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CellaVision AB (CEVI) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · SE · Market cap 3.3B SEK

CA CellaVision AB CEVI · ST
Pricekr 152.40
Fair Valuekr 141.19
Upside-7.4%
Quality76/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 18.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.04% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Wide moat 65/100
Evidence: High Range kr 103.86 – kr 176.49 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Share price +10.1% over the past month.

A strong business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from kr 103.86 (bear) to kr 176.49 (bull), base kr 141.19. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 76/100 (high quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 462.19 kr 117.44 Fair Value kr 141.19 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 117.44 – kr 462.19 · fair‑value band kr 103.86 – kr 176.49 · the kr 152.40 price screens above the kr 141.19 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

CellaVision AB (CEVI) currently trades at kr 152.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 141.19, implying the stock looks roughly 7.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 76/100 (high quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, CellaVision AB generated revenue of 731M SEK at a net margin of 18.4%. Revenue declined 14.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 163M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 103.86 (bear case) to kr 176.49 (bull case); at kr 152.40, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -7%, CEVI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF kr 102.41 kr 174.59 kr 293.90 80
Residual Income kr 40.70 kr 53.64 kr 165.63 76
Rev-Margin DCF kr 83.74 kr 139.03 kr 212.63 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 104.05 kr 185.79 kr 327.73 38
Owner Earnings kr 96.00 kr 170.92 kr 301.03 31
5Y Revenue Exit kr 83.74 kr 140.37 kr 217.81 39
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 103.52 kr 182.28 kr 282.82 41
5Y P/E Exit kr 105.23 kr 185.89 kr 280.11 38
10Y Revenue Exit kr 87.56 kr 143.75 kr 231.42 36
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 102.79 kr 174.24 kr 286.03 37
10Y P/E Exit kr 103.91 kr 176.86 kr 283.75 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 43.64 kr 221.77 kr 306.34 54
Lynch FV kr 60.29 kr 86.13 kr 111.97 50
PEG = 1.0 kr 60.29 kr 86.13 kr 111.97 46
EPV kr 68.71 kr 78.39 kr 86.75 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 105.90 kr 141.19 kr 176.49 63
P/S Multiple kr 81.83 kr 109.11 kr 136.38 58
P/B Multiple kr 81.83 kr 109.11 kr 136.38 55
EV/EBIT kr 115.41 kr 151.42 kr 187.42 53
EV/EBITDA kr 110.57 kr 144.96 kr 179.36 54
EV/Revenue kr 74.21 kr 102.85 kr 131.49 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 18.61 kr 24.93 kr 37.21 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 102.41 kr 174.59 kr 293.90 80
Rev-Margin DCF kr 83.74 kr 139.03 kr 212.63 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 40.70 kr 53.64 kr 165.63 76
ROIC Compounder kr 77.70 kr 101.61 kr 132.17 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 93.55 kr 133.65 kr 173.74 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 174.24) versus Asset-Based (kr 24.93). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 731M SEK
Revenue growth (YoY) -14.6%
Net margin 18.4%
Return on equity 15.3%
Free cash flow 182M SEK FY2025
P/E ratio 24.0
More key figures
Operating margin 17.1%
EPS (TTM) kr 5.77
Dividend yield 2.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -45.8%
Net cash 163M SEK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 76/100

Of which business quality 76 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 73
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 83
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 68
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 37
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

CellaVision AB (publ) develops and sells instruments, software, and reagents for blood and body fluids analysis in Sweden and internationally.

Full company description

CellaVision AB (publ) develops and sells instruments, software, and reagents for blood and body fluids analysis in Sweden and internationally. The company provides analyzers for microscopy systems; and DIFF-Line, a hematology lab that handles a smaller amount daily blood samples, as well as consists of three instruments, such as CellaVision DC-1, RAL SmearBox, and RAL StainBox for smearing, staining, and analyzing peripheral blood smears. It also provides CellaVision DC-1 for performing blood cell differentials; and CellaVision DM1200 and CellaVision DM9600 to automate and simplify the process of performing blood and body fluid differentials. In addition, the company's CellaVision Bone Marrow Aspirate Application enables laboratories to automate, standardize, and simplify morphological examination of bone marrow aspirate samples; CellaVision Peripheral Blood Application enables laboratories to automate, standardize and simplify morphological examination like peripheral blood smears; CellaVision Advanced RBC Application performs a more comprehensive examination for red blood cell morphology; CellaVision Body Fluid Application is for examination body fluid preparations; CellaVision CellAtlas, a library of blood cell images and descriptions created by digital cell morphology experts; CellaVision Review Software removes restrictive constraints from smear review process and performs better; CellaVision Server Software creates a single streamlined workflow within one or multiple testing sites; and CellaVision VET is a veterinary lab. It sells its products to hospitals and commercial laboratories. The company was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Lund, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CellaVision AB reported revenue of kr 759M in FY2025 versus kr 566M in FY2021, a compound +7.6%/yr. Reported net income was kr 153M in FY2025, compounding +5.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 91/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
759M SEK
Latest YoY
+4.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.0%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.9%
Revenue +7.6%/yr
FY21 kr 566M
FY22 kr 639M
FY23 kr 677M
FY24 kr 723M
FY25 kr 759M
Net income +5.1%/yr
FY21 kr 125M
FY22 kr 118M
FY23 kr 130M
FY24 kr 141M
FY25 kr 153M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +12.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share +13.0 pp

of which total revenue +13.0 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin +0.0 pp
Tax rate +0.2 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.4 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CellaVision AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CEVI

Peer Group

Medical Devices · 353 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 76 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −7% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -15% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Devices median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 24.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 3.72× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.52× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.9× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 16.1× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 23 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 30
PAST 61 · sector 8
HEALTH 99 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 41 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Devices stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Abbott Laboratories, ABT $100.68 $74.79 -26%
Stryker Corporation SYK $316.44 $186.28 -41%
Medtronic plc MDT $83.56 $65.57 -22%
Boston Scientific Corporation BSX $43.04 $38.44 -11%
Edwards Lifesciences Corporation EW $85.73 $41.02 -52%
Siemens Healthineers AG SHL €34.59 €33.87 -2%
Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co 300760 ¥149.43 ¥147.63 -1%
Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare Co 688271 ¥109.00 ¥43.60 -60%
Demant A/S DEMANT kr 276.60 kr 161.17 -42%
Getinge AB GETIB kr 206.80 kr 192.14 -7%

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Frequently asked questions

Is CellaVision AB (CEVI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 141.19 versus a price of kr 152.40, about −7% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of CEVI?
Our model-based fair value for CellaVision AB is kr 141.19 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 152.40.
What is the quality score of CEVI?
CellaVision AB has a Quality Score of 76/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of CellaVision AB (CEVI)?
CellaVision AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 731M SEK (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CEVI?
The net profit margin of CellaVision AB is about 18.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 18.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does CellaVision AB pay a dividend?
CellaVision AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.23% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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