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China Aerospace International Holdings (CHAEF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what China Aerospace International Holdings is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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  2. Good quality? No
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Technology · US · ISIN HK0031044180

CA China Aerospace International Holdings logo Thin data Sep 13, 2026

China Aerospace International Holdings

CHAEF · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $0.0260 · Strongly overvalued (−72%)
!Quality 40/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +2.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -4.1% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 22/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $0.0260 to $0.0810
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$0.1253 $0.0012 Fair Value $0.0260 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0012 – $0.1253 · fair‑value band $0.0260 – $0.0810 · the $0.0916 price screens above the $0.0260 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

China Aerospace International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates hi-tech manufacturing and aerospace service business in Hong Kong, the People's Republic of China, and internationally.

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China Aerospace International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates hi-tech manufacturing and aerospace service business in Hong Kong, the People's Republic of China, and internationally. The company offers plastic products, liquid crystal display, printed circuit boards, and intelligent chargers and power modules, as well as invests in industrial property. It also distributes plastic, metals, modules, and packing products; electronic components; LCD modules; and manufactures and distributes moulds. In addition, the company engages in electroplating of metals; and provision of property management and treasury services. Further, it offers electronic products, power products and semiconductor products, as well as the property management business. The company was incorporated in 1975 and is based in Hung Hom, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

China Aerospace International Holdings (CHAEF) currently trades at $0.0916, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0260, implying the stock looks roughly 252.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $0.2000 per share, and 4 of the 5 models we run sit above the $0.0916 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $0.0500, and 1 of the 5 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.0260 (bear) to $0.0810 (bull), the price of $0.0916 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

China Aerospace International Holdings reported revenue of HK$4.0B in FY2025 versus HK$4.7B in FY2021, a compound −4.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$165M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $283M · P/S ratio 0.07 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0100 · Net margin −4.1% · Return on equity −3.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.0% · Operating margin −2.3% · Revenue (TTM) $4.0B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 41 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 83% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −65% fair-value upside, at −72%, CHAEF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.0260 Fair Value $0.0260 Bull $0.0810
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA $1.23 $1.70 $2.18 67
Gordon GGM $0.1400 $0.2300 $0.3000 66
DDM Multi-Stage $0.1400 $0.2000 $0.2400 65
All 5 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.1400 $0.2300 $0.3000 66
DDM Multi-Stage $0.1400 $0.2000 $0.2400 65
Multiples
EV/EBIT n/a $0.0500 $0.1200 61
EV/EBITDA $1.23 $1.70 $2.18 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.18 $1.58 $2.36 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 12
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 72
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 33
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 58
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 17/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.9%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.6%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.4%
Revenue growth 23 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.0%
Profit margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
12.0% (2020) → 0.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

CHAEF screens 252% overvalued. Compare with Amphenol Corporation →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 644 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −67% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 23.1% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.24× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.07× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 3.0× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Amphenol Corporation APH $83.92 $92.31 +10%
Corning Incorporated GLW CHF 136.42 CHF 28.71 −79%
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,620 TWD 519.57 TWD −68%
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 248.00 TWD 293.80 TWD +18%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥55.39 ¥19.37 −65%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,400,000 KRW 172,954 KRW −88%
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384 ¥194.42 ¥21.19 −89%
TE Connectivity plc TEL $211.96 $138.66 −35%
Elite Material Co 2383 5,365 TWD 830.20 TWD −85%
Yageo Corporation 2327 544.00 TWD 527.64 TWD −3%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Aerospace International Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CHAEF

Frequently asked questions

Is China Aerospace International Holdings (CHAEF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0260 versus a price of $0.0916, about −72% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CHAEF?
Our model-based fair value for China Aerospace International Holdings is $0.0260 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0916.
What is the quality score of CHAEF?
China Aerospace International Holdings has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Aerospace International Holdings (CHAEF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0260 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 5 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0260, optimistic scenario $0.0810. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Aerospace International Holdings stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0260, about −72% upside versus a price of $0.0916 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0260, optimistic scenario $0.0810. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Aerospace International Holdings (CHAEF)?
China Aerospace International Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China Aerospace International Holdings (CHAEF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Aerospace International Holdings it is $0.0260 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of $0.0916. It is the blended result of 5 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Aerospace International Holdings stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, CHAEF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.0916, fair value $0.0260, a gap of about −72% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CHAEF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0916); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0260). For China Aerospace International Holdings the two are $0.0656 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Aerospace International Holdings worth?
The market values China Aerospace International Holdings at about $283M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is $0.0916; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0260 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CHAEF?
Our models span a range for China Aerospace International Holdings: cautious scenario $0.0260, base $0.0260, optimistic $0.0810 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price $0.0916). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Aerospace International Holdings (CHAEF)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Aerospace International Holdings (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −3.1%, debt of 0.24 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CHAEF from its 52-week high?
China Aerospace International Holdings trades at $0.0916, about 27% below its 52-week high of $0.1248 and 83% above the low of $0.0500 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0260 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Aerospace International Holdings?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Corning Incorporated, Delta Electronics, Inc, Hon Hai Precision Industry Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Aerospace International Holdings stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price $0.0916, calculated fair value $0.0260 (−72%), Quality Score 40/100, from 5 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CHAEF calculated?
We run China Aerospace International Holdings through 5 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0260, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. China Aerospace International Holdings itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with China Aerospace International Holdings right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0810). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide ($0.0260 to $0.0810). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of China Aerospace International Holdings

How large is the market capitalisation of China Aerospace International Holdings (CHAEF)?
The market capitalisation of China Aerospace International Holdings is $283M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Aerospace International Holdings (CHAEF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Aerospace International Holdings is 0.07 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Aerospace International Holdings (CHAEF)?
Earnings per share at China Aerospace International Holdings are $−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of China Aerospace International Holdings (CHAEF)?
The net margin of China Aerospace International Holdings is −4.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Aerospace International Holdings (CHAEF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Aerospace International Holdings is −3.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Aerospace International Holdings (CHAEF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Aerospace International Holdings is 1.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Aerospace International Holdings (CHAEF)?
The operating margin of China Aerospace International Holdings is −2.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Aerospace International Holdings (CHAEF)?
Revenue at China Aerospace International Holdings is growing −0.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Aerospace International Holdings (CHAEF)?
Earnings per share at China Aerospace International Holdings are growing +122% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does China Aerospace International Holdings (CHAEF) generate?
The free cash flow of China Aerospace International Holdings is −$377M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does China Aerospace International Holdings (CHAEF) carry?
The net debt of China Aerospace International Holdings is $698M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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