China Steel Corporation (2002A) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · TW · Market cap 589B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from 8.76 TWD to 17.48 TWD (+99.5%) since Jul 7, 2026. Share price −2.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 53% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (29.74 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (5.80 TWD to 29.74 TWD). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 37.30 TWD – 48.51 TWD · fair‑value band 5.80 TWD – 29.74 TWD · the 37.45 TWD price screens above the 17.48 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
China Steel Corporation (2002A) currently trades at 37.45 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 17.48 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 53.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, China Steel Corporation generated revenue of 313B TWD at a net margin of -2.3%. Revenue declined 4.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.8%. Net debt stands at 241B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 5.80 TWD (bear case) to 29.74 TWD (bull case); at 37.45 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at -53%, 2002A screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (12.83 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (3.60 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Steel Corporation manufactures and sells steel products in Taiwan, Vietnam, Malaysia, China, India, and internationally.
Full company description
China Steel Corporation manufactures and sells steel products in Taiwan, Vietnam, Malaysia, China, India, and internationally. It offers steel plates primarily for use in construction structures, shipbuilding, bridge beams, oil country tabular goods, machine structures, pressure vessels, and in climate/corrosion-resistant steel plates; steel bars and wire rods for applications in general and machine structures, cold and hot forging, hard drawn steel wires, and welding electrodes; and hot-rolled coils and sheets that are used in automobile chassis, bridge beams, construction, road guardrails, steel pipes, pressure vessels, and landscaping. The company also provides cold-rolled coils for use in automobile stamping parts and home electronics products; parts requiring high-level forming, such as automobile and scooter components; a variety of PSE and structural reinforcement parts; and products requiring surface coating treatment comprising painting, electroplating, and the application of adhesive surfaces. In addition, it offers mechanical, communications, and electrical engineering services; generates solar and offshore wind power; general investment; raw materials shipping and management, and ship chartering; business management and management consulting; on-site and systematic security; technical; firefighting and mechatronic engineering; software design and digital information supply; and ERP systems automation control systems services. Further, the company engages in the wholesale of computer software; production and sale of aluminum and non-ferrous metal products, as well as industrial magnetic, chemical, and iron oxides; development and lease of real estate; buying, selling, and acting as an agency for steel products; and manufacturing and trading of electronic ceramics, and aeronautical or marine life saving products. China Steel Corporation was incorporated in 1971 and is headquartered in Kaohsiung, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Steel Corporation reported revenue of 317B TWD in FY2025 versus 468B TWD in FY2021, a compound −9.3%/yr. Reported net income was −4.3B TWD in FY2025.
2002A screens 53% overvalued. Compare with Tata Steel Limited →
Peer Group
Steel · 381 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tata Steel Limited TTST | $0.2010 | $0.2000 | -0% |
| JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL | ₹1,227 | ₹1,140 | -7% |
| Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 | ¥5.89 | ¥8.07 | +37% |
| POSCO Holdings 005490 | 313,500 KRW | 155,270 KRW | -50% |
| Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID | 13,670 ARS | 15,940 ARS | +17% |
| Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL | ₹1,028 | ₹545.12 | -47% |
| Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME | ₹1,844 | ₹1,098 | -40% |
| SSAB AB SSABA | kr 96.04 | kr 72.43 | -25% |
| Gerdau S.A GGBN | 83.50 MXN | 42.64 MXN | -49% |
| Ternium S.A TXR | 17,780 ARS | 27,210 ARS | +53% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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