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BlackRock Health Sciences Trust (BME) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $570M · ISIN US09250W1071

What is BlackRock Health Sciences Trust really worth?

BH BlackRock Health Sciences Trust logo BlackRock Health Sciences Trust BME · US
Price$45.81
Fair Value$77.42
Upside+69.0%
Quality65/100

A solid business, trading 41% below our fair value of $77.42.

As of Aug 16, 2026, the fair value of BlackRock Health Sciences Trust is $77.42 per share against a price of $45.81, so the fair value sits 69% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

Ranks above peers (7/11)

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y −14.7 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Moderate moat 50/100

For context

·6.87% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $41.12 – $96.78

Fair value as of: Aug 16, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Share price +6.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid quality (65/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($41.12 to $96.78) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$46.28 $28.83 Fair Value $77.42 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $28.83 – $46.28 · fair‑value band $41.12 – $96.78 · the $45.81 price screens below the $77.42 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 16, 2026.

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Analysis

BlackRock Health Sciences Trust (BME) currently trades at $45.81, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $77.42, implying the stock looks roughly 40.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of $208.44 per share, and 5 of the 8 models we run sit above the $45.81 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $29.46, and 3 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Revenue grew 7.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.8%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 7.7. Fundamentals as of Aug 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $41.12 (bear case) to $96.78 (bull case); at $45.81, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at 69%, BME screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $1.89 per share. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence $39.99 $46.41 $79.73 72
Gordon GGM $24.41 $43.99 $60.56 66
DDM Multi-Stage $24.41 $40.18 $46.99 65
All 8 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $40.50 $282.42 $396.34 61
Lynch FV $145.91 $208.44 $270.97 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $24.41 $43.99 $60.56 66
DDM Multi-Stage $24.41 $40.18 $46.99 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple $58.07 $77.42 $96.78 63
P/B Multiple $46.17 $61.56 $76.95 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $21.99 $29.46 $43.97 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence $39.99 $46.41 $79.73 72

Widest divergence: Earnings-Based ($208.44) versus Asset-Based ($29.46). Highest evidence: Residual Income (72).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 7.7
P/S ratio 16.5 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $5.92 price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.7
Dividend yield 6.9% payout 53.1%
Net margin 995% TTM
Return on equity 13.8% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 4.5% avg 5y
Operating margin 20.3% TTM
Growth
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +306%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$4.4M FY2025
Net debt $894K FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 79

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 73
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 97
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 64
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 86
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

BlackRock Health Sciences Trust is a closed-ended equity mutual fund launched by BlackRock, Inc. The fund is managed by BlackRock Advisors, LLC. It invests in the public equity markets of the United States.

Full company description

BlackRock Health Sciences Trust is a closed-ended equity mutual fund launched by BlackRock, Inc. The fund is managed by BlackRock Advisors, LLC. It invests in the public equity markets of the United States. The fund seeks to invest in stocks of companies operating in the health sciences and related sectors, which include businesses involved in researching, developing, producing, distributing or delivering medical, dental, optical, pharmaceutical or biotechnology products, supplies, equipment, or services. It also invests through equity derivatives, with an emphasis on option writing. The fund benchmarks the performance of its portfolio against the Russell 3000 Healthcare Index. BlackRock Health Sciences Trust was formed on March 31, 2005 and is domiciled in the United States.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

BlackRock Health Sciences Trust reported revenue of $36.2M in FY2025 versus $59.7M in FY2021, a compound −11.8%/yr. Reported net income was $77.0M in FY2025, compounding +6.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$36.2M
Latest YoY
+50.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−14.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (19Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.6%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
≈ +59.9% (approximate, leans on 2025) · in USD
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+53.0%
Dividend yield6.9%
Trend Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 53.0% vs 10Y 1.2%, picking up
Operating margin (EBIT) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.99.3% (2020) → 212.9% (2025) · rising
Worst earnings drop398% (2022) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in USD
⚠ Rate leans on 2025: that final year sits 269% above its own trend (e.g. a one-off disposal gain) and could not be adjusted
Revenue −11.8%/yr
FY21 $59.7M
FY22 −$26.0M
FY23 $34.9M
FY24 $24.1M
FY25 $36.2M
Net income +6.8%/yr
FY21 $59.1M
FY22 −$26.5M
FY23 $20.0M
FY24 $23.5M
FY25 $77.0M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2012-2023) −22.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +6.0 %

of which total revenue +32.3 % · buybacks/dilution −19.9 %

EBIT margin +12.5 %
Tax rate +7.2 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −39.0 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BlackRock Health Sciences Trust Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BME.US

Peer Group

Asset Management · 695 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Above median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 20% · Below median
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.9% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.7× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.00× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 73.75× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 7.4× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 40
FUTURE38 · sector 15
PAST55 · sector 24
HEALTH100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND100 · sector 81

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Blackstone Inc BX $142.39 $52.88 −63%
Investor AB INVEB kr 408.05 kr 827.56 +103%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$55.74 C$10.67 −81%
KKR & Co KKR $108.68 $19.97 −82%
Apollo Global Management, Inc APO $135.04 $101.04 −25%
State Street Corporation STT $193.33 $138.33 −28%
Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP $559.32 $515.24 −8%
Ares Management Corporation ARES $143.10 $30.88 −78%
Northern Trust Corporation NTRS $186.79 $122.02 −35%
Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF $181.10 $142.42 −21%

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Frequently asked questions

Is BlackRock Health Sciences Trust (BME) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $77.42 versus a price of $45.81, about +69% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BME?
Our model-based fair value for BlackRock Health Sciences Trust is $77.42 (as of Aug 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $45.81.
What is the quality score of BME?
BlackRock Health Sciences Trust has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for BlackRock Health Sciences Trust (BME)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $77.42 (as of Aug 16, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario $41.12, optimistic scenario $96.78. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the BlackRock Health Sciences Trust stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $77.42, about +69% upside versus a price of $45.81 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $41.12, optimistic scenario $96.78. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does BlackRock Health Sciences Trust pay a dividend?
BlackRock Health Sciences Trust currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.87% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 16, 2026).
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