Brand Group (M.G) Ltd (BRND) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 5, 2026: fair value of Brand Group (M.G) Ltd ILS 4.61, price ILS 2.88, upside +60.0%, quality 24 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.91 ILA – 5.07 ILA · fair‑value band 0.9216 ILA – 9.06 ILA · the 2.88 ILA price screens below the 4.61 ILA fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 5, 2026.
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Brand Group (M.G) Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in metal construction and infrastructure, energy facilities, petrochemical facilities, and other industrial facilities in Israel. The company operates through Infrastructure, Engineering, Software and Control, and Other Activities segment.
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Brand Group (M.G) Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in metal construction and infrastructure, energy facilities, petrochemical facilities, and other industrial facilities in Israel. The company operates through Infrastructure, Engineering, Software and Control, and Other Activities segment. The company is involved in development and production of automatic inspection systems, computerized ticketing and entry control systems in the fields of public transportation, fleet management systems, information security, electric charging management systems, and observation balloon systems; planning, construction, and maintenance of renewable energy projects. It also engages in planning, construction, and maintenance of roads, interchanges, car tunnels, bridges, railway tunnels, railway stations, airport runways, architectural lighting, and more; electrical systems and infrastructures; and providing traffic control systems, railway signaling systems, security and safety systems, fire detection systems, traffic lights, and other products. The company was formerly known as Brand Industries Ltd. and changed its name to Brand Group (M.G) Ltd in November 2021. Brand Group (M.G) Ltd was founded in 1977 and is based in Yeruham, Israel.
Stock analysis
Brand Group (M.G) Ltd (BRND) currently trades at 2.88 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 4.61 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 37.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 17.30 ILA per share, and 2 of the 5 models we run sit above the 2.88 ILA price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 1.55 ILA, and 3 of the 5 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.9216 ILA (bear) to 9.06 ILA (bull), the price of 2.88 ILA sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Brand Group (M.G) Ltd reported revenue of 863M ILA in FY2025 versus 199M ILA in FY2021, a compound +44.2%/yr. Reported net income was −36.4M ILA in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 173M ILA · P/S ratio 0.15 · EPS (TTM) −0.0720 ILA · Dividend yield 1.4% · Net margin −4.2% · Return on equity −16.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.2% · Operating margin 1.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 24 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at 60%, BRND screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.9216 ILAFair Value 4.61 ILABull 9.06 ILA
Price 2.88 ILA · Upside +60.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+141.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+44.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+62.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +14.3% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
16.1% (2020) → −2.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 409 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score24 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+60.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−0.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−3.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)1.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth86.1% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.4% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.16× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.41× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Brand Group (M.G) Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BRND
Frequently asked questions
Is Brand Group (M.G) Ltd (BRND) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 4.61 ILA versus a price of 2.88 ILA, about +60% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BRND?
Our model-based fair value for Brand Group (M.G) Ltd is 4.61 ILA (as of Oct 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2.88 ILA.
What is the quality score of BRND?
Brand Group (M.G) Ltd has a Quality Score of 24/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Brand Group (M.G) Ltd (BRND)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 4.61 ILA (as of Oct 5, 2026) from 5 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.9216 ILA, optimistic scenario 9.06 ILA. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Brand Group (M.G) Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 4.61 ILA, about +60% upside versus a price of 2.88 ILA (undervalued). Cautious scenario 0.9216 ILA, optimistic scenario 9.06 ILA. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Brand Group (M.G) Ltd (BRND)?
Brand Group (M.G) Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2B ILS (latest available figure, as of Oct 5, 2026).
Does Brand Group (M.G) Ltd pay a dividend?
Brand Group (M.G) Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.42% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 5, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Brand Group (M.G) Ltd (BRND)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Brand Group (M.G) Ltd it is 4.61 ILA per share (as of Oct 5, 2026), against a price of 2.88 ILA. It is the blended result of 5 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Brand Group (M.G) Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 5, 2026, BRND trades below its calculated fair value: price 2.88 ILA, fair value 4.61 ILA, a gap of about +60% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BRND?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2.88 ILA); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (4.61 ILA). For Brand Group (M.G) Ltd the two are 1.73 ILA per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Brand Group (M.G) Ltd worth?
The market values Brand Group (M.G) Ltd at about 173M ILA (market capitalisation, as of Oct 5, 2026). Per share that is 2.88 ILA; our models calculate a fair value of 4.61 ILA per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BRND?
Our models span a range for Brand Group (M.G) Ltd: cautious scenario 0.9216 ILA, base 4.61 ILA, optimistic 9.06 ILA per share (as of Oct 5, 2026, price 2.88 ILA). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Brand Group (M.G) Ltd (BRND)?
Balance-sheet figures for Brand Group (M.G) Ltd (as of Oct 5, 2026): return on equity −16.9%, debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 24/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BRND from its 52-week high?
Brand Group (M.G) Ltd trades at 2.88 ILA, about 12% below its 52-week high of 3.27 ILA and 29% above the low of 2.24 ILA (as of Oct 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 4.61 ILA is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Brand Group (M.G) Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, ArcelorMittal S.A, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Brand Group (M.G) Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 5, 2026: price 2.88 ILA, calculated fair value 4.61 ILA (+60%), Quality Score 24/100, from 5 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BRND calculated?
We run Brand Group (M.G) Ltd through 5 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 4.61 ILA, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Brand Group (M.G) Ltd currently trades 38 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Brand Group (M.G) Ltd (BRND)?
The closing price on Oct 5, 2026 was 2.88 ILA. Our model-based fair value is 4.61 ILA, about +60% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Brand Group (M.G) Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (24/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The model range is unusually wide (0.9216 ILA to 9.06 ILA). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Brand Group (M.G) Ltd (BRND) come from?
Earnings per share at Brand Group (M.G) Ltd grew −18.2 % a year from 2015 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −14.7 %, EBIT margin +2.6 %, tax rate −1.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −4.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Brand Group (M.G) Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Brand Group (M.G) Ltd (BRND)?
The market capitalisation of Brand Group (M.G) Ltd is 173M ILA. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Brand Group (M.G) Ltd (BRND)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Brand Group (M.G) Ltd is 0.15 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Brand Group (M.G) Ltd (BRND)?
Earnings per share at Brand Group (M.G) Ltd are −0.0720 ILA. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Brand Group (M.G) Ltd (BRND)?
The dividend yield of Brand Group (M.G) Ltd is 1.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Brand Group (M.G) Ltd (BRND)?
The net margin of Brand Group (M.G) Ltd is −4.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Brand Group (M.G) Ltd (BRND)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Brand Group (M.G) Ltd is −16.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Brand Group (M.G) Ltd (BRND)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Brand Group (M.G) Ltd is 3.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Brand Group (M.G) Ltd (BRND)?
The operating margin of Brand Group (M.G) Ltd is 1.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Brand Group (M.G) Ltd (BRND)?
Revenue at Brand Group (M.G) Ltd is growing +86.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +44.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Brand Group (M.G) Ltd (BRND)?
Earnings per share at Brand Group (M.G) Ltd are growing −4.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Brand Group (M.G) Ltd (BRND) generate?
The free cash flow of Brand Group (M.G) Ltd is −19.2M ILA (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Brand Group (M.G) Ltd (BRND) carry?
The net debt of Brand Group (M.G) Ltd is 419M ILA (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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