Dropbox, Inc (DBX) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $6.9B
Dropbox, Inc
DBX · US
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from $50.52 to $29.27 (−42.1%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +11.5% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $22.06 – $32.17 · fair‑value band $19.15 – $39.38 · the $30.45 price screens above the $29.27 fair value. As of Jul 15, 2026.
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Dropbox, Inc (DBX) currently trades at $30.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $29.27, implying the stock looks roughly 3.9% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 81/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Dropbox, Inc generated revenue of $2.5B at a net margin of 18.7%. Revenue grew 0.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.8%. Net debt stands at $3.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $19.15 (bear case) to $39.38 (bull case); at $30.45, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -76% fair-value upside, at -4%, DBX screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Dropbox, Inc. provides a content collaboration platform in the United States and internationally. The company's platform enables individuals, families, teams, and organizations to collaborate for free through its website or app, or through a paid subscription plan for premium features. Its platform consists of various elements, such as unified home for content, global sharing network, and product experiences and integrations. The company serves customers in the professional services, technology, media, education, industrial, consumer and retail, and financial services industries. The company was formerly known as Evenflow, Inc. and changed its name to Dropbox, Inc. in October 2009. Dropbox, Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Dropbox, Inc reported revenue of $2.5B in FY2025 versus $2.2B in FY2021, a compound +4.0%/yr. Reported net income was $508M in FY2025, compounding +10.9%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- Dropbox (DBX) Joins Russell Value Indexes As Growth Benchmarks Drop It
- Dropbox (DBX) Beats Stock Market Upswing: What Investors Need to Know
- Will Dropbox (DBX) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?
- 3 Unpopular Stocks We Keep Off Our Radar
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.