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CYBERDYNE Inc (CYBQF) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $394M

CI CYBERDYNE Inc logo CYBERDYNE Inc CYBQF · US
Price$1.31
Fair Value$0.1600
Upside-87.8%
Quality55/100

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Trades 719% ABOVE our fair value of $0.1600
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +15.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.0% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +15.6 %/yr)
Thin margins · 4.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: High Range $0.1200 – $0.2000 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026

From 18 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +0.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but trading 719% above our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.2000). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$5.14 $1.03 Fair Value $0.1600 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.03 – $5.14 · fair‑value band $0.1200 – $0.2000 · the $1.31 price screens above the $0.1600 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

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Analysis

CYBERDYNE Inc (CYBQF) currently trades at $1.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1600, implying the stock looks roughly 87.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, CYBERDYNE Inc generated revenue of $3.8B at a net margin of 4.0%. Revenue declined 21.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $8.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.1200 (bear case) to $0.2000 (bull case); at $1.31, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -88%, CYBQF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $81.76 $89.72 $100.94 80
Residual Income $188.12 $167.85 $106.35 76
Rev-Margin DCF $80.62 $89.19 $100.08 74
All 18 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $81.93 $90.87 $104.24 38
Owner Earnings $126.61 $163.57 $218.88 31
5Y Revenue Exit $80.62 $89.31 $100.88 39
5Y P/E Exit $83.82 $95.80 $109.28 38
10Y Revenue Exit $80.59 $88.50 $100.15 36
10Y P/E Exit $82.87 $92.80 $106.46 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $7.85 $34.41 $47.09 54
Lynch FV $8.88 $12.69 $16.50 50
PEG = 1.0 $8.88 $12.69 $16.50 46
Multiples
P/E Multiple $19.04 $25.39 $31.73 63
P/S Multiple $14.71 $19.62 $24.52 58
P/B Multiple $14.71 $19.62 $24.52 55
EV/Revenue $80.19 $85.54 $90.89 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $149.41 $200.21 $298.82 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $81.76 $89.72 $100.94 80
Rev-Margin DCF $80.62 $89.19 $100.08 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $188.12 $167.85 $106.35 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $15.07 $21.53 $27.98 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($200.21) versus Earnings-Based ($12.69). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.10 TTM
Net margin 4.0% FY2026
Return on equity 0.4% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) -2.5% avg 5y
Operating margin -34.3% TTM
Revenue (TTM) $3.8B TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue growth (YoY) -21.6% 3y avg +5.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +22.8%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $183M FY2026
Net cash $8.3B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 14
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 65
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 37
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 30
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

CYBERDYNE Inc. researches, develops, produces, sell, leases, and maintains robotic equipment and systems for medical and welfare in Japan, the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific countries.

Full company description

CYBERDYNE Inc. researches, develops, produces, sell, leases, and maintains robotic equipment and systems for medical and welfare in Japan, the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific countries. The company offers Hybrid Assistive Limb (HAL) for medical use in lower limb and single joint type; non-medical HAL for lower limb, single joint type, and lumbar type; HAL peripherals; cleaning robots; transportation robots for various transportation tasks in factories, offices, and other indoor environments; Acoustic X, a high-speed light pulse LED array light source that enables real time photoacoustic imaging; and CYIN for living support, which is an interface that uses biological information that can be controlled voluntarily outside of muscle activities. It also provides Cybernics Treatment, a treatment that uses HAL to enhance and regenerate the function of the wearer for spinal cord injury, stroke, neuromuscular diseases, etc.; Neuro HALFIT for enhancement of brain-nerve-musculoskeltal system; MTX Neuro HAL Plus to enhance the performance of the athletes' brain-nerve functions; and Neuro HALFIT at home for enhancement of physical functions. In addition, the company provides rescue support in disaster sites, and heavy labor support for factories and plants, as well as engages in the entertainment business. CYBERDYNE Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Tsukuba, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

CYBERDYNE Inc reported revenue of $3.9B in FY2026 versus $2.2B in FY2022, a compound +15.8%/yr. Reported net income was $154M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 79/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$3.9B
Latest YoY
−11.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.5%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed
Revenue +15.8%/yr
FY22 $2.2B
FY23 $3.3B
FY24 $4.4B
FY25 $4.4B
FY26 $3.9B
Net income
FY22 −$492M
FY23 −$298M
FY24 −$1.5B
FY25 −$577M
FY26 $154M

CYBQF screens 88% overvalued. Compare with Abbott Laboratories, →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CYBERDYNE Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CYBQF

Peer Group

Medical Devices · 364 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −88% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 0% · Below median
Return on assets -1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) -34% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -22% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Devices median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.10× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.1× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 33
PAST1 · sector 2
HEALTH100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND0 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Devices stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Abbott Laboratories, ABT $114.10 $74.79 -34%
Stryker Corporation SYK $322.12 $186.28 -42%
Medtronic plc MDT $89.97 $65.57 -27%
Boston Scientific Corporation BSX $48.17 $30.73 -36%
Edwards Lifesciences Corporation EW $90.78 $41.02 -55%
Siemens Healthineers AG SHL €39.52 €33.87 -14%
DexCom, Inc DXCM $88.96 $38.95 -56%
GE HealthCare Technologies Inc GEHC $74.82 $64.13 -14%
Koninklijke Philips N.V PHIA €23.69 €14.36 -39%
Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co 300760 ¥150.63 ¥147.63 -2%

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Frequently asked questions

Is CYBERDYNE Inc (CYBQF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1600 versus a price of $1.31, about −88% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CYBQF?
Our model-based fair value for CYBERDYNE Inc is $0.1600 (as of Aug 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.31.
What is the quality score of CYBQF?
CYBERDYNE Inc has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of CYBERDYNE Inc (CYBQF)?
CYBERDYNE Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.8B (latest available figure, as of Aug 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CYBQF?
The net profit margin of CYBERDYNE Inc is about 4.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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