Dicker Data Limited (DDR) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · AU · Market cap A$2.2B
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Share price +9.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 33% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$11.56). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (A$6.10 to A$11.56) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$6.68 – A$13.18 · fair‑value band A$6.10 – A$11.56 · the A$13.18 price screens above the A$8.82 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Dicker Data Limited (DDR) currently trades at A$13.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$8.82, implying the stock looks roughly 33.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Dicker Data Limited generated revenue of A$2.6B at a net margin of 3.3%. Revenue grew 10.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 33.8%. Net debt stands at A$319M. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$6.10 (bear case) to A$11.56 (bull case); at A$13.18, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 80% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at -33%, DDR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (A$10.54) versus Asset-Based (A$0.9500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 90
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Dicker Data Limited engages in the wholesale distribution of IT hardware, software, cloud, and IoT solutions for corporate and commercial markets in Australia and New Zealand.
Full company description
Dicker Data Limited engages in the wholesale distribution of IT hardware, software, cloud, and IoT solutions for corporate and commercial markets in Australia and New Zealand. The company provides AI, access control, accessories, backup and recovery, business application, business monitors, components, Copilot+ PC, cybersecurity, data center, data managements, data resiliency, desktops, Dicker data DAS, gaming, IoT, networking, notebooks, peripherals, printers, pro AV and displays, power, remote working, scanners and mobility, security surveillance, servers, storage, telecommunications, UC, UPS, video conferencing, virtualization, and workstations solutions. It also procures and supplies IT hardware and related products, including access control and surveillance products; sells software licenses; provides virtual services, such as warranty and maintenance contracts sales on behalf of suppliers; third party logistics and configuration services; and acts as an agent in the sale of telecommunications data. The company was incorporated in 1972 and is headquartered in Kurnell, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Dicker Data Limited reported revenue of A$2.6B in FY2025 versus A$2.5B in FY2021, a compound +0.8%/yr. Reported net income was A$85.6M in FY2025, compounding +3.9%/yr from FY2021.
DDR screens 33% overvalued. Compare with TD SYNNEX Corporation →
Peer Group
Electronics & Computer Distribution · 151 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electronics & Computer Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electronics & Computer Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| TD SYNNEX Corporation SNX | $251.52 | $207.02 | -18% |
| Unisplendour Corporation 000938 | ¥38.59 | ¥11.79 | -69% |
| Rexel S.A RXL | €38.59 | €33.31 | -14% |
| Arrow Electronics, Inc ARW | $204.10 | $115.40 | -43% |
| Avnet, Inc AVT | $87.13 | $58.57 | -33% |
| WPG Holdings 3702 | 106.50 TWD | 102.31 TWD | -4% |
| Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry Co 000062 | ¥22.37 | ¥7.52 | -66% |
| Synnex Technology International Corporation 2347 | 85.30 TWD | 86.30 TWD | +1% |
| Nanjing Sunlord Electronics Corporation 300975 | ¥37.37 | ¥8.60 | -77% |
| Beijing Tricolor Technology Co 603516 | ¥106.52 | ¥23.39 | -78% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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