China Resources Power Holding (CRPJY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of China Resources Power Holding $69.70, price $35.69, upside +95.3%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $9.28 – $42.71 · fair‑value band $52.27 – $103.91 · the $35.69 price screens below the $69.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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China Resources Power Holdings Company Limited, an investment holding company, invests in, develops, operates, and manages power plants and coal mine projects in the People's Republic of China. The company operates in two segments, Thermal Power and Renewable Energy.
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China Resources Power Holdings Company Limited, an investment holding company, invests in, develops, operates, and manages power plants and coal mine projects in the People's Republic of China. The company operates in two segments, Thermal Power and Renewable Energy. It operates and manages coal- and gas-fired power plants, wind farms, photovoltaic power plants, hydro-electric power plants, and other clean and renewable energy projects. As of December 31, 2025, the company had 50 coal-fired power plants, 221 wind farms, 221 photovoltaic power plants, 20 hydroelectric plants, and 6 gas-fired plants with total attributable grid-connected installed capacity was 89,647MW. It is also involved in the distribution of energy, power sale, smart energy, coal mining, and other areas. The company was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong. China Resources Power Holdings Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of CRH (Power) Limited.
Stock analysis
China Resources Power Holding ADR (CRPJY) currently trades at $35.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $69.70, implying the stock looks roughly 48.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $77.87 per share, and 12 of the 16 models we run sit above the $35.69 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $22.19, and 4 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $52.27 (bear) to $103.91 (bull), the price of $35.69 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
China Resources Power Holding ADR reported revenue of HK$102B in FY2025 versus HK$90.4B in FY2021, a compound +3.0%/yr. Reported net income was HK$14.8B in FY2025, compounding +62.1%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap $12.3B · P/E ratio 6.7 · P/S ratio 0.97 · EPS (TTM) $5.36 · Dividend yield 3.2% · Net margin 14.5% · Return on equity 12.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at 95%, CRPJY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $52.27Fair Value $69.70Bull $103.91
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($3.20 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.42/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.6% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+19.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+15.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.15.8% vs 4.0%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.20% → 21%
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (20 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Compare China Resources Power Holding ADR with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Independent Power Producers · 72 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+87.5% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)12.8% · Above median
Return on assets3.6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)14.2% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)18.8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−4.5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.34× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Independent Power Producers median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Resources Power Holding ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CRPJY
Frequently asked questions
Is China Resources Power Holding (CRPJY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $69.70 versus a price of $35.69, about +95% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CRPJY?
Our model-based fair value for China Resources Power Holding ADR is $69.70 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $35.69.
What is the quality score of CRPJY?
China Resources Power Holding ADR has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Resources Power Holding (CRPJY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $69.70 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $52.27, optimistic scenario $103.91. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Resources Power Holding ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $69.70, about +95% upside versus a price of $35.69 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $52.27, optimistic scenario $103.91. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Resources Power Holding (CRPJY)?
China Resources Power Holding ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$102B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does China Resources Power Holding ADR pay a dividend?
China Resources Power Holding ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.16% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China Resources Power Holding (CRPJY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Resources Power Holding ADR it is $69.70 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $35.69. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Resources Power Holding ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, CRPJY trades below its calculated fair value: price $35.69, fair value $69.70, a gap of about +95% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CRPJY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($35.69); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($69.70). For China Resources Power Holding ADR the two are $34.01 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Resources Power Holding ADR worth?
The market values China Resources Power Holding ADR at about $12.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $35.69; our models calculate a fair value of $69.70 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CRPJY?
Our models span a range for China Resources Power Holding ADR: cautious scenario $52.27, base $69.70, optimistic $103.91 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $35.69). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CRPJY?
China Resources Power Holding ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.7 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $69.70 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.1, P/B 0.9, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 5.9.
What is the PEG ratio of CRPJY?
The PEG ratio of China Resources Power Holding ADR is 1.12 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Resources Power Holding (CRPJY)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Resources Power Holding ADR (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 12.8%, debt of 1.34 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CRPJY from its 52-week high?
China Resources Power Holding ADR trades at $35.69, about 4% below its 52-week high of $37.07 and 5% above the low of $33.91 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $69.70 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Resources Power Holding ADR?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value Constellation Energy Corporation, Vistra Corp, Adani Power Limited, CGN Power Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Resources Power Holding ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $35.69, calculated fair value $69.70 (+95%), Quality Score 36/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CRPJY calculated?
We run China Resources Power Holding ADR through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $69.70, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. China Resources Power Holding ADR currently trades 49 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Resources Power Holding (CRPJY)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $35.69. Our model-based fair value is $69.70, about +95% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Resources Power Holding ADR right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (36/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($52.27). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. A fairly wide model range ($52.27 to $103.91) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of China Resources Power Holding (CRPJY) come from?
Earnings per share at China Resources Power Holding ADR grew +4.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.1 %, EBIT margin −4.0 %, tax rate +2.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of China Resources Power Holding ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of China Resources Power Holding (CRPJY)?
The market capitalisation of China Resources Power Holding ADR is $12.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Resources Power Holding (CRPJY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Resources Power Holding ADR is 0.97 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Resources Power Holding (CRPJY)?
Earnings per share at China Resources Power Holding ADR are $5.36 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of China Resources Power Holding (CRPJY)?
The dividend yield of China Resources Power Holding ADR is 3.2% (payout 21.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of China Resources Power Holding (CRPJY)?
The net margin of China Resources Power Holding ADR is 14.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Resources Power Holding (CRPJY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Resources Power Holding ADR is 12.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Resources Power Holding (CRPJY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Resources Power Holding ADR is 4.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Resources Power Holding (CRPJY)?
The operating margin of China Resources Power Holding ADR is 18.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Resources Power Holding (CRPJY)?
Revenue at China Resources Power Holding ADR is growing −4.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Resources Power Holding (CRPJY)?
Earnings per share at China Resources Power Holding ADR are growing +25.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does China Resources Power Holding (CRPJY) generate?
The free cash flow of China Resources Power Holding ADR is −HK$5.5B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does China Resources Power Holding (CRPJY) carry?
The net debt of China Resources Power Holding ADR is HK$212B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Sep 23, 2026