Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc (CCOJY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Jul 1, 2026: fair value of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc $7.81, price $13.85, upside -43.6%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.87 – $13.85 · fair‑value band $5.58 – $10.04 · the $13.85 price screens above the $7.81 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the purchases, sales, bottling, packaging, distribution and marketing of carbonated beverages, coffee beverages, tea beverages, mineral water, and other soft drinks in Japan.
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Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the purchases, sales, bottling, packaging, distribution and marketing of carbonated beverages, coffee beverages, tea beverages, mineral water, and other soft drinks in Japan. The company manufactures and sells food products; operates vending machines; distributes and sells alcoholic products; and manufactures, processes, and sells beverage products and office coffee services. In addition, it provides shared services to support the sales of nonessential, alcoholic, and dairy beverages, as well as food products; and imports, exports, and sells beverage products, nonessential beverage products, and other beverage products. The company offers its products under the Coca-Cola, Fanta, Sprite, Real Gold, Georgia, Aquarius, Qoo, Sokenbicha, Huang, and Kochakaden brand names. The company was formerly known as Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc. and changed its name to Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc. in January 2018. Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc. was incorporated in 1960 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Stock analysis
Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR (CCOJY) currently trades at $13.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.81, 43.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $10.56 per share, and 3 of the 15 models we run sit above the $13.85 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $2.69, and 12 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $5.58 (bear) to $10.04 (bull), the price of $13.85 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR reported revenue of ¥937B in FY2025 versus ¥786B in FY2021, a compound +4.5%/yr. Reported net income was −¥53.2B in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $4.7B · EPS (TTM) $−0.9300 · Dividend yield 1.8% · Net margin −5.7% · Return on equity −11.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.4% · Operating margin −1.4% · Revenue (TTM) ¥901B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 87% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −44%, CCOJY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $5.58Fair Value $7.81Bull $10.04
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.37/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.8% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1.5% (2020) → 2.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+9.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+0.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +7.3% a year for the price and −1.6% for the forecasts.
Compare Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 84 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Above median
Fair Value upside−43.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets2.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−5.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−1.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth3.6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.13× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper
P/FCF0.1× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)18· sector 32
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 56
HEALTH (low debt)93· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)37· sector 60
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CCOJY
Frequently asked questions
Is Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc (CCOJY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $7.81 versus the last price from Jul 1, 2026 of $13.85, about −44% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CCOJY?
Our model-based fair value for Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR is $7.81 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 1, 2026): $13.85.
What is the quality score of CCOJY?
Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc (CCOJY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $7.81 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario $5.58, optimistic scenario $10.04. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $7.81, about −44% upside versus the last price from Jul 1, 2026 of $13.85 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $5.58, optimistic scenario $10.04. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc (CCOJY)?
Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥901B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR pay a dividend?
Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.84% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc (CCOJY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR would have to grow free cash flow by +9.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CCOJY use?
Our models discount Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.00, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR that is +9.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc (CCOJY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR grew +3.4 % a year. The price currently implies +9.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc (CCOJY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR (+9.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc (CCOJY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.39 %: that much free cash flow Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc (CCOJY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR it is $7.81 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $13.85. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, CCOJY trades above its calculated fair value: price $13.85, fair value $7.81, a gap of about −44% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CCOJY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($13.85); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($7.81). For Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR the two are $6.04 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR worth?
The market values Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR at about $4.7B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $13.85; our models calculate a fair value of $7.81 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CCOJY?
Our models span a range for Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR: cautious scenario $5.58, base $7.81, optimistic $10.04 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $13.85). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc (CCOJY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −11.1%, debt of 0.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CCOJY from its 52-week high?
Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR trades at $13.85, at its 52-week high of $13.85 and 87% above the low of $7.39 (as of Jul 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $7.81 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value The Coca-Cola Company, PepsiCo, Inc, Monster Beverage Corporation, Nongfu Spring Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $13.85, calculated fair value $7.81 (−44%), Quality Score 59/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CCOJY calculated?
We run Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $7.81, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc (CCOJY)?
The latest price we hold is from Jul 1, 2026 and stands at $13.85. Our model-based fair value is $7.81, about −44% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($10.04). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc (CCOJY) come from?
Earnings per share at Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR grew −4.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +8.4 %, EBIT margin −14.2 %, tax rate +0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc (CCOJY)?
The market capitalisation of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR is $4.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc (CCOJY)?
Earnings per share at Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR are $−0.9300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc (CCOJY)?
The dividend yield of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR is 1.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc (CCOJY)?
The net margin of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR is −5.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc (CCOJY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR is −11.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc (CCOJY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR is 0.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc (CCOJY)?
The operating margin of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR is −1.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc (CCOJY)?
Revenue at Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR is growing +3.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc (CCOJY)?
Earnings per share at Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR are growing +80.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc (CCOJY) carry?
The net debt of Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Inc ADR is ¥57.5B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Sep 24, 2026