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Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc (CPRX) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $3.9B

CP Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc logo Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc CPRX · US
Price$31.49
Fair Value$38.52
Upside+22.3%
Quality71/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 37.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Wide moat 92/100
Evidence: High Range $28.89 – $84.86 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price +0.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 22% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($28.89 to $84.86). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Our model range runs from $28.89 (bear) to $84.86 (bull), base $38.52. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 71/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$31.50 $4.31 Fair Value $38.52 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.31 – $31.50 · fair‑value band $28.89 – $84.86 · the $31.49 price screens below the $38.52 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc (CPRX) currently trades at $31.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $38.52, implying the stock looks roughly 22.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc generated revenue of $597M at a net margin of 37.1%. Revenue grew 5.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 24.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $706M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $28.89 (bear case) to $84.86 (bull case); at $31.49, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 65% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at 22%, CPRX screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $31.25 $54.24 $91.29 80
Residual Income $11.33 $15.18 $73.06 76
Rev-Margin DCF $23.05 $34.74 $59.35 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $32.90 $47.52 $93.13 38
Owner Earnings $36.38 $73.57 $148.79 31
5Y Revenue Exit $21.53 $31.07 $50.88 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $32.26 $52.77 $92.97 41
5Y P/E Exit $34.87 $71.17 $120.71 38
10Y Revenue Exit $24.76 $42.81 $52.87 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $32.85 $65.39 $121.91 37
10Y P/E Exit $34.71 $70.87 $130.43 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $11.91 $83.03 $116.51 54
Lynch FV $42.89 $61.28 $79.66 50
PEG = 1.0 $42.89 $61.28 $79.66 46
EPV $19.80 $22.01 $23.92 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $28.89 $38.52 $48.15 63
P/S Multiple $12.63 $16.84 $21.05 58
P/B Multiple $22.32 $29.76 $37.20 55
EV/EBIT $32.64 $41.59 $50.54 53
EV/EBITDA $31.15 $39.60 $48.06 54
EV/Revenue $15.90 $20.23 $24.56 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.90 $5.22 $7.80 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $31.25 $54.24 $91.29 80
Rev-Margin DCF $23.05 $34.74 $59.35 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $11.33 $15.18 $73.06 76
ROIC Compounder $22.25 $28.39 $35.79 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $56.94 $81.34 $105.74 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($81.34) versus Asset-Based ($5.22). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $597M
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.6%
Net margin 37.1%
Return on equity 24.5%
Free cash flow $209M FY2025
P/E ratio 18.2
More key figures
Operating margin 49.0%
EPS (TTM) $1.73
EPS growth (YoY) +11.1%
Net cash $706M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 71/100

Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 83

Profitability 79
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 83
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 85
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 91
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 49
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing and commercializing medicines for patients living with rare diseases in the United States.

Full company description

Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing and commercializing medicines for patients living with rare diseases in the United States. It offers Firdapse for the treatment of patients with lambert-eaton myasthenic syndrome (LEMS); Fycompa, a novel non-competitive selective antagonist at the postsynaptic ionotropic alpha-amino-3-hydroxy-5-methyl-4-isoxazolepropionic acid glutamate receptor that is used to treat focal onset seizures, as well as tonic-clonic seizure; and AGAMREE, a corticosteroid for the treatment of duchenne muscular dystrophy. The company has license agreements with BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.; and a collaboration and license agreement with Endo Ventures Limited for the development and commercialization of generic Sabril tablets. Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc. was founded in 2002 and is based in Coral Gables, Florida.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc reported revenue of $589M in FY2025 versus $141M in FY2021, a compound +43.0%/yr. Reported net income was $214M in FY2025, compounding +52.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 87/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$589M
Latest YoY
+19.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+40.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+37.7%
Avg. growth/yr (15Y)
+60.5%
Revenue +43.0%/yr
FY21 $141M
FY22 $214M
FY23 $398M
FY24 $492M
FY25 $589M
Net income +52.6%/yr
FY21 $39.5M
FY22 $83.1M
FY23 $71.4M
FY24 $164M
FY25 $214M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CPRX

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 603 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +22% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Return on assets 16% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 37% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 49% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 6% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 4.04× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 6.46× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 18.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 10.3× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 63 · sector 0
FUTURE 28 · sector 0
PAST 98 · sector 0
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 23

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $486.03 $278.78 -43%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $664.45 $594.40 -11%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,368,000 KRW 1,091,384 KRW -20%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 175,800 KRW 76,325 KRW -57%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$39.54 HK$30.42 -23%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$86.70 HK$19.66 -77%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$5.26 HK$3.36 -36%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 276,500 KRW 44,444 KRW -84%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥134.02 ¥26.99 -80%
Biocon Limited BIOCON ₹440.70 ₹57.36 -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc (CPRX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $38.52 versus a price of $31.49, about +22% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CPRX?
Our model-based fair value for Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc is $38.52 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $31.49.
What is the quality score of CPRX?
Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc (CPRX)?
Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $597M (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CPRX?
The net profit margin of Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc is about 37.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 37.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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