CoTec Holdings (CTH) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · CA · Market cap C$164M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from C$0.1200 to C$0.1500 (+25.0%) since Jul 26, 2026. Share price −3.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 89% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.1800). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.1500 – C$2.38 · fair‑value band C$0.1100 – C$0.1800 · the C$1.35 price screens above the C$0.1500 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
CoTec Holdings (CTH) currently trades at C$1.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.1500, implying the stock looks roughly 88.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Revenue declined 58.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -59.5%. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$0.1100 (bear case) to C$0.1800 (bull case); at C$1.35, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 69% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -56% fair-value upside, at -89%, CTH screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (C$0.1500) versus Asset-Based (C$0.1200). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
CoTec Holdings Corp. focuses on investment in technology in the mineral extraction industries and acquiring assets in Canada.
Full company description
CoTec Holdings Corp. focuses on investment in technology in the mineral extraction industries and acquiring assets in Canada. It invests in technologies in mineral extraction technologies that enhance efficiency and sustainability in applying these technologies to undervalued mining assets, as well as focuses on recycling, waste mining, and scalable solutions. The company was formerly known as EastCoal Inc. and changed its name to CoTec Holdings Corp. in August 2021. CoTec Holdings Corp. was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
CoTec Holdings reported revenue of −C$1.2M in FY2025 versus C$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −C$19.2M in FY2025.
CTH screens 89% overvalued. Compare with BlackRock, Inc →
Peer Group
Asset Management · 981 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc BLK | $1,136 | $465.75 | -59% |
| Blackstone Inc BX | $124.56 | $16.35 | -87% |
| Investor AB INVEB | kr 423.70 | kr 847.40 | +100% |
| Brookfield Corporation BN | C$62.45 | C$10.12 | -84% |
| KKR & Co KKR | $100.94 | $44.88 | -56% |
| AB Industrivärden INDUA | kr 532.50 | kr 1,065 | +100% |
| Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN | ₹242.98 | ₹40.19 | -83% |
| Hedef Holding HEDEF | 267.25 TRY | 320.98 TRY | +20% |
| Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG | ₹10,398 | ₹9,202 | -12% |
| HDFC Asset Management Company HDFCAMC | ₹2,729 | ₹301.41 | -89% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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