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Baronsmead Second Venture Trust plc (BMD) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · GB · Market cap 203M GBX

BS Baronsmead Second Venture Trust plc BMD · LSE
Price£0.4760
Fair Value£0.1000
Upside-79.0%
Quality50/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -56.9% net margin
negative free cash flow
8.40% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 40/100
Evidence: High Range £0.0800 – £0.1300 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price −6.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 79% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£0.1300). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£0.6546 £0.4269 Fair Value £0.1000 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £0.4269 – £0.6546 · fair‑value band £0.0800 – £0.1300 · the £0.4760 price screens above the £0.1000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Baronsmead Second Venture Trust plc (BMD) currently trades at £0.4760, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.1000, implying the stock looks roughly 79.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Baronsmead Second Venture Trust plc generated revenue of £8.3M at a net margin of 30.9%. Revenue grew 143.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of £3.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £0.0800 (bear case) to £0.1300 (bull case); at £0.4760, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -79%, BMD screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
P/B Multiple £0.3300 £0.4400 £0.5500 55
NCAV (Graham) £0.2600 £0.3500 £0.5200 50
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple £0.3300 £0.4400 £0.5500 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £0.2600 £0.3500 £0.5200 50

Widest divergence: Multiples (£0.4400) versus Asset-Based (£0.3500). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.6M GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) +143%
Net margin -56.9%
Return on equity -1.0%
Free cash flow −£3.7M FY2025
P/E ratio 42.8
More key figures
Operating margin 116%
Dividend yield 8.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +208%
Net cash £3.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 85
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 29
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 22
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Baronsmead Second Venture Trust plc is a venture capital trust managed by ISIS Equity Partners LLP. It invests in a portfolio of unquoted companies in the United Kingdom. The trust primarily invests in the media, business services, consumer, information technology support services, technology-enabled companies, and healthcare sectors.

Full company description

Baronsmead Second Venture Trust plc is a venture capital trust managed by ISIS Equity Partners LLP. It invests in a portfolio of unquoted companies in the United Kingdom. The trust primarily invests in the media, business services, consumer, information technology support services, technology-enabled companies, and healthcare sectors. It also invests in companies raising new share capital on the alternative investment market, as well as in technology-enabled companies in the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Baronsmead Second Venture Trust plc reported revenue of £3.3M in FY2025 versus £57.2M in FY2021, a compound −51.0%/yr. Reported net income was £2.6M in FY2025, compounding −53.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 9/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
£3.3M
Latest YoY
−82.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−17.0%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.9%
Revenue −51.0%/yr
FY21 £57.2M
FY22 −£49.3M
FY23 −£6.2M
FY24 £18.8M
FY25 £3.3M
Net income −53.8%/yr
FY21 £56.5M
FY22 −£50.0M
FY23 −£6.9M
FY24 £13.1M
FY25 £2.6M

BMD screens 79% overvalued. Compare with Fondul Proprietatea SA →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Baronsmead Second Venture Trust plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BMD

Peer Group

Asset Management · 971 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −79% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -57% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 116% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 143% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 8.4% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 42.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.24× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 76.12× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 37
FUTURE 100 · sector 6
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 69

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Baronsmead Second Venture Trust plc (BMD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.1000 versus a price of £0.4760, about −79% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BMD?
Our model-based fair value for Baronsmead Second Venture Trust plc is £0.1000 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £0.4760.
What is the quality score of BMD?
Baronsmead Second Venture Trust plc has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Baronsmead Second Venture Trust plc (BMD)?
Baronsmead Second Venture Trust plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £8.3M (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BMD?
The net profit margin of Baronsmead Second Venture Trust plc is about 30.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 30.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Baronsmead Second Venture Trust plc pay a dividend?
Baronsmead Second Venture Trust plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 9.35% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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