California First National Bancorp (CFNB) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $6.1M
California First National Bancorp
CFNB · US
Fair value as of: Aug 16, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 16, 2026, revised from $0.7700 to $30.67 (+3,882.5%) since Aug 7, 2026. Share price −98.0% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $10.23 – $1,698 · fair‑value band $23.00 – $38.33 · the $33.95 price screens above the $30.67 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 16, 2026.
Analysis
California First National Bancorp (CFNB) currently trades at $33.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $30.67, implying the stock looks roughly 9.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, California First National Bancorp generated revenue of $97.7M at a net margin of 69.4%. Revenue declined 86.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $33.4M. Fundamentals as of Aug 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $23.00 (bear case) to $38.33 (bull case); at $33.95, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at -10%, CFNB screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Earnings-Based ($3,694) versus Asset-Based ($957.90). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 81
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
California First Leasing Corporation engages in the provision of loans and lease financing for universities, businesses, other commercial or non-profit organizations, healthcare, and state and local municipalities.
Full company description
California First Leasing Corporation engages in the provision of loans and lease financing for universities, businesses, other commercial or non-profit organizations, healthcare, and state and local municipalities. The company was formerly known as California First National Bancorp and changed its name to California First Leasing Corporation in February 2021. California First Leasing Corporation was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Newport Beach, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
California First National Bancorp reported revenue of $26.4M in FY2025 versus $48.7M in FY2021, a compound −14.2%/yr. Reported net income was $20.3M in FY2025, compounding −13.5%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +3.7 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.8 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch CFNB: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Asset Management · 695 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc BLK | $1,161 | $465.75 | -60% |
| Blackstone Inc BX | $146.41 | $52.88 | -64% |
| Investor AB INVEB | kr 417.90 | kr 835.80 | +100% |
| AB Industrivärden INDUA | kr 544.00 | kr 375.93 | -31% |
| ICICIAMC ICICIAMC | ₹3,077 | ₹1,132 | -63% |
| Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN | ₹256.05 | ₹171.84 | -33% |
| Hedef Holding HEDEF | 267.25 TRY | 321.44 TRY | +20% |
| Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG | ₹11,579 | ₹11,257 | -3% |
| HDFC Asset Management Company HDFCAMC | ₹2,490 | ₹866.78 | -65% |
| Nippon Life Asset Management Limited NAMINDIA | ₹1,182 | ₹311.00 | -74% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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