Cosol Ltd (COS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Cosol Ltd A$0.25, price A$0.20, upside +25.4%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.1850 – A$1.21 · fair‑value band A$0.1093 – A$0.4926 · the A$0.2000 price screens below the A$0.2508 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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COSOL Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides asset management as a service in the Asia Pacific, North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally.
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COSOL Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides asset management as a service in the Asia Pacific, North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. The company asset management advisory and operations; digital asset management, such as enterprise system strategy alignment, performance uplift, data lifecycle integrity and migration, EAM system add-ons, digital asset maintenance, EAM intelligence, and enterprise intelligence services; maintenance scheduling as a service, planning as a service, work management as a service solutions; and managed services, data governance, master data goverance, AI asset lifecycle, and enterprise asset management services, as well as asset management specialist resourcing. It serves natural resources, energy and water, public infrastructure, and government and defence industries. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Brisbane, Australia.
Stock analysis
Cosol Ltd (COS) currently trades at A$0.2000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.2508, implying the stock looks roughly 20.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of A$2.19 per share, and 26 of the 26 models we run sit above the A$0.2000 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.2800, and 0 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.1093 (bear) to A$0.4926 (bull), the price of A$0.2000 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Cosol Ltd reported revenue of A$117M in FY2025 versus A$33.6M in FY2021, a compound +36.6%/yr. Reported net income was A$7.9M in FY2025, compounding +18.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap A$38.6M (≈ $27.2M) · P/E ratio 10.0 · P/S ratio 0.68 · EPS (TTM) A$0.0200 · Dividend yield 6.0% · Net margin 6.8% · Return on equity 4.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 68% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 66% fair-value upside, at 25%, COS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.1093Fair Value A$0.2508Bull A$0.4926
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0080 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+34.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+58.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+48.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+26.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+20.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 11%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−6.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −9.6% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Information Technology Services · 490 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+25% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5% · Below median
Return on assets3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−14% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)6.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.30× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)10.0× · Cheapest 25%
P/B0.35× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cosol Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/COS
Frequently asked questions
Is Cosol Ltd (COS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.2508 versus a price of A$0.2000, about +25% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of COS?
Our model-based fair value for Cosol Ltd is A$0.2508 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.2000.
What is the quality score of COS?
Cosol Ltd has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cosol Ltd (COS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.2508 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.1093, optimistic scenario A$0.4926. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cosol Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.2508, about +25% upside versus a price of A$0.2000 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.1093, optimistic scenario A$0.4926. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cosol Ltd (COS)?
Cosol Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$109M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Cosol Ltd pay a dividend?
Cosol Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.00% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Cosol Ltd (COS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Cosol Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -6.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +58.5 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of COS use?
Our models discount Cosol Ltd at 8.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.38, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Cosol Ltd that is -6.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Cosol Ltd (COS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Cosol Ltd grew +58.5 % a year. The price currently implies -6.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Cosol Ltd (COS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Cosol Ltd (-6.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Cosol Ltd (COS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 15.66 %: that much free cash flow Cosol Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Cosol Ltd (COS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cosol Ltd it is A$0.2508 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.2000. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Cosol Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, COS trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.2000, fair value A$0.2508, a gap of about +25% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of COS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.2000); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.2508). For Cosol Ltd the two are A$0.0508 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cosol Ltd worth?
The market values Cosol Ltd at about A$38.6M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.2000; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.2508 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about COS?
Our models span a range for Cosol Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.1093, base A$0.2508, optimistic A$0.4926 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.2000). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of COS?
Cosol Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.0 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$0.2508 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.4, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 5.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cosol Ltd (COS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cosol Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 4.8%, debt of 0.30 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is COS from its 52-week high?
Cosol Ltd trades at A$0.2000, about 68% below its 52-week high of A$0.6281 and 8% above the low of A$0.1850 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.2508 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cosol Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value International Business Machines Corporation, Accenture plc, Tata Consultancy Services Limited, Infosys Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cosol Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.2000, calculated fair value A$0.2508 (+25%), Quality Score 40/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of COS calculated?
We run Cosol Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.2508, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Cosol Ltd currently trades 25 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cosol Ltd (COS)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was A$0.2000. Our model-based fair value is A$0.2508, about +25% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cosol Ltd right now?
The model range is unusually wide (A$0.1093 to A$0.4926). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Cosol Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Cosol Ltd (COS)?
The market capitalisation of Cosol Ltd is A$38.6M (≈ $27.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cosol Ltd (COS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cosol Ltd is 0.68 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Cosol Ltd (COS)?
Earnings per share at Cosol Ltd are A$0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Cosol Ltd (COS)?
The dividend yield of Cosol Ltd is 6.0% (payout 60.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Cosol Ltd (COS)?
The net margin of Cosol Ltd is 6.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cosol Ltd (COS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cosol Ltd is 4.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cosol Ltd (COS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cosol Ltd is 12.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cosol Ltd (COS)?
The operating margin of Cosol Ltd is 1.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cosol Ltd (COS)?
Revenue at Cosol Ltd is growing −14.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +34.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Cosol Ltd (COS)?
Earnings per share at Cosol Ltd are growing −24.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Cosol Ltd (COS) carry?
The net debt of Cosol Ltd is A$26.3M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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