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DDC Enterprise Limited (DDC) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $49.9M · ISIN KYG276AC1192

DE DDC Enterprise Limited logo DDC Enterprise Limited DDC · US
Price$0.4150
Fair Value$1.21
Upside+192.1%
Quality13/100
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Strengths

Trades 66% below our fair value of $1.21

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +10.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -123.3% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +10.1 %/yr)
Loss-making · -123.3% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Narrow moat 6/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.8004 – $1.52 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price −10.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, trading 66% below our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (13/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.8004). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.8004 to $1.52) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

$159.25 $0.3921 Fair Value $1.21 Nov 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

33‑month range $0.3921 – $159.25 · fair‑value band $0.8004 – $1.52 · the $0.4150 price screens below the $1.21 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.

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Analysis

DDC Enterprise Limited (DDC) currently trades at $0.4150, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.21, implying the stock looks roughly 192.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 13/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $274M. Revenue grew 7.8% year over year. Net debt stands at $598M. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.8004 (bear case) to $1.52 (bull case); at $0.4150, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at 192%, DDC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $2.07 $2.78 $4.14 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.07 $2.78 $4.14 50

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.18 TTM
EPS (TTM) $-5.73
Net margin -130% FY2025
Return on equity -107% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) -33.8% avg 5y
Operating margin -148% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $274M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.8% 3y avg +15.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$737M FY2025
Net debt $598M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 13/100

Of which business quality 17 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 0

Profitability 3
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 23
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

DDC Enterprise Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides ready-to-cook, ready-to-heat, and ready-to-eat plant-based meal products under the DayDayCook brand in Mainland China, Hong Kong, and the United States.

Full company description

DDC Enterprise Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides ready-to-cook, ready-to-heat, and ready-to-eat plant-based meal products under the DayDayCook brand in Mainland China, Hong Kong, and the United States. It also offers advertising services, including the production and online publishing of promotional videos, advertising placements on the company's website channels, and offline promotions; third-party branded food products; cooking classes; and content streaming and product marketplace services. In addition, the company involves Bitcoin treasury activities. The company sells its products through third-party e-commerce platforms, distributors, and offline retail chains and supermarkets. DDC Enterprise Limited was incorporated in 2012 and is based in New York, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

DDC Enterprise Limited reported revenue of ¥274M in FY2025 versus ¥205M in FY2021, a compound +7.5%/yr. Reported net income was −¥357M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 29/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$274M
Latest YoY
+0.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.1%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +7.5%/yr
FY21 ¥205M
FY22 ¥180M
FY23 ¥205M
FY24 ¥273M
FY25 ¥274M
Net income
FY21 −¥454M
FY22 −¥122M
FY23 −¥155M
FY24 −¥170M
FY25 −¥357M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "DDC Enterprise Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DDC

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 675 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 17 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +192% · Top 25%
Return on assets -15% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -123% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -148% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.32× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.10× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.18× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 24
FUTURE39 · sector 20
PAST0 · sector 26
HEALTH84 · sector 96
DIVIDEND0 · sector 51

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 78.52 CHF 57.26 -27%
Danone S.A BN €64.70 €48.41 -25%
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,478 ₹251.94 -83%
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $25.13 $24.59 -2%
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥35.05 ¥21.93 -37%
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥25.51 ¥32.50 +27%
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥25.28 ¥9.89 -61%
General Mills, Inc GIS $40.44 $28.32 -30%
Wilmar International Limited F34 3.64 SGD 3.89 SGD +7%
McCormick & Company MKCV $55.65 $43.29 -22%

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Frequently asked questions

Is DDC Enterprise Limited (DDC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.21 versus a price of $0.4150, about +192% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DDC?
Our model-based fair value for DDC Enterprise Limited is $1.21 (as of Aug 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.4150.
What is the quality score of DDC?
DDC Enterprise Limited has a Quality Score of 13/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of DDC Enterprise Limited (DDC)?
DDC Enterprise Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $274M (latest available figure, as of Aug 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DDC?
The net profit margin of DDC Enterprise Limited is about -123.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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