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Centuria Capital Group (CNI) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · AU · Market cap A$1.7B

CC Centuria Capital Group CNI · AU
PriceA$2.03
Fair ValueA$1.25
Upside-38.4%
Quality94/100
Evidence: High Range A$1.00 – A$1.25

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price +9.7% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

A$2.48 A$1.55 Fair Value A$1.25 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range A$1.55 – A$2.48 · fair‑value band A$1.00 – A$1.25 · the A$2.03 price screens above the A$1.25 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Centuria Capital Group (CNI) currently trades at A$2.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$1.25 — implying the stock looks roughly 38.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 94/100 (high quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Centuria Capital Group generated revenue of A$434M at a net margin of -2.9%. Revenue declined 8.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.6%. Net debt stands at A$1.2B. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$434M
Revenue growth (YoY) -8.0%
Net margin -2.9%
Return on equity 7.6%
Free cash flow A$82.8M FY2025
P/E ratio 14.3
More key figures
Operating margin 54.3%
EPS (TTM) A$0.1400
Dividend yield 5.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +994%
Net debt A$1.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Centuria Capital Group, an investment manager, markets and manages investment products primarily in Australia. It operates through Property Funds Management, Co- Investments, Developments, Property and Development Finance, Investment Bonds Management, and Corporate segments. The Property Funds Management segment manages listed and unlisted property funds. The Co-Investments segment holds interest in property funds, properties held for sale, and other liquid investments. The Developments segment engages in the management of development project and structured property developments for the commercial office, industrial, and health through residential mixed use. The Property and Development Finance segment provide real estate secured non-bank finance for land sub-division, bridging finance, development projects, and residual stock. The Investment Bonds Management segment manages benefit funds, which include a range of financial products, such as single and multi-premium investments. The…

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Centuria Capital Group reported revenue of A$452M in FY2025 versus A$229M in FY2021, a compound +18.5%/yr. Reported net income was A$82.7M in FY2025, compounding −12.9%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +18.5%/yr
FY21 A$229M
FY22 A$300M
FY23 A$370M
FY24 A$327M
FY25 A$452M
Net income −12.9%/yr
FY21 A$143M
FY22 −A$37.9M
FY23 A$106M
FY24 A$102M
FY25 A$82.7M

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Frequently asked questions

Is Centuria Capital Group (CNI) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$1.25 versus a price of A$2.03 — about −38% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of CNI?
Our 21-model fair value for Centuria Capital Group is A$1.25 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$2.03.
What is the quality score of CNI?
Centuria Capital Group has a Quality Score of 94/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Centuria Capital Group (CNI)?
Centuria Capital Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$434M (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CNI?
The net profit margin of Centuria Capital Group is about -2.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Centuria Capital Group pay a dividend?
Centuria Capital Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.24% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.