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HG Metal Manufacturing Limited (BTG) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · SG · Market cap 139M SGD

HM HG Metal Manufacturing Limited BTG · SG
Price0.5050 SGD
Fair Value0.3900 SGD
Upside-22.8%
Quality57/100
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Evidence: High Range 0.2900 SGD – 0.4900 SGD

Fair value as of: Jul 4, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated today

Share price −3.8% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

0.6850 SGD 0.3610 SGD Fair Value 0.3900 SGD Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range 0.3610 SGD – 0.6850 SGD · fair‑value band 0.2900 SGD – 0.4900 SGD · the 0.5050 SGD price screens above the 0.3900 SGD fair value. As of Jul 4, 2026.

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Analysis

HG Metal Manufacturing Limited (BTG) currently trades at 0.5050 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.3900 SGD — implying the stock looks roughly 22.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, HG Metal Manufacturing Limited generated revenue of 169M SGD at a net margin of 5.6%. Revenue declined 5.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.6%. Net debt stands at 19.8M SGD. Fundamentals as of Jul 4, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 169M SGD
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.1%
Net margin 5.6%
Return on equity 6.6%
Free cash flow 10.5M SGD FY2024
P/E ratio 12.6
More key figures
Operating margin 9.1%
EPS (TTM) 0.0400 SGD
Dividend yield 4.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -14.7%
Net debt 19.8M SGD FY2022

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 4, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

HG Metal Manufacturing Limited, an investment holding company, trades in steel products in Indonesia, Malaysia, Myanmar, and Singapore. The company operates through Trading, Manufacturing, and Others segments. It offers various steel products, such as angle bars, flat bars, round bar, square bars, deformed bars, steel plates, hollow sections, channels, beams/columns, pipes, gratings, and coupler and threads, rebar, and wire mesh. The company also manufactures, trades in, and fabricates steel structures and parts. In addition, it manufactures and supplies steel material to the construction industry, as well as offers logistics, supply chain, and warehousing services. Further, the company provides engineering services; and steel finishing and customized services, including galvanising, coating, cutting, and drilling, as well as rental of plates and beams. Additionally, it is involved in sourcing, retailing, trading, and distributing steel products. The company was founded in 1971 and …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

HG Metal Manufacturing Limited reported revenue of 158M SGD in FY2024 versus 91.7M SGD in FY2020, a compound +14.5%/yr. Reported net income was 6.3M SGD in FY2024, compounding +57.5%/yr from FY2020.

Revenue +14.5%/yr
FY20 91.7M SGD
FY21 142M SGD
FY22 158M SGD
FY23 150M SGD
FY24 158M SGD
Net income +57.5%/yr
FY20 1.0M SGD
FY21 12.1M SGD
FY22 −527K SGD
FY23 −1.0M SGD
FY24 6.3M SGD

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Similar stocks

6 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 4, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Tata Steel Limited TTST $0.2110 $0.0100 -95%
Nucor Corporation NUE $254.39 $83.10 -67%
ArcelorMittal S.A ARMT34 R$166.77 R$110.23 -34%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,282 ₹1,113 -13%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.75 ¥8.07 +40%
China Steel Corporation 2002A 38.45 TWD 11.94 TWD -69%

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Frequently asked questions

Is HG Metal Manufacturing Limited (BTG) undervalued?
As of Jul 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.3900 SGD versus a price of 0.5050 SGD — about −23% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of BTG?
Our model-based fair value for HG Metal Manufacturing Limited is 0.3900 SGD (as of Jul 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.5050 SGD.
What is the quality score of BTG?
HG Metal Manufacturing Limited has a Quality Score of 57/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of HG Metal Manufacturing Limited (BTG)?
HG Metal Manufacturing Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 169M SGD (latest available figure, as of Jul 4, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BTG?
The net profit margin of HG Metal Manufacturing Limited is about 5.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does HG Metal Manufacturing Limited pay a dividend?
HG Metal Manufacturing Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.00% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 4, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.