Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc (CPRX) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $3.9B
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price +0.3% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 22% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($28.89 to $84.86). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Our model range runs from $28.89 (bear) to $84.86 (bull), base $38.52. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 71/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.31 – $31.50 · fair‑value band $28.89 – $84.86 · the $31.49 price screens below the $38.52 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc (CPRX) currently trades at $31.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $38.52, implying the stock looks roughly 22.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc generated revenue of $597M at a net margin of 37.1%. Revenue grew 5.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 24.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $706M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $28.89 (bear case) to $84.86 (bull case); at $31.49, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 65% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at 22%, CPRX screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($81.34) versus Asset-Based ($5.22). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 83
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing and commercializing medicines for patients living with rare diseases in the United States.
Full company description
Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing and commercializing medicines for patients living with rare diseases in the United States. It offers Firdapse for the treatment of patients with lambert-eaton myasthenic syndrome (LEMS); Fycompa, a novel non-competitive selective antagonist at the postsynaptic ionotropic alpha-amino-3-hydroxy-5-methyl-4-isoxazolepropionic acid glutamate receptor that is used to treat focal onset seizures, as well as tonic-clonic seizure; and AGAMREE, a corticosteroid for the treatment of duchenne muscular dystrophy. The company has license agreements with BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.; and a collaboration and license agreement with Endo Ventures Limited for the development and commercialization of generic Sabril tablets. Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc. was founded in 2002 and is based in Coral Gables, Florida.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc reported revenue of $589M in FY2025 versus $141M in FY2021, a compound +43.0%/yr. Reported net income was $214M in FY2025, compounding +52.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Angelini Pharma Completes Acquisition of Catalyst Pharmaceuticals
- Catalyst Pharmaceuticals Stockholders Clear Angelini Pharma Merger
- CPRX's Agamree Shows Potential Beyond DMD After Positive Phase I Data
- Santhera Notes Topline Results from Catalyst Pharmaceuticals’ Phase 1 Clinical Study of AGAMREE®
Peer Group
Biotechnology · 603 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX | $486.03 | $278.78 | -43% |
| Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN | $664.45 | $594.40 | -11% |
| Samsung Biologics Co 207940 | 1,368,000 KRW | 1,091,384 KRW | -20% |
| Celltrion, Inc 068270 | 175,800 KRW | 76,325 KRW | -57% |
| WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 | HK$39.54 | HK$30.42 | -23% |
| Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 | HK$86.70 | HK$19.66 | -77% |
| Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 | HK$5.26 | HK$3.36 | -36% |
| ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 | 276,500 KRW | 44,444 KRW | -84% |
| RemeGen Co 688331 | ¥134.02 | ¥26.99 | -80% |
| Biocon Limited BIOCON | ₹440.70 | ₹57.36 | -87% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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