Dexterra Group Inc (DXT) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Dexterra Group Inc C$15.05, price C$15.24, upside -1.3%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$4.08 – C$16.08 · fair‑value band C$9.63 – C$19.56 · the C$15.24 price screens above the C$15.05 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Dexterra Group Inc. engages in the provision of support services for the creation, management, and operation of infrastructure in Canada. It operates through two segments, Support Services and Asset Based Services.
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Dexterra Group Inc. engages in the provision of support services for the creation, management, and operation of infrastructure in Canada. It operates through two segments, Support Services and Asset Based Services. The Support Services segment delivers a suite of operation, maintenance, and hospitality solutions for a diverse range of public and private sector clients, including remote operations, governments, aviation, education, industrial, transit, healthcare, and leisure. The Asset Based Services segment provides workforce accommodation structures, access solutions, and space rentals to clients in the natural resources and infrastructure sectors. This segment also engages in the supply, transportation, and installation of workforce accommodation facilities, access matting, and soil stabilization that allow clients to access and move equipment in remote locations, as well as the rental of modular space units. Dexterra Group Inc. was formerly known as Horizon North Logistics Inc. and changed its name to Dexterra Group Inc. in November 2020. The company was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Mississauga, Canada.
Stock analysis
Dexterra Group Inc (DXT) currently trades at C$15.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$15.05, implying the stock looks roughly 1.3% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of C$15.50 per share, and 11 of the 26 models we run sit above the C$15.24 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at C$3.05, and 15 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: C$9.63 (bear) to C$19.56 (bull), the price of C$15.24 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Dexterra Group Inc reported revenue of C$1.0B in FY2025 versus C$733M in FY2021, a compound +9.2%/yr. Reported net income was C$40.5M in FY2025, compounding +13.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap C$966M (≈ $684M) · P/E ratio 20.9 · P/S ratio 0.81 · EPS (TTM) C$0.7300 · Dividend yield 2.5% · Net margin 3.9% · Return on equity 16.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 76% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at −1%, DXT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear C$9.63Fair Value C$15.05Bull C$19.56
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (C$0.2590 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.66/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +15.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+13.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.5%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 6%
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 107% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+9.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+6.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +7.4% a year for the price and +4.2% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Business Services · 246 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score63 · Above median
Fair Value upside0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)16% · Above median
Return on assets7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth15% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.70× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dexterra Group Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DXT
Frequently asked questions
Is Dexterra Group Inc (DXT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$15.05 versus a price of C$15.24, about −1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of DXT?
Our model-based fair value for Dexterra Group Inc is C$15.05 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$15.24.
What is the quality score of DXT?
Dexterra Group Inc has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Dexterra Group Inc (DXT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$15.05 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$9.63, optimistic scenario C$19.56. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Dexterra Group Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$15.05, about −1% upside versus a price of C$15.24 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario C$9.63, optimistic scenario C$19.56. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Dexterra Group Inc (DXT)?
Dexterra Group Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$1.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Dexterra Group Inc pay a dividend?
Dexterra Group Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.47% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Dexterra Group Inc (DXT)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Dexterra Group Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +9.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +16.9 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DXT use?
Our models discount Dexterra Group Inc at 10.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.65, country premium for Canada. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Dexterra Group Inc that is +9.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Dexterra Group Inc (DXT) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Dexterra Group Inc grew +16.9 % a year. The price currently implies +9.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Dexterra Group Inc (DXT) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Dexterra Group Inc (+9.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Dexterra Group Inc (DXT)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.30 %: that much free cash flow Dexterra Group Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Dexterra Group Inc (DXT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Dexterra Group Inc it is C$15.05 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of C$15.24. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Dexterra Group Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, DXT trades above its calculated fair value: price C$15.24, fair value C$15.05, a gap of about −1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DXT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$15.24); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$15.05). For Dexterra Group Inc the two are C$0.1900 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Dexterra Group Inc worth?
The market values Dexterra Group Inc at about C$966M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is C$15.24; our models calculate a fair value of C$15.05 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DXT?
Our models span a range for Dexterra Group Inc: cautious scenario C$9.63, base C$15.05, optimistic C$19.56 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price C$15.24). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DXT?
Dexterra Group Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.9 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of C$15.05 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.4, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 8.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Dexterra Group Inc (DXT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Dexterra Group Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 16.1%, debt of 0.70 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DXT from its 52-week high?
Dexterra Group Inc trades at C$15.24, about 5% below its 52-week high of C$16.08 and 76% above the low of C$8.66 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$15.05 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Dexterra Group Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Cintas Corporation, Thomson Reuters Corporation, Copart, Inc, Global Payments Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Dexterra Group Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price C$15.24, calculated fair value C$15.05 (−1%), Quality Score 63/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DXT calculated?
We run Dexterra Group Inc through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$15.05, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Dexterra Group Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Dexterra Group Inc (DXT)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was C$15.24. Our model-based fair value is C$15.05, about −1% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Dexterra Group Inc right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (C$9.63 to C$19.56) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Dexterra Group Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Dexterra Group Inc (DXT)?
The market capitalisation of Dexterra Group Inc is C$966M (≈ $684M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Dexterra Group Inc (DXT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Dexterra Group Inc is 0.81 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Dexterra Group Inc (DXT)?
Earnings per share at Dexterra Group Inc are C$0.7300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 20.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Dexterra Group Inc (DXT)?
The dividend yield of Dexterra Group Inc is 2.5% (payout 51.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Dexterra Group Inc (DXT)?
The net margin of Dexterra Group Inc is 3.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Dexterra Group Inc (DXT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Dexterra Group Inc is 16.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Dexterra Group Inc (DXT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Dexterra Group Inc is 8.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Dexterra Group Inc (DXT)?
The operating margin of Dexterra Group Inc is 5.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Dexterra Group Inc (DXT)?
Revenue at Dexterra Group Inc is growing +14.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Dexterra Group Inc (DXT)?
Earnings per share at Dexterra Group Inc are growing +54.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Dexterra Group Inc (DXT) carry?
The net debt of Dexterra Group Inc is C$223M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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