PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk (CMRY) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · ID · Market cap 35.6T IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
A strong business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (3,267 IDR to 13,647 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
56‑month range 2,740 IDR – 6,165 IDR · fair‑value band 3,267 IDR – 13,647 IDR · the 4,750 IDR price screens above the 4,355 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk (CMRY) currently trades at 4,750 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 4,355 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 8.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 78/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk generated revenue of 11.4T IDR at a net margin of 18.5%. Revenue grew 27.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 28.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 947B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 3,267 IDR (bear case) to 13,647 IDR (bull case); at 4,750 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 17% fair-value upside, at -8%, CMRY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (10,497 IDR) versus Asset-Based (572.88 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 76 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk produces and sells dairy and consumer products in Indonesia and internationally. It operates through Dairy Products and Consumer Foods segments. The company offers milk, yogurt, sausages, chicken nuggets, luncheon meat, and meatballs, as well as egg-based products under the Cimory and Kanzler brands.
Full company description
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk produces and sells dairy and consumer products in Indonesia and internationally. It operates through Dairy Products and Consumer Foods segments. The company offers milk, yogurt, sausages, chicken nuggets, luncheon meat, and meatballs, as well as egg-based products under the Cimory and Kanzler brands. It is also involved in acting as an agent and distributor; and food processing and canning activities. PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk reported revenue of 10.7T IDR in FY2025 versus 4.1T IDR in FY2021, a compound +27.2%/yr. Reported net income was 2.0T IDR in FY2025, compounding +26.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 653 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,427 | ₹362.37 | -75% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,413 | ₹1,870 | -65% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,089 | ₹327.27 | -70% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 6,650 IDR | 15,757 IDR | +137% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,139,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -11% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹413.80 | ₹157.04 | -62% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 58,500 VND | 68,259 VND | +17% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,750 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +54% |
| Nongshim Co 004370 | 348,500 KRW | 530,619 KRW | +52% |
| PT Siantar Top Tbk, STTP | 10,300 IDR | 15,316 IDR | +49% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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