Dingdong (Cayman) Limited (DDL) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $448M
Dingdong (Cayman) Limited
DDL · US
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026 — revised from $20.67 to $2.64 (−87.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −4.6% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $1.67 – $3.20 · fair‑value band $1.98 – $3.30 · the $2.30 price screens below the $2.64 fair value. As of Jul 15, 2026.
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Dingdong (Cayman) Limited (DDL) currently trades at $2.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.64 — implying the stock looks roughly 14.7% undervalued today. We read business quality at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Dingdong (Cayman) Limited generated revenue of $24.5B at a net margin of 1.6%. Revenue grew 195.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.2%. Net debt stands at $1.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.98 (bear case) to $3.30 (bull case); at $2.30, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside — at 15%, DDL screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Dingdong (Cayman) Limited operates an e-commerce company in China. The company provides fresh groceries, including vegetables, meat and eggs, fruits, and seafood. It also offers prepared food, such as ready-to-eat, ready-to-heat, ready-to-cook, and ready-to-mix food; and other food products, such as baked goods, dairy, seasonings, beverages, oil, and snacks. The company offers its products through traditional offline, as well as online channels through Dingdong Fresh app, mini-programs, and third-party platforms. Dingdong (Cayman) Limited was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Dingdong (Cayman) Limited reported revenue of $24.4B in FY2025 versus $20.1B in FY2021, a compound +4.9%/yr. Reported net income was $222M in FY2025.
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| George Weston Limited WN | C$103.47 | C$106.15 | +3% |
| Coles Group COL | A$23.66 | A$15.86 | -33% |
| CP ALL Public Company CVPUF | $1.30 | $1.90 | +46% |
| Metro Inc MRU | C$91.65 | C$94.01 | +3% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.