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China TMK Battery Systems Inc (DFEL) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $47.2M

CT China TMK Battery Systems Inc logo China TMK Battery Systems Inc DFEL · US
Price$1.27
Fair Value$0.9200
Upside-27.6%
Quality53/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 178.9% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/9)
Moderate moat 58/100
Evidence: High Range $0.6900 – $1.15 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $0.9300 to $0.9200 (−1.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −52.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 28% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.15). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$10.00 $0.1280 Fair Value $0.9200 Jun 2015 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.1280 – $10.00 · fair‑value band $0.6900 – $1.15 · the $1.27 price screens above the $0.9200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

China TMK Battery Systems Inc (DFEL) currently trades at $1.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.9200, implying the stock looks roughly 27.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $1.1M. Revenue declined 86.7% year over year. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 0.2. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.6900 (bear case) to $1.15 (bull case); at $1.27, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -28%, DFEL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth-Adj P/E $1.74 $2.49 $3.23 68
P/E Multiple $0.8600 $1.14 $1.43 63
Residual Income $0.7100 $0.7000 $0.5900 61
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $0.5500 $1.56 31
5Y Revenue Exit $0.0300 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.0500 $0.7400 41
5Y P/E Exit $0.7800 $1.99 38
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.7600 37
10Y P/E Exit $0.3800 $1.54 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.3700 $2.57 $3.61 54
Lynch FV $1.33 $1.90 $2.47 50
PEG = 1.0 $1.33 $1.90 $2.47 46
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.8600 $1.14 $1.43 63
P/S Multiple $0.2700 $0.3700 $0.4600 58
P/B Multiple $0.6900 $0.9200 $1.15 55
EV/EBIT $0.0500 $0.2800 $0.5100 53
EV/EBITDA $0.0700 $0.2400 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.5100 $0.6900 $1.03 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.7100 $0.7000 $0.5900 61
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $1.74 $2.49 $3.23 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($2.49) versus Multiples ($0.3700). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.1M
Revenue growth (YoY) -86.7%
Net margin 179%
Free cash flow $7.0K FY2025
P/E ratio 0.2
Operating margin -472%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $18.47
Net cash $56.1K FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 66
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

China TMK Battery Systems Inc. engages in the new energy vehicle parts business. It is also involved in the centralized rapid charging for new energy vehicles, lithium batteries, new materials, artificial intelligence basic software equipment, Internet, and other businesses.

Full company description

China TMK Battery Systems Inc. engages in the new energy vehicle parts business. It is also involved in the centralized rapid charging for new energy vehicles, lithium batteries, new materials, artificial intelligence basic software equipment, Internet, and other businesses. The company was founded in 1999 and is based in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

China TMK Battery Systems Inc reported revenue of $2.8M in FY2025 versus $1.5M in FY2021, a compound +17.3%/yr. Reported net income was $819K in FY2025.

Growth Quality 66/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$2.8M
Latest YoY
+1,172.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+34.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+53.6%
Avg. growth/yr (15Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−19.1%
Revenue +17.3%/yr
FY21 $1.5M
FY22 $1.1M
FY23 $441K
FY24 $217K
FY25 $2.8M
Net income
FY21 −$36.2K
FY22 $6.0K
FY23 −$52.5K
FY24 −$34.0K
FY25 $819K

DFEL screens 28% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China TMK Battery Systems Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DFEL

Peer Group

Electrical Equipment & Parts · 526 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside −28% · Above median
Return on assets -12% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 179% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -87% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.63× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 6,733.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 57
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 69 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 18

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 HK$675.50 HK$391.44 -42%
ABB Ltd ABBN CHF 83.82 CHF 35.46 -58%
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED 10.16 SGD 1.47 SGD -86%
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 334,000 KRW 201,455 KRW -40%
WEG S.A WEGE3 13,210 ARS 7,948 ARS -40%
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥114.79 ¥123.83 +8%
Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 ¥63.43 ¥33.04 -48%
HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 823,000 KRW 371,133 KRW -55%
LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 190,000 KRW 31,517 KRW -83%
Sieyuan Electric Co 002028 ¥151.73 ¥71.69 -53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is China TMK Battery Systems Inc (DFEL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.9200 versus a price of $1.27, about −28% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DFEL?
Our model-based fair value for China TMK Battery Systems Inc is $0.9200 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1.27.
What is the quality score of DFEL?
China TMK Battery Systems Inc has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of China TMK Battery Systems Inc (DFEL)?
China TMK Battery Systems Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.1M (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DFEL?
The net profit margin of China TMK Battery Systems Inc is about 178.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 178.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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