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Egetis Therapeutics AB (EGTX) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · SE · Market cap 2.9B SEK

ET Egetis Therapeutics AB EGTX · ST
Pricekr 6.99
Fair Valuekr 4.00
Upside-42.7%
Quality32/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/9)
Narrow moat 13/100
Evidence: Low Range kr 2.94 – kr 5.96 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price +15.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 43% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 5.96). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (kr 2.94 to kr 5.96) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 9.18 kr 3.01 Fair Value kr 4.00 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 3.01 – kr 9.18 · fair‑value band kr 2.94 – kr 5.96 · the kr 6.99 price screens above the kr 4.00 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Egetis Therapeutics AB (EGTX) currently trades at kr 6.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 4.00, implying the stock looks roughly 42.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 63.1M SEK. Revenue grew 5.5% year over year. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 139M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 2.94 (bear case) to kr 5.96 (bull case); at kr 6.99, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 93% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -43%, EGTX screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.3600 kr 0.4900 kr 0.7300 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.3600 kr 0.4900 kr 0.7300 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 63.1M SEK
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.5%
Return on equity -110%
Free cash flow −269M SEK FY2025
Operating margin -693%
EPS (TTM) kr -0.9000
More key figures
Net cash 139M SEK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 67
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 92
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 43
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 60
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 79
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Egetis Therapeutics AB (publ), a pharmaceutical company, engages in the development and commercialization of orphan drugs in Sweden and internationally.

Full company description

Egetis Therapeutics AB (publ), a pharmaceutical company, engages in the development and commercialization of orphan drugs in Sweden and internationally. It develops Aladote, which is in Phase IIb/III clinical trial for the treatment of paracetamol/acetaminophen overdosing and for the prevention of acute liver failure in paracetamol poisoning; and Emcitate, which is in Phase IIb clinical trial for the treatment of monocarboxylate transporter 8 deficiency. The company was formerly known as PledPharma AB (publ) and changed its name to Egetis Therapeutics AB (publ) in December 2020. Egetis Therapeutics AB (publ) was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Egetis Therapeutics AB reported revenue of kr 62.4M in FY2025 versus kr 38.2M in FY2021, a compound +13.0%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 343M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 24/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
62.4M SEK
Latest YoY
+35.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+40.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.9%
Avg. growth/yr (15Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+95.6%
Revenue +13.0%/yr
FY21 kr 38.2M
FY22 kr 22.5M
FY23 kr 57.6M
FY24 kr 46.1M
FY25 kr 62.4M
Net income
FY21 −kr 105M
FY22 −kr 190M
FY23 −kr 327M
FY24 −kr 344M
FY25 −kr 343M

EGTX screens 43% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Egetis Therapeutics AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EGTX

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 601 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −43% · Above median
Return on assets -35% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.13× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.91× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 4.89× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 28 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 93 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $486.03 $278.78 -43%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $664.45 $594.40 -11%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,368,000 KRW 1,091,384 KRW -20%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 175,800 KRW 76,325 KRW -57%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$39.54 HK$30.42 -23%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$86.70 HK$19.66 -77%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$5.26 HK$3.36 -36%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 276,500 KRW 44,444 KRW -84%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥134.02 ¥26.99 -80%
Biocon Limited BIOCON ₹440.70 ₹57.36 -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Egetis Therapeutics AB (EGTX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 4.00 versus a price of kr 6.99, about −43% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EGTX?
Our model-based fair value for Egetis Therapeutics AB is kr 4.00 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 6.99.
What is the quality score of EGTX?
Egetis Therapeutics AB has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Egetis Therapeutics AB (EGTX)?
Egetis Therapeutics AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 63.1M SEK (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of EGTX?
The net profit margin of Egetis Therapeutics AB is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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