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Synopsys, Inc (SNPS) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $73.6B

SI Synopsys, Inc logo Synopsys, Inc SNPS · US
Price$405.98
Fair Value$124.11
Upside-69.4%
Quality38/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 8.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (5/14)
Narrow moat 44/100
Evidence: High Range $93.09 – $155.14 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $92.10 to $124.11 (+34.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −7.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 69% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($155.14). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$645.35 $228.54 Fair Value $124.11 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $228.54 – $645.35 · fair‑value band $93.09 – $155.14 · the $405.98 price screens above the $124.11 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Synopsys, Inc (SNPS) currently trades at $405.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $124.11, implying the stock looks roughly 69.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Synopsys, Inc generated revenue of $8.7B at a net margin of 8.9%. Revenue grew 41.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.8%. Net debt stands at $11.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $93.09 (bear case) to $155.14 (bull case); at $405.98, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -53% fair-value upside, at -69%, SNPS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $34.67 $101.48 $214.32 80
Residual Income $112.24 $112.46 $105.38 76
Rev-Margin DCF $2.99 $38.96 $85.40 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $35.26 $107.79 $233.48 38
Owner Earnings $67.05 $165.07 $334.92 31
5Y Revenue Exit $2.99 $39.10 $86.77 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $24.01 $82.31 $154.76 41
5Y P/E Exit $39.11 $113.33 $197.98 38
10Y Revenue Exit $11.64 $49.54 $105.18 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $27.05 $81.15 $161.93 37
10Y P/E Exit $37.05 $103.84 $198.00 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $47.31 $217.15 $298.06 54
Lynch FV $57.03 $81.47 $105.91 50
PEG = 1.0 $57.03 $81.47 $105.91 46
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $13.26 $27.57 $43.73 70
DDM Multi-Stage $13.26 $23.24 $28.93 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $104.36 $139.15 $173.94 63
P/S Multiple $69.08 $92.10 $115.13 58
P/B Multiple $88.71 $118.28 $147.85 55
EV/EBIT $9.28 $30.78 $52.28 53
EV/EBITDA $24.99 $51.73 $78.47 54
EV/Revenue $6.89 $25.53 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $73.97 $99.12 $147.94 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $34.67 $101.48 $214.32 80
Rev-Margin DCF $2.99 $38.96 $85.40 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $112.24 $112.46 $105.38 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $89.15 $127.36 $165.56 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($127.36) versus Dividend Discount ($23.24). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $8.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) +41.9%
Net margin 8.9%
Return on equity 3.8%
Free cash flow $1.3B FY2025
P/E ratio 87.7
More key figures
Operating margin 10.4%
EPS (TTM) $4.38
EPS growth (YoY) -96.0%
Net debt $11.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 72
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 22
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 58
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Synopsys, Inc. provides design IP solutions in the semiconductor and electronics industries. It operates in two segments, Design Automation and Design IP.

Full company description

Synopsys, Inc. provides design IP solutions in the semiconductor and electronics industries. It operates in two segments, Design Automation and Design IP. The company offers Digital and Custom IC Design solution that provides digital design implementation solutions; Verification solution that offers virtual prototyping, static and formal verification, simulation, emulation, field programmable gate array (FPGA)-based prototyping, and debug solutions; FPGA design products that are programmed to perform specific functions; synopsys technology computer-aided design (TCAD), mask synthesis, and manufacturing analytic solutions; and AI-driven EDA solutions. It also provides pre-verified and silicon-proven IP solutions, logic libraries and embedded memories, processor and security solutions, IP Offerings for the automotive market, SOC infrastructure IP, data path and building block IP, and mathematical and floating-point components. Synopsys, Inc. has a strategic collaboration with Arm Holdings plc for development of AGI CPU that provides solutions across its full-stack design portfolio including EDA, interface IP, and hardware-assisted verification (HAV). The company was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Sunnyvale, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Synopsys, Inc reported revenue of $7.1B in FY2025 versus $4.2B in FY2021, a compound +13.8%/yr. Reported net income was $1.3B in FY2025, compounding +15.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$7.1B
Latest YoY
+15.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+15.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+13.9%
Avg. growth/yr (35Y)
+17.9%
Revenue +13.8%/yr
FY21 $4.2B
FY22 $4.6B
FY23 $5.3B
FY24 $6.1B
FY25 $7.1B
Net income +15.2%/yr
FY21 $758M
FY22 $985M
FY23 $1.2B
FY24 $2.3B
FY25 $1.3B

SNPS screens 69% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Synopsys, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SNPS

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Software - Infrastructure · 367 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 38 · Below median
Fair Value upside −69% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Revenue growth 42% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.48× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 87.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.60× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 8.48× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 54.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 49.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 2.24× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 46
PAST 15 · sector 15
HEALTH 76 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 29

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $384.00 $274.17 -29%
Oracle Corporation ORAC C$9.08 C$2.94 -68%
Palantir Technologies Inc 1PLTR €112.86 €12.03 -89%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $160.78 $44.96 -72%
Block, Inc XYZ A$114.53 A$70.69 -38%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $79.94 $44.89 -44%
Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 ¥71.60 ¥34.00 -53%
Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS ₹11,651 ₹5,821 -50%
One97 Communications Limited PAYTM ₹1,342 ₹181.50 -86%
Sangfor Technologies Inc 300454 ¥88.80 ¥16.46 -81%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Synopsys, Inc (SNPS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $124.11 versus a price of $405.98, about −69% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SNPS?
Our model-based fair value for Synopsys, Inc is $124.11 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $405.98.
What is the quality score of SNPS?
Synopsys, Inc has a Quality Score of 38/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Synopsys, Inc (SNPS)?
Synopsys, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $8.7B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SNPS?
The net profit margin of Synopsys, Inc is about 8.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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