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Cenergy Holdings (CENER) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · BE · Market cap €4.8B

CH Cenergy Holdings CENER · BR
Price€23.24
Fair Value€14.97
Upside-35.6%
Quality41/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 9.4% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
1.12% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Moderate moat 60/100
Evidence: High Range €10.99 – €18.95 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price +5.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 36% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€18.95). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€27.52 €2.22 Fair Value €14.97 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €2.22 – €27.52 · fair‑value band €10.99 – €18.95 · the €23.24 price screens above the €14.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

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Analysis

Cenergy Holdings (CENER) currently trades at €23.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €14.97, implying the stock looks roughly 35.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Cenergy Holdings generated revenue of €2.1B at a net margin of 9.4%. Revenue declined 4.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 24.3%. Net debt stands at €204M. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €10.99 (bear case) to €18.95 (bull case); at €23.24, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 165% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -36%, CENER screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income €5.90 €8.19 €42.46 76
ROIC Compounder €12.89 €16.46 €20.77 72
Gordon GGM €1.23 €2.45 €3.71 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €6.20 €33.67 €46.68 54
Lynch FV €9.34 €13.34 €17.35 50
PEG = 1.0 €9.34 €13.34 €17.35 46
EPV €11.53 €13.17 €14.58 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €1.23 €2.45 €3.71 70
DDM Multi-Stage €1.23 €2.12 €2.59 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €11.62 €15.49 €19.37 63
P/S Multiple €10.92 €14.56 €18.20 58
P/B Multiple €9.35 €12.46 €15.58 55
EV/EBIT €15.88 €20.79 €25.69 53
EV/EBITDA €13.10 €17.09 €21.07 54
EV/Revenue €11.35 €15.72 €20.08 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €2.08 €2.78 €4.15 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income €5.90 €8.19 €42.46 76
ROIC Compounder €12.89 €16.46 €20.77 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €12.33 €17.62 €22.90 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (€17.62) versus Dividend Discount (€2.12). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €2.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.1%
Net margin 9.4%
Return on equity 24.3%
Free cash flow −€4.7M FY2025
P/E ratio 24.9
More key figures
Operating margin 13.4%
EPS (TTM) €0.9100
Dividend yield 1.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +15.3%
Net debt €204M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 31
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 59
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 20
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 68
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 87
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 22
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Cenergy Holdings SA manufactures and sells aluminium, copper, cables, steel and steel pipes, and other related products in Belgium, Greece, Germany, Romania, Other European Union countries, Other European countries, the United States, Asia, Africa, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Cables and Steel Pipes.

Full company description

Cenergy Holdings SA manufactures and sells aluminium, copper, cables, steel and steel pipes, and other related products in Belgium, Greece, Germany, Romania, Other European Union countries, Other European countries, the United States, Asia, Africa, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Cables and Steel Pipes. The company offers submarine and land power, power distribution, high-voltage direct current, wind farm, submarine cables for offshore wind farms, industrial, network, telecommunication, data transmission, railway signalling, gauging and control, umbilicals, and optical fiber cables, as well as low, medium, high, and extra high voltage power cables; and fiber to the home cables. It also provides turnkey solutions, such as installation, repair and replacement, original equipment manufacturer, custom-adapted application, supervision, technical support, transport and storage, customer instruction and training, and spare parts for the maintenance of installed energy and telecommunications systems. In addition, the company offers onshore and offshore pipelines for transportation of oil, gas, and hydrogen, as well as carbon capture and storage applications and casing pipes; and hollow structural section products which are primarily used in the construction, power and telecom cables, wires, and raw materials. Further, it serves power grids, interconnections, offshore and onshore wind, solar energy, telecommunications and data transmission cables, oil and gas, and heavy industries. Cenergy Holdings SA was founded in 1949 and is based in Brussels, Belgium. Cenergy Holdings SA operates as a subsidiary of Viohalco S.A.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Cenergy Holdings reported revenue of €2.1B in FY2025 versus €1.1B in FY2021, a compound +18.2%/yr. Reported net income was €194M in FY2025, compounding +72.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€2.1B
Latest YoY
+14.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+13.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+17.8%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
+16.1%
Revenue +18.2%/yr
FY21 €1.1B
FY22 €1.4B
FY23 €1.6B
FY24 €1.8B
FY25 €2.1B
Net income +72.1%/yr
FY21 €22.1M
FY22 €60.4M
FY23 €73.0M
FY24 €139M
FY25 €194M

CENER screens 36% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cenergy Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CENER

Peer Group

Electrical Equipment & Parts · 528 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −36% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 24% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -4% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.1% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.22× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 24.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 6.32× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.70× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 16.0× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 57
PAST 97 · sector 26
HEALTH 89 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 22 · sector 18

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 HK$675.50 HK$391.44 -42%
ABB Ltd ABBN CHF 83.82 CHF 35.46 -58%
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED 10.16 SGD 1.47 SGD -86%
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 334,000 KRW 201,455 KRW -40%
WEG S.A WEGE3 13,210 ARS 7,948 ARS -40%
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥114.79 ¥123.83 +8%
Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 ¥63.43 ¥33.04 -48%
HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 823,000 KRW 371,133 KRW -55%
LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 190,000 KRW 31,517 KRW -83%
Sieyuan Electric Co 002028 ¥151.73 ¥71.69 -53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Cenergy Holdings (CENER) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €14.97 versus a price of €23.24, about −36% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CENER?
Our model-based fair value for Cenergy Holdings is €14.97 (as of Aug 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €23.24.
What is the quality score of CENER?
Cenergy Holdings has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Cenergy Holdings (CENER)?
Cenergy Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €2.1B (latest available figure, as of Aug 6, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CENER?
The net profit margin of Cenergy Holdings is about 9.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Cenergy Holdings pay a dividend?
Cenergy Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.07% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 6, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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