COFACE SA (COFA) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · FR · Market cap €2.4B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from €19.31 to €18.79 (−2.7%) since Jul 15, 2026. Share price +0.3% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 17% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
- Our model range runs from €14.09 (bear) to €23.48 (bull), base €18.79. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 54/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €5.19 – €16.22 · fair‑value band €14.09 – €23.48 · the €16.06 price screens below the €18.79 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
COFACE SA (COFA) currently trades at €16.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €18.79, implying the stock looks roughly 17.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, COFACE SA generated revenue of €1.8B at a net margin of 11.7%. Revenue declined 0.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.5%. Net debt stands at €1.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €14.09 (bear case) to €23.48 (bull case); at €16.06, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 53% fair-value upside, at 17%, COFA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€19.31) versus Asset-Based (€9.92). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
COFACE SA, through its subsidiaries, provides trade credit insurance products and services for small and medium enterprises, mid-market companies, international corporations, international companies, financial institutions, and clients of distribution partners.
Full company description
COFACE SA, through its subsidiaries, provides trade credit insurance products and services for small and medium enterprises, mid-market companies, international corporations, international companies, financial institutions, and clients of distribution partners. It offers insurance products, including TradeLiner; EasyLiner, a range of contracts for small and medium enterprises; GlobaLiner, that offers multinationals services, and management and oversight tools; CofaNet, a central internet portal that enables policyholders to manage their contracts; Coface Dashboard, a tool providing client risk analyses and reports; CofaMove, a mobile app that includes the key features of CofaNet; CofaServe, an API offer; and AlyX, a credit risk management software, as well as Single Risk medium-term insurance for commercial and political risks. The company also provides business information, debt collection, factoring and surety bonds services. In addition, it offers contract surety bonds, customs and excise bonds, environmental surety bonds, legal bonds for temporary employment companies, and payment guarantees. Further, the company provides Urba360, a universal risk business assessment; Full report that provides complete financial data, a score, a maximum recommended credit limit and debtor risk assessment using an 11-point scale; Snapshot report, an instant report that provides a summary of the key aspects needed to assess business partners; Score which determines a company's ability to meet its short-term financial commitments; Credit Opinions which provides a recommended outstanding amount for a company; compliance control tools; Portfolio Insights and Selectio, an interactive portfolio management tools; and Economic Insights. It has operations in Western Europe, Africa, Northern Europe, Central and Eastern Europe, the Mediterranean, North America, Latin America, and the Asia-Pacific. COFACE SA was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Bois-Colombes, France.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
COFACE SA reported revenue of €1.9B in FY2025 versus €1.3B in FY2021, a compound +10.3%/yr. Reported net income was €222M in FY2025, compounding −0.2%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +2.9 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.6 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Insurance - Reinsurance · 29 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Reinsurance median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Insurance - Reinsurance stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1MUV2 1MUV2 | €513.20 | €526.73 | +3% |
| Swiss Re AG SREN | CHF 137.20 | CHF 158.42 | +15% |
| Hannover Rück SE HNR1 | €250.00 | €216.20 | -14% |
| Reinsurance Group RGA | $246.08 | $261.04 | +6% |
| Everest Group EG | $363.67 | $507.47 | +40% |
| RenaissanceRe Holdings RNR | $317.45 | $563.91 | +78% |
| SCOR SE SDRC | €34.14 | €66.75 | +96% |
| General Insurance Corporation GICRE | ₹355.85 | ₹594.47 | +67% |
| China Reinsurance (Group) Corporation 1508 | HK$1.22 | HK$2.43 | +100% |
| Hamilton Insurance Group HG | $35.27 | $54.04 | +53% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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