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CION Investment Corporation (CION) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $336M

CI CION Investment Corporation logo CION Investment Corporation CION · US
Price$7.51
Fair Value$11.92
Upside+58.7%
Quality65/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -0.4% net margin
generates free cash flow
20.47% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/12)
Narrow moat 44/100
Evidence: High Range $6.69 – $16.25 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 5 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 26, 2026, revised from $12.02 to $11.92 (−0.8%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +18.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 59% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (65/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($6.69 to $16.25) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$10.04 $4.39 Fair Value $11.92 Oct 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

58‑month range $4.39 – $10.04 · fair‑value band $6.69 – $16.25 · the $7.51 price screens below the $11.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

CION Investment Corporation (CION) currently trades at $7.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.92, implying the stock looks roughly 58.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, CION Investment Corporation generated revenue of $234M at a net margin of -0.4%. Revenue declined 11.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.1%. Net debt stands at $1.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $6.69 (bear case) to $16.25 (bull case); at $7.51, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 59%, CION screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $19.84 $34.18 $56.70 72
Gordon GGM $12.18 $21.94 $30.20 70
Rev-Margin DCF $12.08 $18.93 $33.46 67
All 5 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $12.18 $21.94 $30.20 70
DDM Multi-Stage $12.18 $20.04 $23.44 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.11 $9.52 $14.21 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $19.84 $34.18 $56.70 72
Rev-Margin DCF $12.08 $18.93 $33.46 67

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($20.04) versus Asset-Based ($9.52). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $234M
Revenue growth (YoY) -11.7%
Net margin -0.4%
Return on equity -0.1%
Free cash flow $76.8M FY2025
Operating margin 75.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.0400
EPS growth (YoY) +24.3%
Net debt $1.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 8
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 40
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 30
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

CION Investment Corporation is a business development company. It specializes in investments in senior secured loans, including unitranche loans, First Lien, second lien loans, long-term subordinated loans, and mezzanine loans; equity interests such as warrants or options; and corporate bonds; and other debt securities in middle-market companies.

Full company description

CION Investment Corporation is a business development company. It specializes in investments in senior secured loans, including unitranche loans, First Lien, second lien loans, long-term subordinated loans, and mezzanine loans; equity interests such as warrants or options; and corporate bonds; and other debt securities in middle-market companies. The firm invests in growth capital, acquisitions, leveraged buyouts, market/product expansion, refinancing and recapitalization investments. The fund also invests up to 30 percent of their assets opportunistically in other types of investments, including the securities of larger public companies and foreign securities. It also makes investments in the secondary loan market. The fund does not invest in start-up companies, turnaround situations, or companies with speculative business plans. The fund prefers to invest in high tech industries, healthcare, pharmaceuticals, business services, media, chemicals, plastic, rubber, telecommunication, consumer services, advertising, printing and publishing, consumer goods, durables, diversified financials, and other industries. It also invests in homebuilding, restaurants, beverage and tobacco bars, broadcasting, distributors, Non-durable good distribution, food beverage and tobacco, energy, oil gas and consumables fuels, insurance, aerospace and defense, industrial machinery, paper and forest product machinery, information technology, metals and mining, and real estate. It primarily seeks to invest in the United States. The fund seeks to invest between $5 million and $50 million in companies with an EBITDA between $25 million and $75 million with average targeted hold of $30 million. It also purchases minority interests in the form of common or preferred equity in the target companies, typically in conjunction with its debt investments or through a co-investment with a financial sponsor. The fund seeks to exit its investments through an initial public offering of common stock, a merger, a sale, or other recapitalization.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CION Investment Corporation reported revenue of $201M in FY2025 versus $132M in FY2021, a compound +11.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$20.6M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 58/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$201M
Latest YoY
+40.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+48.8%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+104.0%
Revenue +11.1%/yr
FY21 $132M
FY22 $61.1M
FY23 $192M
FY24 $143M
FY25 $201M
Net income
FY21 $119M
FY22 $50.1M
FY23 $95.3M
FY24 $33.9M
FY25 −$20.6M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −5.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.3 pp

of which total revenue +9.8 pp · buybacks/dilution −5.5 pp

EBIT margin −9.5 pp
Tax rate +8.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −9.1 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CION Investment Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CION

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Asset Management · 971 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Above median
Fair Value upside +59% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 75% · Above median
Revenue growth -12% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 20.5% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.47× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.43× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 4.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 4.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 6
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 69

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

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Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is CION Investment Corporation (CION) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $11.92 versus a price of $7.51, about +59% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CION?
Our model-based fair value for CION Investment Corporation is $11.92 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $7.51.
What is the quality score of CION?
CION Investment Corporation has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of CION Investment Corporation (CION)?
CION Investment Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $234M (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CION?
The net profit margin of CION Investment Corporation is about -0.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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