Central Natural Resources, Inc (CTNR) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $8.9M
Central Natural Resources, Inc
CTNR · US
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 21 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
A solid business, but screening 54% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.52). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.9895 – $15.15 · fair‑value band $1.15 – $1.52 · the $3.05 price screens above the $1.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Central Natural Resources, Inc (CTNR) currently trades at $3.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.40, implying the stock looks roughly 54.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Central Natural Resources, Inc generated revenue of $949K at a net margin of 33.6%. Revenue grew 67.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.15 (bear case) to $1.52 (bull case); at $3.05, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -36% fair-value upside, at -54%, CTNR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 21 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($1.21) versus Growth DCF ($0.8400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Central Natural Resources, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, explores and produces of oil and gas properties. It holds oil and gas properties located in Texas, Louisiana, and the Arkoma Basin.
Full company description
Central Natural Resources, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, explores and produces of oil and gas properties. It holds oil and gas properties located in Texas, Louisiana, and the Arkoma Basin. The company also holds steam and metallurgical coal deposits in western Arkansas, eastern Oklahoma, northeastern Oklahoma, and southeastern Kansas; and explores and produces coalbed methane in Sebastian County, Arkansas and LeFlore County, Oklahoma. In addition, it leases real estate properties; and holds mineral and timber interests in the mid-western and southern United States. Central Natural Resources, Inc. was incorporated in 1936 and is based in Kansas City, Missouri.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2018 – FY2022 · reported fiscal years
Central Natural Resources, Inc reported revenue of $949K in FY2022 versus $925K in FY2018, a compound +0.6%/yr. Reported net income was $319K in FY2022.
CTNR screens 54% overvalued. Compare with SLB N.V →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 191 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SLB N.V SLBN | 836.00 MXN | 533.97 MXN | -36% |
| Baker Hughes Company BKR | $55.95 | $33.55 | -40% |
| TechnipFMC plc FTI | $74.57 | $27.57 | -63% |
| Halliburton Company HAL | $35.22 | $21.50 | -39% |
| Tenaris S.A TS | $57.16 | $45.68 | -20% |
| Yantai Jereh Oilfield Services Group 002353 | ¥138.79 | ¥34.17 | -75% |
| Saipem SpA SPM | €4.20 | €2.72 | -35% |
| Subsea 7 S.A SUBC | kr 319.00 | kr 227.98 | -29% |
| China Oilfield Services Limited 601808 | ¥12.08 | ¥12.64 | +5% |
| Gaztransport & Technigaz SA GTT | €188.10 | €95.01 | -49% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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