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Christie Group plc (CTG) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · GB · Market cap 34.9M GBX · ISIN GB0001953156

What is Christie Group plc really worth?

CG Christie Group plc CTG · LSE
Price£1.63
Fair Value£2.78
Upside+71.1%
Quality81/100

A strong business, trading 42% below our fair value of £2.78.

As of Aug 31, 2026, the fair value of Christie Group plc is £2.78 per share against a price of £1.63, so the fair value sits 71% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +10.8 %/yr)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (10/14)

Risks

!Thin margins · 1.8% net margin
!Moderate moat 61/100

For context

·2.15% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range £2.09 – £3.48

Fair value as of: Aug 31, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Share price +6.6% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (81/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (£2.09). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£1.63 £0.6405 Fair Value £2.78 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £0.6405 – £1.63 · fair‑value band £2.09 – £3.48 · the £1.63 price screens below the £2.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.

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Analysis

Christie Group plc (CTG) currently trades at £1.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £2.78, implying the stock looks roughly 41.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 81/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of £3.25 per share, and 20 of the 25 models we run sit above the £1.63 price. Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at £1.81, and 5 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Christie Group plc generated revenue of £70.6M at a net margin of 1.8%. Revenue grew 23.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 94.9%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 8.6. Fundamentals as of Aug 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £2.09 (bear case) to £3.48 (bull case); at £1.63, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at 71%, CTG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly £0.1057 per share, which is 3.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence £2.54 £3.25 £4.09 82
Growth DCF £2.55 £3.18 £3.90 80
Owner Earnings £1.87 £2.37 £2.95 78
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence £2.54 £3.25 £4.09 82
Owner Earnings £1.87 £2.37 £2.95 78
5Y Revenue Exit £2.60 £3.71 £5.08 73
5Y EBITDA Exit £2.96 £4.35 £5.92 75
5Y P/E Exit £2.34 £3.25 £4.15 72
10Y Revenue Exit £2.49 £3.38 £4.49 67
10Y EBITDA Exit £2.74 £3.76 £5.03 69
10Y P/E Exit £2.41 £3.11 £3.91 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd £0.9000 £2.34 £3.04 65
PEG = 1.0 £0.4400 £0.6300 £0.8200 57
EPV £1.99 £2.19 £2.35 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £0.1700 £0.2800 £0.3700 68
DDM Multi-Stage £0.1700 £0.2400 £0.3000 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple £2.09 £2.78 £3.48 63
P/S Multiple £1.69 £2.25 £2.82 58
P/B Multiple £0.7100 £0.9400 £1.18 55
EV/EBIT £3.79 £4.93 £6.07 66
EV/EBITDA £3.72 £4.84 £5.96 67
EV/Revenue £2.81 £3.86 £4.91 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £0.1000 £0.1400 £0.2100 53
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £2.55 £3.18 £3.90 80
Rev-Margin DCF £2.60 £3.74 £4.98 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income £0.9600 £1.81 £42.74 64
ROIC Compounder £1.99 £2.19 £2.35 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E £1.63 £2.32 £3.02 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (£3.25) versus Asset-Based (£0.1400). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (82).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 8.6
P/S ratio 0.41 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) £0.1900 price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.6
Dividend yield 2.2% payout 18.4%
Net margin 4.8% FY2025
Return on equity 94.9% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 10.5% avg 5y
Operating margin 9.8% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) £70.6M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +23.6% 3y avg +0.7%
EPS growth (YoY) −32.0%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 7.0M GBX FY2025
Net debt 76.0K GBX FY2025 · ≈ 0.0 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 81/100

Of which business quality 78 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74

Profitability 66
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 85
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 73
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 69
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 67
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 90
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Christie Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of professional services for hotel, hospitality, leisure, healthcare, pharmacy, dental, childcare and education, and retail sectors in Europe and internationally. It operates in three segments: Professional & Financial Services; Stock & Inventory Systems & Services; and Other.

Full company description

Christie Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of professional services for hotel, hospitality, leisure, healthcare, pharmacy, dental, childcare and education, and retail sectors in Europe and internationally. It operates in three segments: Professional & Financial Services; Stock & Inventory Systems & Services; and Other. The company engages in valuing, buying, selling, developing, financing, and insuring activities for various businesses; and project management, building monitoring and surveying, professional agency, consultancy and valuation, and insurance services under the Christie & Co, Christie Finance, Christie Insurance, and Pinders brands. It also offers consultancy and compliance services, including control audits and live event stocktaking, and software and systems, that enables real-time management reporting to customers under the Venners brand. The company was founded in 1846 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Christie Group plc reported revenue of £70.6M in FY2025 versus £61.3M in FY2021, a compound +3.6%/yr. Reported net income was £3.4M in FY2025, compounding −1.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 88/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
£70.6M
Latest YoY
+16.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (39Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.7%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
≈ +0.9% (approximate, leans on 2025) · in GBP
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share−1.3%
Dividend yield2.2%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y −1.3% vs 10Y 3.9%, flattening
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−11.9% (2020) → 9.7% (2025) · rising
Worst earnings drop316% (2008) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in GBP
⚠ Rate leans on 2025: that final year sits 86% above its own trend (e.g. a one-off disposal gain) and could not be adjusted
Revenue +3.6%/yr
FY21 £61.3M
FY22 £69.2M
FY23 £52.3M
FY24 £60.4M
FY25 £70.6M
Net income −1.3%/yr
FY21 £3.6M
FY22 £3.2M
FY23 −£3.8M
FY24 £536K
FY25 £3.4M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −0.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share +0.8 %

of which total revenue +0.4 % · buybacks/dilution +0.4 %

EBIT margin +5.9 %
Tax rate +0.9 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −7.8 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Christie Group plc · Fair Value
£2.78 +42%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Christie Group plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CTG.LSE

Peer Group

Specialty Business Services · 248 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 81 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +71% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 95% · Top 25%
Return on assets 13% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Revenue growth 24% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.2% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 6.50× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.49× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 6.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 3.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 23
FUTURE100 · sector 27
PAST100 · sector 36
HEALTH100 · sector 92
DIVIDEND43 · sector 48

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cintas Corporation CTAS $200.47 $95.19 −53%
RELX PLC RELX $34.55 $32.24 −7%
Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI C$146.24 C$97.41 −33%
Copart, Inc CPRT $33.72 $28.59 −15%
Global Payments Inc GPN $91.05 $68.98 −24%
RB Global, Inc RBA C$119.68 C$68.30 −43%
Brambles Limited BXB A$19.47 A$17.27 −11%
UL Solutions Inc ULS $74.43 $33.62 −55%
Wolters Kluwer N.V WKL €68.88 €101.27 +47%
Aramark ARMK $59.08 $13.18 −78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Christie Group plc (CTG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £2.78 versus a price of £1.63, about +71% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CTG?
Our model-based fair value for Christie Group plc is £2.78 (as of Aug 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £1.63.
What is the quality score of CTG?
Christie Group plc has a Quality Score of 81/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Christie Group plc (CTG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £2.78 (as of Aug 31, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario £2.09, optimistic scenario £3.48. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Christie Group plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £2.78, about +71% upside versus a price of £1.63 (undervalued). Cautious scenario £2.09, optimistic scenario £3.48. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Christie Group plc (CTG)?
Christie Group plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £70.6M (latest available figure, as of Aug 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CTG?
The net profit margin of Christie Group plc is about 1.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Christie Group plc pay a dividend?
Christie Group plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.15% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 31, 2026).
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