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Bumi Resources Tbk PT (PBMRY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Bumi Resources Tbk PT $0.40, price $2.23, upside -82.1%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Energy · US · ADR · ISIN US69367Y1073

BR Bumi Resources Tbk PT logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Bumi Resources Tbk PT

PBMRY · US

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $0.4000 · Strongly overvalued (−82%)
!Quality 45/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue YoY +4.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.8% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/12)
!Narrow moat 29/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $0.3200 to $0.8100
!Weak on past: 18 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$5.39 $0.7500 Fair Value $0.4000 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.7500 – $5.39 · fair‑value band $0.3200 – $0.8100 · the $2.23 price screens above the $0.4000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

PT Bumi Resources Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the mining activities in Indonesia. The company operates through three segments: Holding Company, Coal, and Minerals. It engages in the exploration, exploitation, mining, and sale of coal deposits; and explores gold and silver properties. The company also exports its products.

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PT Bumi Resources Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the mining activities in Indonesia. The company operates through three segments: Holding Company, Coal, and Minerals. It engages in the exploration, exploitation, mining, and sale of coal deposits; and explores gold and silver properties. The company also exports its products. The company also exports its products. The company was formerly known as PT Bumi Modern Tbk. and changed its name to PT Bumi Resources Tbk in September 2000. PT Bumi Resources Tbk was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia.

Stock analysis

Bumi Resources Tbk PT ADR (PBMRY) currently trades at $2.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4000, implying the stock looks roughly 457.4% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $1.86 per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the $2.23 price.

Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at $0.2500, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.3200 (bear) to $0.8100 (bull), the price of $2.23 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Bumi Resources Tbk PT ADR reported revenue of $1.4B in FY2025 versus $1.0B in FY2021, a compound +9.0%/yr. Reported net income was $84.2M in FY2025, compounding −15.9%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $7.4B · P/E ratio 44.6 · P/S ratio 2.64 · EPS (TTM) $0.0500 · Net margin 5.9% · Return on equity 4.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.8% · Operating margin 11.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −82%, PBMRY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.3200 Fair Value $0.4000 Bull $0.8100
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0366 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV $0.2900 $0.3500 $0.4000 74
ROIC Compounder $0.2900 $0.3500 $0.4000 68
EV/EBITDA $0.3400 $0.4800 $0.6200 67
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $0.0700 $0.2500 $0.6300 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.3100 $2.15 $3.02 59
Lynch FV $1.11 $1.59 $2.06 57
PEG = 1.0 $1.11 $1.59 $2.06 54
EPV $0.2900 $0.3500 $0.4000 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.4800 $0.6400 $0.7900 63
P/S Multiple $0.5800 $0.7700 $0.9600 58
P/B Multiple $0.5800 $0.7700 $0.9600 55
EV/EBIT $0.4400 $0.6200 $0.8000 65
EV/EBITDA $0.3400 $0.4800 $0.6200 67
EV/Revenue $0.5500 $0.8300 $1.11 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.4400 $0.5800 $0.8700 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.6600 $0.6700 $0.6300 66
ROIC Compounder $0.2900 $0.3500 $0.4000 68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $1.30 $1.86 $2.42 64

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 36/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−28.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−28.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−28% vs −19%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 28.5%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

PBMRY screens 457% overvalued. Compare with China Shenhua Energy Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Thermal Coal · 101 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −82% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 20% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.18× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 44.6× · Priciest 25%
P/B 4.56× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 4.94× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 41.9× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 12
FUTURE (revenue growth)99 · sector 4
PAST (return on equity)18 · sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)91 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 55

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Coal Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Shenhua Energy Company 601088 ¥47.51 ¥32.88 −31%
PT Bayan Resources Tbk., BYAN 11,850 IDR 4,827 IDR −59%
Adani Enterprises Limited ADANIENT ₹2,997 ₹891.11 −70%
Shaanxi Coal Industry Company 601225 ¥26.03 ¥28.63 +10%
Yankuang Energy Group 600188 ¥20.35 ¥13.05 −36%
Coal India Limited COALINDIA ₹428.00 ₹464.01 +8%
China Coal Energy Company 601898 ¥14.23 ¥14.62 +3%
PT Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk, DSSA 980.00 IDR 356.60 IDR −64%
Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy Corporation 002128 ¥28.24 ¥20.48 −27%
Shanxi Lu'an Environmental Energy Development Co 601699 ¥15.75 ¥9.97 −37%

