DUG Technology Ltd (DUG) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · AU · Market cap A$295M
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 5 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from A$1.05 to A$1.76 (+67.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −11.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.3650 – A$3.23 · fair‑value band A$1.28 – A$2.23 · the A$1.93 price screens above the A$1.76 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
DUG Technology Ltd (DUG) currently trades at A$1.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$1.76, implying the stock looks roughly 8.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, DUG Technology Ltd generated revenue of A$74.2M at a net margin of 2.1%. Revenue grew 40.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.0%. Net debt stands at A$17.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$1.28 (bear case) to A$2.23 (bull case); at A$1.93, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 67% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -9%, DUG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 5 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (A$2.00) versus Dividend Discount (A$0.0900). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
DUG Technology Ltd, a technology company, provides hardware and software solutions for the technology and resource sectors in Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, Malaysia, and the United Arab Emirates. It operates through three segments: HPCaaS, Services, and Software.
Full company description
DUG Technology Ltd, a technology company, provides hardware and software solutions for the technology and resource sectors in Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, Malaysia, and the United Arab Emirates. It operates through three segments: HPCaaS, Services, and Software. The HPCaaS segment allows clients to connect to its HPC and storage in a complete HPC environment, as well as provides software and algorithm support and development that enables clients to operate on its HPC. Its Services segment offers data loading, quality control and management, and scientific data analysis. The Software segment provides DUG Insight, a software package for scientific processing and visualization, as well as DUG Cluster Software, algorithms for the processing of scientific data on large HPC installations. DUG Technology Ltd was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in West Perth, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
DUG Technology Ltd reported revenue of A$62.6M in FY2024 versus A$38.5M in FY2020, a compound +12.9%/yr. Reported net income was −A$3.9M in FY2024.
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Peer Group
Information Technology Services · 475 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| International Business Machines Corporation IBM | $235.92 | $143.90 | -39% |
| Accenture plc ACNN | 2,460 MXN | 250.95 MXN | -90% |
| Infosys Limited INFY | ₹1,156 | ₹1,457 | +26% |
| HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH | ₹1,204 | ₹1,230 | +2% |
| Wipro Limited WIPRO | ₹178.43 | ₹226.81 | +27% |
| Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM | ₹1,455 | ₹1,086 | -25% |
| Samsung SDS Co 018260 | 199,300 KRW | 196,390 KRW | -1% |
| Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT | ₹5,059 | ₹2,364 | -53% |
| Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 | 393,000 KRW | 133,088 KRW | -66% |
| Coforge Limited COFORGE | ₹1,541 | ₹702.84 | -54% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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