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Conagra Brands, Inc (C1AG34) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Conagra Brands, Inc BRL 63.29, price BRL 75.67, upside -16.4%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Defensive · BR · ISIN US2058871029

CB Some data Sep 24, 2026

Conagra Brands, Inc

C1AG34 · SA

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value R$63.29 · Overvalued (−16.4%)
!Quality 51/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −2.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -17.0% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓1.9% dividend yield · Cash covered
!Narrow moat 33/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

R$168.51 R$63.50 Fair Value R$63.29 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R$63.50 – R$168.51 · fair‑value band R$41.00 – R$101.65 · the R$75.67 price screens above the R$63.29 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Conagra Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a consumer packaged goods food company primarily in the United States. The company operates in four segments: Grocery & Snacks, Refrigerated & Frozen, International, and Foodservice. The Grocery & Snacks segment primarily offers shelf stable food products through various retail channels.

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Conagra Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a consumer packaged goods food company primarily in the United States. The company operates in four segments: Grocery & Snacks, Refrigerated & Frozen, International, and Foodservice. The Grocery & Snacks segment primarily offers shelf stable food products through various retail channels. The Refrigerated & Frozen segment provides temperature-controlled food products through various retail channels. The International segment offers food products in various temperature states through retail and foodservice channels outside of the United States. The Foodservice segment offers branded and customized food products, including meals, entrees, sauces, and various custom-manufactured culinary products packaged for restaurants and other foodservice establishments. The company sells its products under the Birds Eye, Marie Callender's, Duncan Hines, Healthy Choice, Slim Jim, Reddi-wip, Angie's, BOOMCHICKAPOP brands. Conagra Brands, Inc. was incorporated in 1919 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

Stock analysis

Conagra Brands, Inc (C1AG34) currently trades at R$75.67, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$63.29, 16.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of R$165.49 per share, and 11 of the 15 models we run sit above the R$75.67 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at R$46.18, and 4 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: R$41.00 (bear) to R$101.65 (bull), the price of R$75.67 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Conagra Brands, Inc reported revenue of $11.3B in FY2026 versus $11.5B in FY2022, a compound −0.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.9B in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap R$36.2B (≈ $6.9B) · P/S ratio 3.12 · EPS (TTM) R$−21.56 · Dividend yield 1.9% · Net margin −17.0% · Return on equity −25.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.8% · Operating margin 13.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at −16%, C1AG34 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear R$41.00 Fair Value R$63.29 Bull R$101.65
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF R$61.97 R$109.54 R$194.91 74
Growth DCF R$67.47 R$113.31 R$189.22 73
5Y EBITDA Exit R$81.36 R$156.19 R$255.32 70
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF R$61.97 R$109.54 R$194.91 74
5Y Revenue Exit R$52.72 R$106.63 R$184.94 67
5Y EBITDA Exit R$81.36 R$156.19 R$255.32 70
10Y Revenue Exit R$52.37 R$92.17 R$134.66 63
10Y EBITDA Exit R$72.51 R$122.13 R$175.04 65
Earnings-Based
EPV R$30.60 R$46.18 R$59.62 70
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM R$64.18 R$69.95 R$78.67 67
DDM Multi-Stage R$64.18 R$79.31 R$99.96 65
Multiples
EV/EBIT R$107.10 R$165.49 R$223.88 65
EV/EBITDA R$121.56 R$184.77 R$247.98 66
EV/Revenue R$56.95 R$110.53 R$164.11 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$34.69 R$46.48 R$69.38 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF R$67.47 R$113.31 R$189.22 73
Rev-Margin DCF R$52.72 R$109.78 R$179.89 67
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder R$30.60 R$46.18 R$59.62 68

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 14
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 43
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 83
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 21
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
11.7% (2022) → 11.2% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+0.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +7.6% a year for the price and −2.3% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2027 (sales)−3.9%
Forecast 2028 (sales)+0.9%
Projected 2029 (sales)+1.0%
Projected 2030 (sales)+1.1%
Projected 2031 (sales)+1.3%

C1AG34 screens overvalued: fair value 16% below the price. Compare with Nestlé S.A →

