BPH Energy Ltd (BPH) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of BPH Energy Ltd A$0.00, price A$0.00, upside -13.3%, quality 35 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0020 – A$0.0766 · the A$0.0030 price screens above the A$0.0026 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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BPH Energy Limited invests in biotechnology and oil and gas exploration and development industries in Australia. It also provides biomedical research services. The company was formerly known as BioPharmica Limited. BPH Energy Limited was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Stirling, Australia.
Stock analysis
BPH Energy Ltd (BPH) currently trades at A$0.0030, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0026, 13.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 9 models at a data quality of 94/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
BPH Energy Ltd reported revenue of A$837K in FY2025 versus A$65.5K in FY2021, a compound +89.0%/yr. Reported net income was A$6.8M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$3.8M (≈ $2.6M) · P/S ratio 4.44 · Net margin −132% · Return on equity −3.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.5% · Operating margin −59.3% · Revenue (TTM) A$914K · Revenue growth (YoY) +19.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 77% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at −13%, BPH screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.0026Fair Value A$0.0026Bull A$0.0026
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.44/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+130.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +14.1% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+12.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+12.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.746% → −100%
2025 sits 98% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 23.7%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 652 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−13.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−0.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−132.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−59.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth19.8% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BPH Energy Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BPH
Frequently asked questions
Is BPH Energy Ltd (BPH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0026 versus a price of A$0.0030, about −13% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BPH?
Our model-based fair value for BPH Energy Ltd is A$0.0026 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0030.
What is the quality score of BPH?
BPH Energy Ltd has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for BPH Energy Ltd (BPH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0026 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 2 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the BPH Energy Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0026, about −13% upside versus a price of A$0.0030 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of BPH Energy Ltd (BPH)?
BPH Energy Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$914K (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of BPH Energy Ltd (BPH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For BPH Energy Ltd it is A$0.0026 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of A$0.0030. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is BPH Energy Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, BPH trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0030, fair value A$0.0026, a gap of about −13% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BPH?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0030); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0026). For BPH Energy Ltd the two are A$0.0004 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is BPH Energy Ltd worth?
The market values BPH Energy Ltd at about A$3.8M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0030; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0026 per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of BPH Energy Ltd (BPH)?
Balance-sheet figures for BPH Energy Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −3.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BPH from its 52-week high?
BPH Energy Ltd trades at A$0.0030, about 77% below its 52-week high of A$0.0130 and 50% above the low of A$0.0020 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0026 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to BPH Energy Ltd?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, KKR & Co, Brookfield Corporation, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is BPH Energy Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price A$0.0030, calculated fair value A$0.0026 (−13%), Quality Score 35/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BPH calculated?
We run BPH Energy Ltd through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0026, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. BPH Energy Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of BPH Energy Ltd (BPH)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was A$0.0030. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0026, about −13% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with BPH Energy Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0026). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of BPH Energy Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of BPH Energy Ltd (BPH)?
The market capitalisation of BPH Energy Ltd is A$3.8M (≈ $2.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of BPH Energy Ltd (BPH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of BPH Energy Ltd is 4.44 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of BPH Energy Ltd (BPH)?
The net margin of BPH Energy Ltd is −132% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of BPH Energy Ltd (BPH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of BPH Energy Ltd is −3.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of BPH Energy Ltd (BPH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of BPH Energy Ltd is −5.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of BPH Energy Ltd (BPH)?
The operating margin of BPH Energy Ltd is −59.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at BPH Energy Ltd (BPH)?
Revenue at BPH Energy Ltd is growing +19.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +131%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at BPH Energy Ltd (BPH)?
Earnings per share at BPH Energy Ltd are growing +156% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does BPH Energy Ltd (BPH) generate?
The free cash flow of BPH Energy Ltd is −A$737K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does BPH Energy Ltd (BPH) hold?
BPH Energy Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$4.0M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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