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CoTec Holdings Corp. (CTH) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of CoTec Holdings Corp. C$0.12, price C$1.26, upside -90.6%, quality 22 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Financial Services · CA

CH Thin data Sep 27, 2026

CoTec Holdings Corp.

CTH · V

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value C$0.1190 · Strongly overvalued (−90.6%)
!Quality 22/100
!Weak Growth
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/7)
!Narrow moat 0/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$2.38 C$0.1650 Fair Value C$0.1190 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.1650 – C$2.38 · fair‑value band C$0.0935 – C$0.1530 · the C$1.26 price screens above the C$0.1190 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

CoTec Holdings Corp. focuses on investment in technology in the mineral extraction industries and acquiring assets in Canada.

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CoTec Holdings Corp. focuses on investment in technology in the mineral extraction industries and acquiring assets in Canada. It invests in technologies in mineral extraction technologies that enhance efficiency and sustainability in applying these technologies to undervalued mining assets, as well as focuses on recycling, waste mining, and scalable solutions. The company was formerly known as EastCoal Inc. and changed its name to CoTec Holdings Corp. in August 2021. CoTec Holdings Corp. was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.

Stock analysis

CoTec Holdings Corp. (CTH) currently trades at C$1.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.1190, implying the stock looks roughly 959.3% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: C$0.0935 (bear) to C$0.1530 (bull), the price of C$1.26 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

CoTec Holdings Corp. reported revenue of −C$1.2M in FY2025 versus C$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −C$19.2M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap C$159M (≈ $112M) · EPS (TTM) C$−0.2400 · Return on equity −62.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −43.7% · Operating margin 296% · Revenue (TTM) −C$5.6M · Revenue growth (YoY) −58.0% · EPS growth (YoY) −89.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −91%, CTH screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$0.0935 Fair Value C$0.1190 Bull C$0.1530
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
P/B Multiple C$0.1100 C$0.1400 C$0.1800 55
NCAV (Graham) C$0.0800 C$0.1100 C$0.1700 53
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple C$0.1100 C$0.1400 C$0.1800 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.0800 C$0.1100 C$0.1700 53

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 22/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 8
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 67
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 37
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

CTH screens 959% overvalued. Compare with Blackstone Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 653 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −90.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −22.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −58.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.11× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 5.55× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 56
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 29
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 22
HEALTH (low debt)95 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 81

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Blackstone Inc BX $117.21 $52.29 −55%
KKR & Co KKR $96.67 $29.26 −70%
Brookfield Corporation BN $36.87 $13.45 −64%
Apollo Global Management, Inc APO $121.69 $197.23 +62%
Brookfield Asset Management Ltd BAM $44.59 $25.68 −42%
State Street Corporation STT $181.34 $139.37 −23%
Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP $493.00 $595.40 +21%
Ares Management Corporation ARES $122.01 $103.68 −15%
Northern Trust Corporation NTRS $175.73 $123.42 −30%
Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF $159.87 $317.27 +98%

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CoTec Holdings Corp. · Fair Value
C$0.1190 −959%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CoTec Holdings Corp. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CTH

Frequently asked questions

Is CoTec Holdings Corp. (CTH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.1190 versus a price of C$1.26, about −91% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CTH?
Our model-based fair value for CoTec Holdings Corp. is C$0.1190 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$1.26.
What is the quality score of CTH?
CoTec Holdings Corp. has a Quality Score of 22/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CoTec Holdings Corp. (CTH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.1190 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.0935, optimistic scenario C$0.1530. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CoTec Holdings Corp. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.1190, about −91% upside versus a price of C$1.26 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.0935, optimistic scenario C$0.1530. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of CoTec Holdings Corp. (CTH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CoTec Holdings Corp. it is C$0.1190 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of C$1.26. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CoTec Holdings Corp. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, CTH trades above its calculated fair value: price C$1.26, fair value C$0.1190, a gap of about −91% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CTH?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$1.26); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.1190). For CoTec Holdings Corp. the two are C$1.14 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CoTec Holdings Corp. worth?
The market values CoTec Holdings Corp. at about C$159M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is C$1.26; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.1190 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CTH?
Our models span a range for CoTec Holdings Corp.: cautious scenario C$0.0935, base C$0.1190, optimistic C$0.1530 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price C$1.26). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of CoTec Holdings Corp. (CTH)?
Balance-sheet figures for CoTec Holdings Corp. (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −62.3%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 22/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CTH from its 52-week high?
CoTec Holdings Corp. trades at C$1.26, about 47% below its 52-week high of C$2.38 and 15% above the low of C$1.10 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.1190 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CoTec Holdings Corp.?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, KKR & Co, Brookfield Corporation, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CoTec Holdings Corp. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price C$1.26, calculated fair value C$0.1190 (−91%), Quality Score 22/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CTH calculated?
We run CoTec Holdings Corp. through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.1190, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. CoTec Holdings Corp. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CoTec Holdings Corp. (CTH)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was C$1.26. Our model-based fair value is C$0.1190, about −91% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CoTec Holdings Corp. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.1530). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (22/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of CoTec Holdings Corp.

How large is the market capitalisation of CoTec Holdings Corp. (CTH)?
The market capitalisation of CoTec Holdings Corp. is C$159M (≈ $112M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of CoTec Holdings Corp. (CTH)?
Earnings per share at CoTec Holdings Corp. are C$−0.2400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of CoTec Holdings Corp. (CTH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CoTec Holdings Corp. is −62.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CoTec Holdings Corp. (CTH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CoTec Holdings Corp. is −43.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CoTec Holdings Corp. (CTH)?
The operating margin of CoTec Holdings Corp. is 296% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much revenue does CoTec Holdings Corp. (CTH) generate?
CoTec Holdings Corp. generates revenue of −C$5.6M (last twelve months). Revenue of the last twelve months (TTM), the most recent full year, not the calendar year.
How fast is revenue growing at CoTec Holdings Corp. (CTH)?
Revenue at CoTec Holdings Corp. is growing −58.0% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CoTec Holdings Corp. (CTH)?
Earnings per share at CoTec Holdings Corp. are growing −89.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does CoTec Holdings Corp. (CTH) generate?
The free cash flow of CoTec Holdings Corp. is −C$5.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does CoTec Holdings Corp. (CTH) carry?
The net debt of CoTec Holdings Corp. is C$67.0K (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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