANIENT | ₹2,931 | ₹796.70 | -73% |
| Shaanxi Coal Industry Company 601225 | ¥27.14 | ¥24.13 | -11% |
| Yankuang Energy Group 600188 | ¥23.49 | ¥16.60 | -29% |
| China Coal Energy Company 601898 | ¥15.84 | ¥20.15 | +27% |
| Coal India Limited COALINDIA | ₹472.30 | ₹1,206 | +155% |
| Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy Corporation 002128 | ¥25.87 | ¥23.01 | -11% |
| Shanxi Lu'an Environmental Energy Development Co 601699 | ¥17.60 | ¥10.98 | -38% |
| PT Bumi Resources Tbk, PBMRY | $2.23 | $0.5800 | -74% |
| PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk, through its subsidiaries, CUAN | 775.00 IDR | 290.99 IDR | -62% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.