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Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥33.93 ¥37.32 +10%
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $23.45 $29.20 +25%
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,363 ₹724.74 −47%
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥26.90 ¥41.84 +56%
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥24.55 ¥9.98 −59%
General Mills, Inc GIS $31.67 $34.59 +9%
Wilmar International Limited F34 3.68 SGD 5.14 SGD +40%
Kerry Group KRZ €85.55 €59.96 −30%

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Conagra Brands, Inc · Fair Value
R$63.29 −16%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Conagra Brands, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/C1AG34

Frequently asked questions

Is Conagra Brands, Inc (C1AG34) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$63.29 versus a price of R$75.67, about −16% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of C1AG34?
Our model-based fair value for Conagra Brands, Inc is R$63.29 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$75.67.
What is the quality score of C1AG34?
Conagra Brands, Inc has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Conagra Brands, Inc (C1AG34)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$63.29 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$41.00, optimistic scenario R$101.65. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Conagra Brands, Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$63.29, about −16% upside versus a price of R$75.67 (overvalued). Cautious scenario R$41.00, optimistic scenario R$101.65. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Conagra Brands, Inc (C1AG34)?
Conagra Brands, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $11.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Conagra Brands, Inc pay a dividend?
Conagra Brands, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.85% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Conagra Brands, Inc (C1AG34)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Conagra Brands, Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +10.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew -0.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of C1AG34 use?
Our models discount Conagra Brands, Inc at 12.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), country premium for Brazil. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Conagra Brands, Inc that is +10.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Conagra Brands, Inc (C1AG34) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Conagra Brands, Inc grew -0.6 % a year. The price currently implies +10.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Conagra Brands, Inc (C1AG34) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +0.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Conagra Brands, Inc (+10.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Conagra Brands, Inc (C1AG34)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 14.11 %: that much free cash flow Conagra Brands, Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Conagra Brands, Inc (C1AG34)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Conagra Brands, Inc it is R$63.29 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of R$75.67. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Conagra Brands, Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, C1AG34 trades above its calculated fair value: price R$75.67, fair value R$63.29, a gap of about −16% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of C1AG34?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$75.67); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$63.29). For Conagra Brands, Inc the two are R$12.38 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Conagra Brands, Inc worth?
The market values Conagra Brands, Inc at about R$36.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is R$75.67; our models calculate a fair value of R$63.29 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about C1AG34?
Our models span a range for Conagra Brands, Inc: cautious scenario R$41.00, base R$63.29, optimistic R$101.65 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price R$75.67). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is C1AG34 from its 52-week high?
Conagra Brands, Inc trades at R$75.67, about 26% below its 52-week high of R$101.64 and 19% above the low of R$63.50 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$63.29 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Conagra Brands, Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Conagra Brands, Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price R$75.67, calculated fair value R$63.29 (−16%), Quality Score 51/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of C1AG34 calculated?
We run Conagra Brands, Inc through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$63.29, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Conagra Brands, Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Conagra Brands, Inc (C1AG34)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was R$75.67. Our model-based fair value is R$63.29, about −16% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Conagra Brands, Inc right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (R$41.00 to R$101.65) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Conagra Brands, Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Conagra Brands, Inc (C1AG34)?
The market capitalisation of Conagra Brands, Inc is R$36.2B (≈ $6.9B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Conagra Brands, Inc (C1AG34)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Conagra Brands, Inc is 3.12 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Conagra Brands, Inc (C1AG34)?
Earnings per share at Conagra Brands, Inc are R$−21.56. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Conagra Brands, Inc (C1AG34)?
The dividend yield of Conagra Brands, Inc is 1.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Conagra Brands, Inc (C1AG34)?
The net margin of Conagra Brands, Inc is −17.0% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Conagra Brands, Inc (C1AG34)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Conagra Brands, Inc is −25.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Conagra Brands, Inc (C1AG34)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Conagra Brands, Inc is 5.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Conagra Brands, Inc (C1AG34)?
The operating margin of Conagra Brands, Inc is 13.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Conagra Brands, Inc (C1AG34)?
Revenue at Conagra Brands, Inc is growing +3.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Conagra Brands, Inc (C1AG34)?
Earnings per share at Conagra Brands, Inc are growing +39.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Conagra Brands, Inc (C1AG34) carry?
The net debt of Conagra Brands, Inc is $7.1B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 7.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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