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Bumi Resources Tbk PT ADR · Fair Value
$0.4000 −457%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bumi Resources Tbk PT ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PBMRY

Frequently asked questions

Is Bumi Resources Tbk PT (PBMRY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.4000 versus a price of $2.23, about −82% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PBMRY?
Our model-based fair value for Bumi Resources Tbk PT ADR is $0.4000 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.23.
What is the quality score of PBMRY?
Bumi Resources Tbk PT ADR has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bumi Resources Tbk PT (PBMRY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.4000 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.3200, optimistic scenario $0.8100. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bumi Resources Tbk PT ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.4000, about −82% upside versus a price of $2.23 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.3200, optimistic scenario $0.8100. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bumi Resources Tbk PT (PBMRY)?
Bumi Resources Tbk PT ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Bumi Resources Tbk PT (PBMRY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bumi Resources Tbk PT ADR it is $0.4000 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $2.23. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bumi Resources Tbk PT ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, PBMRY trades above its calculated fair value: price $2.23, fair value $0.4000, a gap of about −82% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PBMRY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.23); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.4000). For Bumi Resources Tbk PT ADR the two are $1.83 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bumi Resources Tbk PT ADR worth?
The market values Bumi Resources Tbk PT ADR at about $7.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $2.23; our models calculate a fair value of $0.4000 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PBMRY?
Our models span a range for Bumi Resources Tbk PT ADR: cautious scenario $0.3200, base $0.4000, optimistic $0.8100 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $2.23). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PBMRY?
Bumi Resources Tbk PT ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 44.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.4000 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.6, P/S 4.9, EV/EBITDA 41.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bumi Resources Tbk PT (PBMRY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bumi Resources Tbk PT ADR (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 4.6%, debt of 0.18 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PBMRY from its 52-week high?
Bumi Resources Tbk PT ADR trades at $2.23, about 59% below its 52-week high of $5.39 and 50% above the low of $1.49 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.4000 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bumi Resources Tbk PT ADR?
From the same area (Energy) we also value China Shenhua Energy Company, PT Bayan Resources Tbk.,, Adani Enterprises Limited, Shaanxi Coal Industry Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bumi Resources Tbk PT ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $2.23, calculated fair value $0.4000 (−82%), Quality Score 45/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PBMRY calculated?
We run Bumi Resources Tbk PT ADR through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.4000, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Bumi Resources Tbk PT ADR itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bumi Resources Tbk PT (PBMRY)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $2.23. Our model-based fair value is $0.4000, about −82% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bumi Resources Tbk PT ADR right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.8100). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($0.3200 to $0.8100) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Bumi Resources Tbk PT ADR

How large is the market capitalisation of Bumi Resources Tbk PT (PBMRY)?
The market capitalisation of Bumi Resources Tbk PT ADR is $7.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bumi Resources Tbk PT (PBMRY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bumi Resources Tbk PT ADR is 2.64 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bumi Resources Tbk PT (PBMRY)?
Earnings per share at Bumi Resources Tbk PT ADR are $0.0500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 44.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Bumi Resources Tbk PT (PBMRY)?
The net margin of Bumi Resources Tbk PT ADR is 5.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bumi Resources Tbk PT (PBMRY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bumi Resources Tbk PT ADR is 4.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bumi Resources Tbk PT (PBMRY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bumi Resources Tbk PT ADR is 2.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bumi Resources Tbk PT (PBMRY)?
The operating margin of Bumi Resources Tbk PT ADR is 11.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bumi Resources Tbk PT (PBMRY)?
Revenue at Bumi Resources Tbk PT ADR is growing +19.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bumi Resources Tbk PT (PBMRY)?
Earnings per share at Bumi Resources Tbk PT ADR are growing +35.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Bumi Resources Tbk PT (PBMRY) generate?
The free cash flow of Bumi Resources Tbk PT ADR is −$66.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Bumi Resources Tbk PT (PBMRY) carry?
The net debt of Bumi Resources Tbk PT ADR is $316M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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