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Collaxio AB (COLLAX) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · SE · Market cap 43.4M SEK

CA Collaxio AB COLLAX · ST
Pricekr 0.4400
Fair Valuekr 0.2380
Upside-45.9%
Quality31/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/9)
Narrow moat 17/100
Evidence: Low Range kr 0.1615 – kr 0.2975 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Share price −11.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 46% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 0.2975). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (kr 0.1615 to kr 0.2975) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (9 months)

kr 1.12 kr 0.4250 Fair Value kr 0.2380 Oct 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

9‑month range kr 0.4250 – kr 1.12 · fair‑value band kr 0.1615 – kr 0.2975 · the kr 0.4400 price screens above the kr 0.2380 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Jul 20, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Collaxio AB (COLLAX) currently trades at kr 0.4400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 0.2380, implying the stock looks roughly 45.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

It earns a return on equity of -28.5%. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 0.1615 (bear case) to kr 0.2975 (bull case); at kr 0.4400, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 62% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -46%, COLLAX screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
P/B Multiple kr 0.6500 kr 0.8700 kr 1.09 55
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.5100 kr 0.6800 kr 1.02 50
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple kr 0.6500 kr 0.8700 kr 1.09 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.5100 kr 0.6800 kr 1.02 50

Widest divergence: Multiples (kr 0.8700) versus Asset-Based (kr 0.6800). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) −10.4M SEK
Return on equity -28.5%
Free cash flow −15.3M SEK FY2025
Operating margin 4.6%
EPS (TTM) kr -0.5800

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 10
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 25
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Collaxio AB (publ) is a private equity, venture capital and secondary (direct) firm specializing in acquisitions & buy-and-build investments. It prefers to invest in four key sectors-B2B/SaaS & platform solutions, quality of life, transformational shifts and opportunistic.

Full company description

Collaxio AB (publ) is a private equity, venture capital and secondary (direct) firm specializing in acquisitions & buy-and-build investments. It prefers to invest in four key sectors-B2B/SaaS & platform solutions, quality of life, transformational shifts and opportunistic. It prefers to have a board representation and advisory board seats in its portfolio companies. Collaxio AB (publ) was founded in 2025 and is based in Stockholm, Sweden with additional offices in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Collaxio AB reported revenue of kr 944K in FY2025 versus −kr 23.0M in FY2022. Reported net income was −kr 35.4M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
944K SEK
Latest YoY
−72.2%
Revenue
FY22 −kr 23.0M
FY23 −kr 33.9M
FY24 kr 3.4M
FY25 kr 944K
Net income
FY22 −kr 36.8M
FY23 −kr 78.6M
FY24 kr 327K
FY25 −kr 35.4M

COLLAX screens 46% overvalued. Compare with Fondul Proprietatea SA →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Collaxio AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/COLLAX

Peer Group

Asset Management · 971 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −46% · Below median
Return on assets -16% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.05× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Collaxio AB (COLLAX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 0.2380 versus a price of kr 0.4400, about −46% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of COLLAX?
Our model-based fair value for Collaxio AB is kr 0.2380 (as of Jul 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 0.4400.
What is the quality score of COLLAX?
Collaxio AB has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of COLLAX?
The net profit margin of Collaxio AB is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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